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StickToTheModel
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Betting HQ · Week 10 · Sun 1:00 PM ET

VikingsatPackers

KickoffSun 1:00 PMFOX
MarketGB -3.5the posted spread
Our numberno line
Total42.5the posted total
Triggers0none of our tested angles fire on this game

The passing game. Expect the Vikings to find nowhere to throw.

A Vikings win moves their playoff chances from 82% to 94%; a loss drops them to 75%. Play out the rest of their season →

A Packers win moves their playoff chances from 61% to 72%; a loss drops them to 40%. Play out the rest of their season →

The Packers have 19 players on the injury report, the Vikings 9.

Designations as of 2026-11-09.

Vikings

+4 more

Packers

+14 more

Packers pass defense, 6th, against a passing game ranked 24th.

Longer bar, better unit.

Vikings with the ball

Vikings offensePackers defense
24th
Passing
6th
29th
Run game
12th
13th
Pass rush
17th
19th
Third down
26th
17th
Big plays
7th
9th
Turnovers
2nd
25th
Red zone
18th

Packers with the ball

Packers offenseVikings defense
5th
Passing
1st
30th
Run game
11th
17th
Pass rush
1st
17th
Third down
3rd
6th
Big plays
19th
6th
Turnovers
8th
20th
Red zone
1st

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9, close-game snaps.

No bets-versus-money split is posted for this game yet.

Vikings team total 19.5 the 42.5 total and the 3.5 spread, split; no posted team total yet

Packers team total 23 the 42.5 total and the 3.5 spread, split; no posted team total yet

The situations on the schedule that fit this game.

This week · Packers in a revenge game against a backup quarterback
102-56
this game200020052010201520202025
102 covered56 did notevery game since 1999, 65%; since 2021 26-16

The last time the Packers were here, Nov 21, 1999: beat the Lions by 9 as a 4-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 158 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Packers.

This week · Packers in a revenge game with an elite quarterback with a head coach in year eight or later with the team
55-23
this game200020052010201520202025
55 covered23 did notevery game since 1999, 71%; since 2021 13-6

The last time the Packers were here, Dec 29, 2013: beat the Bears by 5 as a 3-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 78 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Packers.

This week · Packers in a rematch against a backup quarterback
200-156
this game200020052010201520202025
200 covered156 did notevery game since 1999, 56%; since 2021 48-40

The last time the Packers were here, Nov 21, 1999: beat the Lions by 9 as a 4-point favorite.

Inside the luck line: 356 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the Packers.

This week · The total in November with a backup quarterback on the field with a top receiver out
35-24
this game200020052010201520202025
35 went over24 stayed underevery game since 1999, 59%; since 2021 12-8

Inside the luck line: 59 games, and shuffled results produce records like this one. Reading, not a bet; the lean is the over.

Searched this week: 2,958 spread situations and 230 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.19 on the spread and 3.71 on the total.

The books have not posted player lines for this game yet.

Our number for this game is not posted yet.

Nothing on the official card for this game.