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StickToTheModel
FreeWhat's your angle? · type any trend and see its record in every NFL game since 1999Test an angle
Betting HQ · Week 10 · Sun 4:25 PM ET

49ersatCowboys

KickoffSun 4:25 PMFOX
MarketSF -4.5the posted spread
Our numberno line
Total55.5the posted total
Triggers0none of our tested angles fire on this game

The passing game. Expect the 49ers to attack through the air all day.

A 49ers win moves their playoff chances from 98% to 99%; a loss drops them to 95%. Play out the rest of their season →

A Cowboys win moves their playoff chances from 20% to 31%; a loss drops them to 15%. Play out the rest of their season →

The Cowboys have 20 players on the injury report, the 49ers 15.

Designations as of 2026-11-09.

49ers

+10 more

Cowboys

+15 more

49ers passing game, 3rd, against a pass defense ranked 26th.

Longer bar, better unit.

49ers with the ball

49ers offenseCowboys defense
3rd
Passing
26th
4th
Run game
26th
7th
Pass rush
26th
2nd
Third down
29th
2nd
Big plays
27th
18th
Turnovers
22nd
1st
Red zone
22nd

Cowboys with the ball

Cowboys offense49ers defense
9th
Passing
5th
6th
Run game
9th
11th
Pass rush
25th
6th
Third down
20th
13th
Big plays
2nd
16th
Turnovers
15th
7th
Red zone
7th

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9, close-game snaps.

No bets-versus-money split is posted for this game yet.

49ers team total 30 the 55.5 total and the 4.5 spread, split; no posted team total yet

Cowboys team total 25.5 the 55.5 total and the 4.5 spread, split; no posted team total yet

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · 49ers with a total of 48 or higher with a head coach in year eight or later with the team in the late-afternoon window
112-80
this game200020052010201520202025
112 covered80 did notevery game since 1999, 58%; since 2021 34-23

The last time the 49ers were here, Oct 6, 2024: lost to the Cardinals by 1 as a 7-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 192 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the 49ers.

This week · 49ers two or more time zones from home without their top receiver
35-50
this game200020052010201520202025
35 covered50 did notevery game since 1999, 41%; since 2021 15-17

The last time the 49ers were here, Dec 30, 2002: lost to the STL by 11 as a 2-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 85 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Cowboys.

This week · 49ers with a total of 48 or higher two or more time zones from home with the better head coach by two tiers
53-35
this game200020052010201520202025
53 covered35 did notevery game since 1999, 60%; since 2021 16-10

The last time the 49ers were here, Oct 20, 2002: lost to the Saints by 8 as a 1.5-point underdog.

Inside the luck line: 88 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the 49ers.

This week · The total with two elite quarterbacks with a top receiver out
20-35
this game200020052010201520202025
20 went over35 stayed underevery game since 1999, 36%; since 2021 2-9

Inside the luck line: 55 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the under.

This week · The total in the late-afternoon window with a total of 48 or higher with a top receiver out
10-15
this game200020052010201520202025
10 went over15 stayed underevery game since 1999, 40%; since 2021 5-7

Inside the luck line: 25 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the under.

Searched this week: 2,958 spread situations and 230 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.19 on the spread and 3.71 on the total.

The books have not posted player lines for this game yet.

Our number for this game is not posted yet.

Nothing on the official card for this game.