Michael Wilson
Arizona Cardinals·#14Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
The 2025 #46 (tier 6) finish is anchored by a torrid close: Wks 14-18 produced 37.2, 16.4, 13.2, 19.9, 20.9 PPR, five straight games of 13+ PPR with two over 20. That stretch is starter-grade WR2 production. The Wk 7 zero and Wk 13 6.6 show the floor when the Cardinals' offense gets shut down, but the underlying trajectory is positive for a 3rd-round investment.
Wilson came out of Stanford as Arizona's 3rd-round pick (94th overall) in 2023 after a five-year college career that was interrupted multiple times by injuries (broken collarbone, foot, back). He posted 38 catches for 565 yards as a rookie in 2023 and earned a starting role opposite Marvin Harrison Jr. and Greg Dortch through 2024. The 2025 season produced a meaningful breakout: with Harrison's 2025 production capped by an injured Kyler Murray, Wilson became Murray's most-trusted intermediate target.
Strengths
- Wks 14-18 2025 produced five straight games of 13+ PPR including a 37.2 PPR Wk 14 explosion. The closing stretch averaged 21.5 PPR, starter-grade WR2 production.
- 3rd-round draft pedigree plus three seasons of survival on Arizona's roster confirms the projection grade was real. Career durability has improved since the Stanford injuries.
Concerns
- Career arc is uneven: tier 6 #46 in 2025 is his STTM high after two quiet seasons. One year of breakout production is not yet a trend.
- Marvin Harrison Jr.'s long-term ceiling caps Wilson's target share once Murray returns to full health. The 2025 gains may compress when Harrison absorbs the alpha role again.
What to watch: Whether his target share holds above 5 per game once Marvin Harrison Jr. returns to full target priority in 2026.
Comps
Names you know nearby: Jakobi Meyers ’19 65%.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 0 stars, 2 starters, 13 backups, 5 didn't stick.
Michael Wilson Props This Weekvs DET Sun Oct 11
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 5.5 | -143 BetRivers | +117 BetOnline |
| Receiving yards | 74.5 | -114 DraftKings | -105 BetMGM |
| Anytime TD | +180 DraftKings |
Best price across 9 books as of Thu Oct 8. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
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Michael Wilson Injury StatusNot listed
Michael Wilson is not on the injury report as of Oct 8. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
Michael Wilson Stats This Season · 4 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Michael Wilson Fantasy Outlook
Michael Wilson scored 57 PPR points, 14.2 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.