New: Be a GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it. →
StickToTheModel
FreeBe a GM · run the cap, the cuts, the trades and the draft for your teamRun the team

Jonathan Taylor

RB·Indianapolis Colts·#28·5'10"·226 lb·6th year·Wisconsin
Tier 1Round 2, pick 41 in 2020
Updated November 7, 2026
96.0
Model Score
Down from 99.0 last year
Trade value ·a late 1st

Jonathan Taylor has 148 carries for 610 yards, 8 rushing touchdowns and 21 catches for 202 yards in 8 games for the Indianapolis Colts this season through Week 8, 18.8 PPR points a game (updated November 7, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 3.0 from last season.

70809010096.02020202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A volume workhorse back whose production is built on carries.

The case for

  • Led the NFL in rushing TDs in 2025 (second time after 2021), with 380 carries and 1,965 yards across all 17 games.
  • Career 4.9 yards per carry on 7,598 attempts holds steady across six seasons including the 2023 down year.

The worry

  • 380-carry workload in 2025 is the heaviest in years for any back; the wear-down risk in 2026 is real.
  • Three-year stretch from 2022-2024 was tier 3 or worse; one elite year can mask the recent variance band.

What to watch: Whether the receiving usage (77 targets in 2025) holds in 2026 to protect the PPR floor on volume regression weeks.

Full take and bio

Taylor's 2025 climb to STTM #2 tier 1 (from #11 tier 3 the previous year) restores the 2021 ceiling that briefly looked like the peak. 380 carries for 1,965 yards (5.17 YPC) and 20 rushing TDs is one of the heaviest workloads in the field. The profile is now built on volume; the receiving game (57 targets, 46 catches) is real but secondary.

Taylor was born in Salem, New Jersey, set the state's high school rushing record, and finished his Wisconsin career as the first FBS player to rush for 6,000-plus yards in any three-year span and a two-time Doak Walker Award winner. Indianapolis took him 41st overall in the 2020 NFL Draft. He led the NFL in rushing yards in 2021, won the rushing TD title that year and again in 2025, was first-team All-Pro in 2021, and has earned three Pro Bowls.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Doug Martin, Ezekiel Elliott, Melvin Gordon. Built like: Knile Davis, Deon Jackson, Andre Brown. Coming out: Jonathan Stewart, Nick Chubb, Royce Freeman.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 5 stars, 6 starters, 8 backups, 1 didn't stick.

Jonathan Taylor Props This Weekvs DAL Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Rushing yards60.5-110 DraftKings-114 DraftKings
Carries13.5-126 DraftKings+100 Bovada
Receptions2.5+110 Bovada-125 FanDuel
Receiving yards18.5-108 DraftKings-114 FanDuel
Longest reception10.5-105 Bovada-122 DraftKings
Longest rush15.5-112 DraftKings-116 DraftKings
Anytime TD-135 FanDuel

Best price across 9 books as of Fri Nov 6. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Jonathan's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Jonathan Taylor Injury StatusNot listed

Jonathan Taylor is not on the injury report as of Nov 6. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Rush Yds6108th
Rush TD82nd
Rec2114th
Rec Yds2028th
Total TD85th
Fantasy PPG18.89th
EPA / rush-0.05923rd
Rush yds over exp-132nd
Efficiency4.20
Time to line2.72s

18.8 fantasy points a game, 150 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$16.2M
APY
$22.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$23.0M
Years on Deal
3
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$18.7M/yr
overpaid by $3.3M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Jonathan Taylor at RB5 (the public consensus says RB6); the model has 156 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts DAL.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 41 to the Indianapolis Colts in 2020, out of Wisconsin (Big Ten). He went earlier than consensus.

Taken#41
Consensus board60th
Our college model#33 RB

In college, 2017-2019, 41 games: 6,109 rush yds, 55 TD, 6.6 yds/carry, 42 rec. Coming out: 4.39s 40 yd, 17 reps bench, 36" vertical, 123" broad, 7.01s 3-cone, 4.24s shuttle.

Recruited

Class of 2017 · Running back · High school: Salem, NJ

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 369 in the nation. Composite 0.8884, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Wisconsin

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2017 class are still being added.

Related Tools & Pages