Abraham Lucas
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
Two healthy NFL seasons (2022 tier 5 #36, 2025 tier 4 #25) bookend two years lost or compressed by the August 2023 PCL/meniscus injury. The 2025 finish is the recovery baseline; the 2022 rookie production is the ceiling reference. At 28 with the knee two years in the rearview, the 2026 question is whether the explosive get-off returns to pre-injury form.
Lucas came out of Washington State as Seattle's 3rd-round pick (72nd overall) in 2022. His rookie 2022 produced a tier 5 (#36) finish at right tackle, a solid debut for a 3rd-round pick. A serious knee injury (PCL plus meniscus) ended his 2023 season in August before regular-season snaps and disrupted his 2024 recovery (tier 8 #67 on limited reps). The 2025 tier 4 (#25) finish represents the post-knee return to baseline, not yet back to the 2022 ceiling.
Strengths
- 2022 rookie tier 5 (#36) finish established a real ceiling profile. 3rd-round draft pedigree from Washington State plus the rebound to tier 4 (#25) in 2025 confirms the technique is intact.
- Two full healthy seasons of NFL starter snaps when on the field, even with the 2023-2024 disruption.
Concerns
- August 2023 PCL plus meniscus tear is a precedent for how quickly health can change the trajectory. PCL injuries often have lingering effects on lateral movement.
- Seattle's offensive line as a whole has been a multi-year problem; Lucas's individual recovery depends on the supporting cast staying healthy.
What to watch: Whether Lucas's 2026 finish climbs back to his 2022 tier 5 (#36) baseline or whether the knee residual permanently caps his ceiling at tier 4.
Comps
Abraham Lucas Injury StatusNot listed
Abraham Lucas is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
