New: Be a GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it. →
StickToTheModel
FreeBe a GM · run the cap, the cuts, the trades and the draft for your teamRun the team

Alec Pierce

WR·Indianapolis Colts·#14·6'3"·213 lb·4th year·Cincinnati
Tier 2Round 2, pick 53 in 2022
Updated November 4, 2026
76.0
Model Score
Down from 80.2 last year
Trade value ·an early 2nd

Alec Pierce has 5 catches, 72 receiving yards and 0 touchdowns in 2 games for the Indianapolis Colts this season through Week 8, 6.1 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 4.2 from last season.

6070809076.020222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A boom-or-bust deep threat riding his quarterback's resurgence.

The case for

  • 28-rank improvement from 2024 to 2025 plus the 74-rank improvement from 2023; the steady climb is real.
  • Career 18.7 YPC on 157 receptions is among the top-three vertical-receiver efficiency profiles in the league.

The worry

  • Daniel Jones's #8 tier 2 QB finish is one year against four prior tier-8 seasons; the QB sustainability is the entire case.
  • Recent game log shows two sub-4 PPR weeks; the boom-bust pattern lives with deep-threat profiles.

What to watch: Whether Daniel Jones's 2026 line confirms 2025 was real; Pierce's tier-2 ceiling rides entirely on QB-level passing volume.

Full take and bio

Pierce's three-year STTM climb (#88 → #42 → #14) coincides with Daniel Jones's tier-2 jump in his first Colts year. The 2025 game log shows the classic vertical-WR pattern: 29.2 (Wk 18), 24.6 (Wk 16) ceilings with 2.6 (Wk 15) and 3.6 (Wk 12) floors. Career 18.7 YPC profile is among the highest in the field. The Indy ecosystem clicked for him in 2025.

Pierce was born in Glen Ellyn, Illinois, attended Glenbard West (his father played tight end at Northwestern), and was a second-team All-AAC pick at Cincinnati. Indianapolis took him 53rd overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. Career line is 157 catches for 2,934 yards and 17 TDs across four seasons. He climbed from STTM #88 tier 8 as a rookie to #42 to #14 tier 2 in 2025.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: DeVante Parker, Marvin Jones, Terry Glenn. Built like: Devin Thomas, Martavis Bryant, Cordarrelle Patterson. Coming out: Carlton Mitchell, Keith Kirkwood, Nico Collins.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 3 starters, 10 backups, 6 didn't stick.

Alec Pierce Injury StatusIR

Alec Pierce is listed on injured reserve (Heel), reported Nov 4, with a return date of Nov 8. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 2 games

Rec5
Rec Yds72
Rec TD0
Targets7
Yds/Gm36.0
Fantasy PPG6.1
EPA / target1.020
Avg separation2.1 yd
Avg cushion5.8 yd
YAC over exp1.0
Catch %66.7%

6.1 fantasy points a game, 12 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$9.2M
APY
$28.5M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$60.0M
Years on Deal
4
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$22.9M/yr
overpaid by $5.6M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Alec Pierce at WR65 (the public consensus says WR75); the model has 84 PPR points left for him this season.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 53 to the Indianapolis Colts in 2022, out of Cincinnati (American Athletic).

Taken#53
Our college model#598 WR

In college, 2019-2021, 33 games: 101 rec, 1,705 yds, 12 TD, 16.9 yds/rec.

Recruited

Class of 2018 · Receiver · High school: Glenbard West, Glen Ellyn, IL

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 1,164 in the nation. Composite 0.8466, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2018 class are still being added.

Related Tools & Pages