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Alec Pierce

Indianapolis Colts·#14
Pos WRHt 6'3"Wt 213 lbExp 4 yrCollege Cincinnati
Updated September 21, 2026

Model Score

78.2 MODEL
2022
69.0
2023
68.1
2024
73.1
2025
78.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 1 games

4
Rec
61
Rec Yds
0
Rec TD
6
Targets
61.0
Yds/Gm
10.1
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.108
EPA / target
2.1 yd
Avg separation
5.8 yd
Avg cushion
1.0
YAC over exp
66.7%
Catch %

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 53 · Indianapolis Colts · 2022
Cincinnati (American Athletic)
Taken
#53
where he actually went
Our college model
#835
among WR in our college data
In college · 2019-2021 · 33 games
96 rec, 1,591 yds, 7 TD, 16.6 yds/rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Comps

College career
his college career vs theirs

STM Take

Pierce's three-year STTM climb (#88 → #42 → #14) coincides with Daniel Jones's tier-2 jump in his first Colts year. The 2025 game log shows the classic vertical-WR pattern: 29.2 (Wk 18), 24.6 (Wk 16) ceilings with 2.6 (Wk 15) and 3.6 (Wk 12) floors. Career 18.7 YPC profile is among the highest in the field. The Indy ecosystem clicked for him in 2025.

Pierce was born in Glen Ellyn, Illinois, attended Glenbard West (his father played tight end at Northwestern), and was a second-team All-AAC pick at Cincinnati. Indianapolis took him 53rd overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. Career line is 157 catches for 2,934 yards and 17 TDs across four seasons. He climbed from STTM #88 tier 8 as a rookie to #42 to #14 tier 2 in 2025.

Strengths

  • 28-rank improvement from 2024 to 2025 plus the 74-rank improvement from 2023; the steady climb is real.
  • Career 18.7 YPC on 157 receptions is among the top-three vertical-receiver efficiency profiles in the league.

Concerns

  • Daniel Jones's #8 tier 2 QB finish is one year against four prior tier-8 seasons; the QB sustainability is the entire case.
  • Recent game log shows two sub-4 PPR weeks; the boom-bust pattern lives with deep-threat profiles.

What to watch: Whether Daniel Jones's 2026 line confirms 2025 was real; Pierce's tier-2 ceiling rides entirely on QB-level passing volume.

Fantasy Outlook

Alec Pierce scored 10 PPR points, 10.1 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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