NFC West playoff picture, Week 10

90%49ers to win the NFC West7-1, 1st in the division today

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The 49ers (7-1) win the NFC West in 90% of 3,000 simulated seasons heading into Week 10. Only the 49ers make the playoffs more often than not.

NFC West standings and playoff odds

Team	Record	Division	Playoffs	Win division	No. 1 seed
49ers	7-1	3-0	98%	90%	55%
Seahawks	5-4	2-1	47%	6%	1%
Rams	5-4	0-2	43%	3%	1%
Cardinals	3-6	1-3	<1%	<1%	0%

Chances from 3,000 simulated seasons, official NFL tiebreakers applied.

What does each NFC West team need in Week 10?

49ersat Cowboys, Sunday, 4:25 PM ET · win it 66%

61%vs38%No. 1 seed, win vs loss

Seahawksat Raiders, Sunday, 4:05 PM ET · win it 62%

55%vs37%Playoffs, win vs loss

Ramsat Cardinals, Sunday, 4:05 PM ET · win it 79%

47%vs24%Playoffs, win vs loss

Cardinalsvs Rams, Sunday, 4:05 PM ET · win it 21%

<1%vs0%Playoffs, win vs loss

Each team’s chance with a win, then with a loss, on the race it is still in: the playoffs, then the division, then the No. 1 seed. 20,000 simulated seasons.

What record gets each NFC West team in?

49ers10-7 gets them in 70% of the time: 3 more wins in the last 9 games. At 11-6 it is 99%.

Seahawks10-7 gets them in 53% of the time: 5 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 94%.

Rams10-7 gets them in 57% of the time: 5 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 96%.

CardinalsNo record still in reach gets them in more often than not.

NFC West division games left

Rams at CardinalsWeek 10 · Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET

79%Rams win

Seahawks at 49ersWeek 12 · Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM ET

57%49ers win

Rams at 49ersWeek 14 · Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM ET

60%49ers win

Rams at SeahawksWeek 16 · Fri, Dec 25, 8:15 PM ET

59%Seahawks win

49ers at CardinalsWeek 18 · Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET

76%49ers win

Seahawks at RamsWeek 18 · Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET

53%Rams win

Pick the NFC West games yourself

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NFC West playoff picture: quick answers

Who is going to win the NFC West?

The 49ers are the favorite: they win the NFC West in 90% of 3,000 simulated seasons. Behind them: the Seahawks at 6%, the Rams at 3% and the Cardinals at <1%.

Which NFC West teams will make the playoffs?

Chance to make the playoffs, division title or wild card: the 49ers (7-1) 98%, the Seahawks (5-4) 47%, the Rams (5-4) 43% and the Cardinals (3-6) <1%.

How many NFC West teams can make the playoffs?

Up to all four. The NFC West winner gets one of the NFC's top four seeds, and the three wild cards go to the NFC teams with the best records that did not win a division, so one division can send four teams.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.

NFC West playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.