Luke Goedeke
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 11 games
Draft & College
Comps
STM Take
The position switch from RG to RT plus the 2024 tier 3 (#19) breakout established him as a meaningful starter. The 2025 step back to tier 5 (#34) reflects the broader Bucs OL injury issues more than a Goedeke-specific concern. At 28 with the contract through 2027, the 2026 trajectory depends on whether the offensive line stays healthy around him.
Goedeke came out of Central Michigan as Tampa Bay's 2nd-round pick (57th overall) in 2022. He started his NFL career at right guard before sliding to right tackle in 2023, where he has remained since. His career arc has been jagged: tier 6 (#48) at right guard as a rookie, tier 3 (#19) at right tackle in 2024 when Tampa Bay's offensive line came together with Mike Evans's healthy season, then tier 5 (#34) in 2025 as the Bucs offensive line health declined.
Strengths
- Successful RG-to-RT position switch with the 2024 tier 3 (#19) finish confirms versatility plus starter-grade RT production.
- Three consecutive seasons of starter snaps despite the position change shows the technique is real. Central Michigan starter pedigree plus the 2nd-round draft slot establishes a defined ceiling.
Concerns
- 2025 step back from tier 3 (#19) to tier 5 (#34) shows the consistency is not yet locked in.
- Tampa Bay's offensive line as a whole has been a multi-year project; if Tristan Wirfs's 2025 injury issues persist, the protection load on Goedeke increases.
What to watch: Whether Goedeke's 2026 finish returns to his 2024 tier 3 (#19) baseline or whether the 2025 step back becomes the new ceiling.
