Kyler Murray
Minnesota Vikings·#1UNDERPAIDModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 1 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
Murray's 2025 finish at STTM #25 tier 7 across 5 games closes a four-year stretch reading #8, #22, #13, #25. The profile has not strung together two tier-3-or-better seasons since 2020-21. The talent profile (67.1 percent career completion, 32 career rushing TDs) keeps the resume credible, but the rank trajectory points sideways at best.
Murray was born in Bedford, Texas, won three straight state titles at Allen High School, and was the first player ever drafted in the first round of both Major League Baseball (Athletics, 9th overall, 2018) and the NFL. He played at Texas A&M for a year, transferred to Oklahoma, and won the 2018 Heisman Trophy and AP College Football Player of the Year. Arizona took him first overall in the 2019 NFL Draft, he won Offensive Rookie of the Year, and has earned two Pro Bowls (2020, 2021). He ranks fifth all-time in completion percentage among QBs with at least 1,500 attempts.
Strengths
- 67.1 percent career completion percentage ranks fifth all-time among QBs with at least 1,500 attempts.
- 3,193 career rushing yards and 32 rushing TDs add a high-floor fantasy profile that the tier-1 pocket passers lack.
Concerns
- Three of the last four STTM seasons at tier 6 or worse; the 2021 tier-2 peak now reads as the outlier, not the baseline.
- Only 5 games played in 2025 means availability is now a recurring story, not a one-time injury.
What to watch: Health and snap count. The high-floor profile cannot show up in the rank if he is not on the field.
Fantasy Outlook
Kyler Murray scored -0.4 per game this season. Compare him against any QB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.