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New York Giants playoff chances, Week 10

65%chance to make the playoffs5-3-1, 1st in the NFC East, the NFC's No. 3 seed today
64%win the NFC East<1%No. 1 seed2%win the Super Bowl
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Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Giants (5-3-1) have a 65% chance to make the playoffs heading into Week 10, a 64% chance to win the NFC East and less than a 1% chance at the No. 1 seed. They are 1st in the NFC East and would be the NFC's No. 3 seed if the season ended today.

What do the Giants need in Week 10?

The Giants are off in Week 10. Their chances move only on other teams' results.

Who should Giants fans root for in Week 10?

49ers over CowboysSunday, 4:25 PM ET · moves their division chance
69%vs57%

The Giants’ chance if that team wins, then if it loses. Biggest swing first; games that move them by less than a point are left out. 20,000 simulated seasons.

Giants playoff odds by final record

8-8-1 gets the Giants in 54% of the time: 3 more wins in the last 8 games. At 10-6-1 it is 100%.

11-5-1100%7% of seasons
10-6-1100%16% of seasons
9-7-189%28% of seasons
8-8-154%27% of seasons
7-9-115%15% of seasons
6-10-12%5% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Giants finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Giants playoff seed odds

The Giants' most likely seed is No. 3 (48%). Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

<1%No. 1
3%No. 2
48%No. 3
13%No. 4
<1%No. 5
<1%No. 6
<1%No. 7
35%Miss

Giants remaining schedule

8 games left. At each game’s win chance the Giants finish about 9-7-1.

WkOpponentKickoffGiants win
11vs JaguarsSun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET31%
12at ColtsSun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ET51%
13San Francisco 49ers logovs 49ersSun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET39%
14at SeahawksSun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM ET29%
15vs BrownsSun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET65%
16at LionsMon, Dec 28, 8:15 PM ET35%
Show the last 2 games
17at CowboysSun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET43%
18vs EaglesSun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET65%

Where would the Giants pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 14typical first-round pick in the seasons the Giants miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Giants miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 14, and between No. 10 and No. 17 in 8 of every 10. It is a top-10 pick in 14% of those seasons.

The NFC East race

TeamRecordPlayoffsWin division
Giants5-3-165%64%
Dallas Cowboys logoCowboys4-525%25%
Commanders3-5-111%11%
Philadelphia Eagles logoEagles2-7<1%<1%
Pick the Giants’ games yourself

Giants playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Giants' playoff chances right now?

65%. The Giants are 5-3-1, 1st in the NFC East, the NFC's No. 3 seed today. They win the NFC East in 64% of simulated seasons, take the No. 1 seed in <1% and win the Super Bowl in 2%.

What record do the Giants need to make the playoffs?

8-8-1 gets the Giants in 54% of the time: 3 more wins in the last 8 games. At 10-6-1 it is 100%.

Can the Giants still win the NFC East?

Yes. The Giants lead the NFC East at 5-3-1 and win it in 64% of 3,000 simulated seasons.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.

New York Giants playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.