Michael Wilson

Arizona Cardinals·#14UNDERPAID

Pos WRHt 6'2"Wt 209 lbExp 2 yrCollege Stanford

Updated August 24, 2026

WR rankings →

Model Score

74.3 MODEL

2023

76.9

2024

73.3

2025

74.3

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 7 games

3761st

Rec

54761st

Rec Yds

685th

Rec TD

6762nd

Targets

78.150th

Yds/Gm

18.258th

Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.22675th

EPA / target

2.3 yd97th

Avg separation

5.6 yd

Avg cushion

0.739th

YAC over exp

60.7%

Catch %

Draft & College

Round 3, pick 94 · Arizona Cardinals · 2023

Stanford (Pac-12)

Taken

#94

where he actually went

Consensus board

87th

average of the public big boards that spring

Our college model

#261

among WR in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2018-2022 · 36 games

133 rec, 1,645 yds, 10 TD, 12.4 yds/rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Comps

Overall match

size, testing and production, same career stage

DeAndre Hopkins72%Courtland Sutton70%Gabe Davis70%

Plays like

on-field production only

Andre Johnson89%Demaryius Thomas88%A.J. Green86%

Built like

measurables only

Brandon LaFell86%Huey Whittaker86%Marcus Lucas85%

College career

his college career vs theirs

Hasise Dubois90%Jauan Jennings89%Jordan Reid88%

STM Take

The 2025 #46 (tier 6) finish is anchored by a torrid close: Wks 14-18 produced 37.2, 16.4, 13.2, 19.9, 20.9 PPR, five straight games of 13+ PPR with two over 20. That stretch is starter-grade WR2 production. The Wk 7 zero and Wk 13 6.6 show the floor when the Cardinals' offense gets shut down, but the underlying trajectory is positive for a 3rd-round investment.

Wilson came out of Stanford as Arizona's 3rd-round pick (94th overall) in 2023 after a five-year college career that was interrupted multiple times by injuries (broken collarbone, foot, back). He posted 38 catches for 565 yards as a rookie in 2023 and earned a starting role opposite Marvin Harrison Jr. and Greg Dortch through 2024. The 2025 season produced a meaningful breakout: with Harrison's 2025 production capped by an injured Kyler Murray, Wilson became Murray's most-trusted intermediate target.

Strengths

Wks 14-18 2025 produced five straight games of 13+ PPR including a 37.2 PPR Wk 14 explosion. The closing stretch averaged 21.5 PPR, starter-grade WR2 production.
3rd-round draft pedigree plus three seasons of survival on Arizona's roster confirms the projection grade was real. Career durability has improved since the Stanford injuries.

Concerns

Career arc is uneven: tier 6 #46 in 2025 is his STTM high after two quiet seasons. One year of breakout production is not yet a trend.
Marvin Harrison Jr.'s long-term ceiling caps Wilson's target share once Murray returns to full health. The 2025 gains may compress when Harrison absorbs the alpha role again.

What to watch: Whether his target share holds above 5 per game once Marvin Harrison Jr. returns to full target priority in 2026.