Seattle Seahawks playoff chances, Week 10

47%chance to make the playoffs5-4, 2nd in the NFC West, the first team out of the NFC field today

6%win the NFC West1%No. 1 seed3%win the Super Bowl

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Seahawks (5-4) have a 47% chance to make the playoffs heading into Week 10, a 6% chance to win the NFC West and a 1% chance at the No. 1 seed. They are 2nd in the NFC West and would be outside the NFC field if the season ended today.

What do the Seahawks need in Week 10?

at Raiders, Sunday, 4:05 PM ETThe Seahawks win it 62% of the time

Playoffs with a win55%

Playoffs with a loss37%

Beat the Raiders and the Seahawks' playoff chance is 55%. Lose and it is 37%.

Who should Seahawks fans root for in Week 10?

Cowboys over 49ersSunday, 4:25 PM ET · moves their division chance

11%vs5%

Cardinals over RamsSunday, 4:05 PM ET · moves their playoff chance

52%vs47%

Vikings over PackersSunday, 1:00 PM ET · moves their playoff chance

51%vs47%

The Seahawks’ chance if that team wins, then if it loses. Biggest swing first; games that move them by less than a point are left out. 20,000 simulated seasons.

Seahawks playoff odds by final record

10-7 gets the Seahawks in 53% of the time: 5 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 94%.

12-5100%9% of seasons

11-694%22% of seasons

10-753%28% of seasons

9-88%24% of seasons

8-90%11% of seasons

7-100%3% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Seahawks finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Seahawks playoff seed odds

The Seahawks' most likely seed is No. 7 (18%). Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

1%No. 1

5%No. 2

<1%No. 3

0%No. 4

8%No. 5

15%No. 6

18%No. 7

53%Miss

Seahawks remaining schedule

8 games left. At each game’s win chance the Seahawks finish about 10-7.

Wk	Opponent	Kickoff	Seahawks win
10	at Raiders	Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET	62%
12	at 49ers	Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM ET	43%
13	vs Cowboys	Mon, Dec 7, 8:15 PM ET	70%
14	vs Giants	Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM ET	71%
15	at Eagles	Sat, Dec 19, 5:00 PM ET	69%
16	vs Rams	Fri, Dec 25, 8:15 PM ET	59%

Show the last 2 games

17	at Panthers	Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET	66%
18	at Rams	Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET	47%

Where would the Seahawks pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 17typical first-round pick in the seasons the Seahawks miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Seahawks miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 17, and between No. 14 and No. 18 in 8 of every 10. It is a top-10 pick in 2% of those seasons.

The full 2027 draft order Mock draft simulator Run the Seahawks as GM

The NFC West race

Team	Record	Playoffs	Win division
49ers	7-1	98%	90%
Seahawks	5-4	47%	6%
Rams	5-4	43%	3%
Cardinals	3-6	<1%	<1%

NFC West playoff picture Every team in the Playoff Machine

Pick the Seahawks’ games yourself

Seahawks playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Seahawks' playoff chances right now?

47%. The Seahawks are 5-4, 2nd in the NFC West, the first team out of the NFC field today. They win the NFC West in 6% of simulated seasons, take the No. 1 seed in 1% and win the Super Bowl in 3%.

What record do the Seahawks need to make the playoffs?

10-7 gets the Seahawks in 53% of the time: 5 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 94%.

Can the Seahawks still win the NFC West?

It would take help. The 49ers lead the NFC West at 7-1, and the Seahawks (5-4) win the division in 6% of 3,000 simulated seasons.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.

Seattle Seahawks playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.