KickoffSun 1:00 PMCBS
MarketKC -3.5the posted spread
Our numberno line
Total45.5the posted total
Triggers0none of our tested angles fire on this game
Thu 8:15 PM
WAS at
NYGNYG -1.5 / no lineSun 9:30 AM
NE at
DETNE -1.5 / DET -1.11Sun 1:00 PM
BUF at
NYJBUF -7.5 / no lineSun 1:00 PM
CAR at
NONO -1.5 / no lineSun 1:00 PM
HOU at
CLEHOU -4.5 / no lineSun 1:00 PM
JAX at
TENJAX -10 / no lineSun 1:00 PM
KC at
ATLKC -3.5 / no lineSun 1:00 PM
MIA at
INDIND -1.5 / no lineSun 1:00 PM
MIN at
GBGB -3.5 / no lineSun 4:05 PM
LA at
ARILA -7.5 / no lineSun 4:05 PM
SEA at
LVSEA -3.5 / no lineSun 4:25 PM
SF at
DALSF -4.5 / no lineSun 8:20 PM
PIT at
CINCIN -3.5 / no lineMon 8:15 PM
LAC at
BALBAL -5.5 / no line
The passing game. Expect the Falcons to find nowhere to throw.
A Chiefs win moves their playoff chances from 94% to 96%; a loss drops them to 89%. Play out the rest of their season →
A Falcons win moves their playoff chances from 15% to 20%; a loss drops them to 10%. Play out the rest of their season →
The Chiefs have 16 players on the injury report, the Falcons 14.
Designations as of 2026-11-09.
Chiefs
Garrett Nussmeier QBOUTCoach's Decision
Ben VanSumeren FBOUT
Diego Pounds OTOUT
Jack Pyburn LBOUTCoach's Decision
Mansoor Delane CBOUTShoulder
+11 more
Omarr Norman-Lott DTOUTKnee - ACL
Peter Woods DTOUTNeck
Brashard Smith RBIRHamstring
Jeff Caldwell WRIRKnee
Jimmy Holiday WRIR
Tyquan Thornton WRIRAnkle
Josh Simmons OTIRBack
L'Jarius Sneed CBIRKnee
Patrick Mahomes QBQElbow
Xavier Worthy WRQHamstring
Jaylon Moore OTQAnkle
Falcons
Andy Dalton QBOUTCoach's Decision
Jack Strand QBOUTCoach's Decision
Zachariah Branch WROUTHamstring
Anterio Thompson DTOUT
Billy Bowman Jr. CBOUTCoach's Decision
+9 more
Drake Jackson DEOUTCoach's Decision
Robert Longerbeam CBOUTCoach's Decision
Storm Norton OTOUTFoot
Brian Robinson Jr. RBIRHamstring
Trey Sermon RBIR
Cameron Williams OLIRAnkle
Da'Shawn Hand DTIRQuadriceps
Michael Jerrell OTIRBiceps
Samson Ebukam DEIRHamstring
Chiefs pass defense, 17th, against a passing game ranked 30th.
Longer bar, better unit.
Chiefs with the ball
Chiefs offenseFalcons defense
10th
Passing15th
2nd
Run game15th
19th
Pass rush10th
12th
Third down15th
3rd
Big plays32nd
8th
Turnovers29th
13th
Red zone19th
Falcons with the ball
Falcons offenseChiefs defense
30th
Passing17th
10th
Run game7th
2nd
Pass rush30th
29th
Third down21st
18th
Big plays11th
30th
Turnovers16th
14th
Red zone3rd
Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 9, close-game snaps.
No bets-versus-money split is posted for this game yet.
Chiefs team total 24.5 the 45.5 total and the 3.5 spread, split; no posted team total yet
Falcons team total 21 the 45.5 total and the 3.5 spread, split; no posted team total yet
Falcons have gone under 8 of 11 as a home underdog.
Falcons have gone under 8 of 11 as a home underdog
26 of 49 everywhere else, 2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026 · points to Under 45.5
Chiefs have covered 1 of the last 2 meetings
Last time, 2024 week 3: Chiefs 22, Falcons 17, Chiefs covered.
No angle fires on this game this week.
Bijan Robinson has 5 of his last 7 games at home as an underdog with a rushing touchdown.
Bijan RobinsonRB
Bijan Robinson has 5 of his last 7 games at home as an underdog with a rushing touchdown. 14 of 44 everywhere else, 2023-2025.
Drake London has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards. 19 of 35 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
Kenneth Walker III has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards. 15 of 30 everywhere else, 2025-2026.
2 more player trends
Bijan RobinsonRB
Bijan Robinson has 7 of his last 10 games at home with 75+ rushing yards. 14 of 26 everywhere else, 2024-2025.
Bijan RobinsonRB
Bijan Robinson has 7 of his last 10 games at home with 100+ yards from scrimmage. 15 of 26 everywhere else, 2024-2025.
The books have not posted player lines for this game yet.
Our number for this game is not posted yet.
Nothing on the official card for this game.