ChiefsatSeahawks

Longer bar, better unit.

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6, close-game snaps.

Fewer people, betting bigger.

Bets is the share of tickets; money is the share of dollars. When the money runs well ahead of the bets, fewer people are betting bigger on that side, the move bettors call sharp money.

Spread

Chiefs+3-3Seahawks

Bets71%29%

Money40%60%

71% of the bets are on the Chiefs, but 60% of the money is on the Seahawks.

Since 2018: when most of the bets sat on one side and most of the money on the other, the money side covered 52.5% (178-161-14, 353 games). No better than a coin flip.

Total

Over42.542.5Under

Bets72%28%

Money70%30%

The public is on the over: 72% of the bets.

Since 2018: when 65% or more of the bets were on one side, that side hit 49.7% (213-216-5, 434 games). No better than a coin flip.

Moneyline

Chiefs+120-142Seahawks

Bets71%29%

Money74%26%

The public is on the Chiefs: 71% of the bets.

Since 2018: when 65% or more of the bets were on one side, that side won 67.4% straight up, -3.6 units at the posted prices (357-173, 530 games). About even once you pay the prices.

Bets and money splits via DraftKings, as of Fri 12:04 PM ET. One book's customers, not the whole market.

Chiefs team total 20.5 Bovada, over -110, under -120; the spread and total split it 19.8

Seahawks team total 21.5 Bovada, over -120, under -110; the spread and total split it 22.8

Over 42.5some

2,772 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 1,263.

2.2xluck's count

Seahawks -3could be luck

1,119 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 653.

1.7xluck's count

Searched this week: 1,216 spread situations and 87 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.04 on the spread and 3.4 on the total.

Chiefs +3: the strongest angles

their coach's year as a head coach 13 or more; what the opponent's defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 0.83 x or less 64-29

what the opponent's defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 0.83 x or less; the opponent's defensive line ranks 2 or better (1 best, 8 worst) 71-35

what the opponent's defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 0.83 x or less; their defensive line vs the other (plus = worse) 0 tiers or more 128-70

Seahawks -3: the strongest angles

their defense: tall receivers vs short ones 1.11 x or more; their cover rate minus the opponent's -35% or less 68-40

their win rate minus the opponent's -36% or less; their coach vs the other coach (plus = worse) -3 tiers or less 103-64

their win rate minus the opponent's -50% or less; their coach vs the other coach (plus = worse) -3 tiers or less 75-45

Over 42.5: the strongest angles

how far last game went over the total -13 pts or less; extra rest over the opponent 3 days or more 51-24

how far last game went over the total -10.5 pts or less; extra rest over the opponent 3 days or more 66-34

points the opponent allowed last game 12 pts or less; time zones crossed going east -2 or less 60-32

Under 42.5: the strongest angles

their cover streak (minus = misses) -3 or less; wind 7 mph or more 149-88

their cover streak (minus = misses) -3 or less; wind 7 mph or more 149-88

the referee's games worked 31 or less; their cover rate minus the opponent's -27% or less 77-42