AFC South playoff picture: quick answers
Who is going to win the AFC South?
The Jaguars are the favorite: they win the AFC South in 96% of 3,000 simulated seasons. Behind them: the Texans at 4%, the Colts at <1% and the Titans at 0%.
Which AFC South teams will make the playoffs?
Chance to make the playoffs, division title or wild card: the Jaguars (6-2) 99%, the Texans (3-5) 26%, the Colts (2-7) <1% and the Titans (1-7) 0%.
How many AFC South teams can make the playoffs?
Up to all four. The AFC South winner gets one of the AFC's top four seeds, and the three wild cards go to the AFC teams with the best records that did not win a division, so one division can send four teams.
How are these playoff odds calculated?
Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.
How often is this page updated?
After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.