Abraham Lucas
Seattle SeahawksModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Draft & College
Comps
STM Take
Two healthy NFL seasons (2022 tier 5 #36, 2025 tier 4 #25) bookend two years lost or compressed by the August 2023 PCL/meniscus injury. The 2025 finish is the recovery baseline; the 2022 rookie production is the ceiling reference. At 28 with the knee two years in the rearview, the 2026 question is whether the explosive get-off returns to pre-injury form.
Lucas came out of Washington State as Seattle's 3rd-round pick (72nd overall) in 2022. His rookie 2022 produced a tier 5 (#36) finish at right tackle, a solid debut for a 3rd-round pick. A serious knee injury (PCL plus meniscus) ended his 2023 season in August before regular-season snaps and disrupted his 2024 recovery (tier 8 #67 on limited reps). The 2025 tier 4 (#25) finish represents the post-knee return to baseline, not yet back to the 2022 ceiling.
Strengths
- 2022 rookie tier 5 (#36) finish established a real ceiling profile. 3rd-round draft pedigree from Washington State plus the rebound to tier 4 (#25) in 2025 confirms the technique is intact.
- Two full healthy seasons of NFL starter snaps when on the field, even with the 2023-2024 disruption.
Concerns
- August 2023 PCL plus meniscus tear is a precedent for how quickly health can change the trajectory. PCL injuries often have lingering effects on lateral movement.
- Seattle's offensive line as a whole has been a multi-year problem; Lucas's individual recovery depends on the supporting cast staying healthy.
What to watch: Whether Lucas's 2026 finish climbs back to his 2022 tier 5 (#36) baseline or whether the knee residual permanently caps his ceiling at tier 4.