New: Be a GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it. →
StickToTheModel
FreeWhat's your angle? · type any trend and see its record in every NFL game since 1999Test an angle
Betting HQ · Week 10 · Sun 1:00 PM ET

DolphinsatColts

KickoffSun 1:00 PMCBS
MarketIND -1.5the posted spread
Our numberno line
Total40.5the posted total
Triggers0none of our tested angles fire on this game

The run game. Expect the Colts to run it until the Dolphins prove they can stop it.

The Colts have 14 players on the injury report, the Dolphins 12.

Designations as of 2026-11-09.

Dolphins

+7 more

Colts

+9 more

Colts run game, 7th, against a run defense ranked 32nd.

Longer bar, better unit.

Dolphins with the ball

Dolphins offenseColts defense
21st
Passing
27th
19th
Run game
30th
5th
Pass rush
27th
10th
Third down
8th
22nd
Big plays
29th
27th
Turnovers
30th
23rd
Red zone
16th

Colts with the ball

Colts offenseDolphins defense
27th
Passing
30th
7th
Run game
32nd
15th
Pass rush
20th
14th
Third down
32nd
25th
Big plays
21st
26th
Turnovers
13th
17th
Red zone
14th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9, close-game snaps.

No bets-versus-money split is posted for this game yet.

Dolphins team total 19.5 the 40.5 total and the 1.5 spread, split; no posted team total yet

Colts team total 21 the 40.5 total and the 1.5 spread, split; no posted team total yet

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · Dolphins with the worse quarterback by two tiers with a head coach in his first 17 games in November
113-84
this game200020052010201520202025
113 covered84 did notevery game since 1999, 57%; since 2021 22-16

The last time the Dolphins were here, Nov 19, 2000: lost to the Jets by 17 as a 3.5-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 197 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Dolphins.

This week · Colts in a pick 'em on a three-game losing streak in November
45-31
this game200020052010201520202025
45 covered31 did notevery game since 1999, 59%; since 2021 10-4

The last time the Colts were here, Nov 5, 2023: beat the Panthers by 14 as a 1.5-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 76 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Colts.

This week · Colts on a three-game losing streak with an elite quarterback against a first-year head coach
23-16
this game200020052010201520202025
23 covered16 did notevery game since 1999, 59%

The last time the Colts were here, Oct 25, 2001: beat the Chiefs by 7 as a 3-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 39 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Colts.

Searched this week: 2,958 spread situations and 230 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.19 on the spread and 3.71 on the total.

The books have not posted player lines for this game yet.

Our number for this game is not posted yet.

Nothing on the official card for this game.