Paris Johnson Jr.
Arizona CardinalsModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 12 games
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Comps
STM Take
Three straight years as the Cardinals' starting LT for a 6th overall pick puts Johnson in the structural top-10 LT class. The Ohio State Big Ten 6th overall draft pedigree plus the structural Arizona anchor role establish elite foundation. The 2026 question is whether Johnson crosses into tier 4-5 territory or whether the structural tier 7-8 STTM finish flags real concerns about the 6th overall expectation.
Johnson came out of Ohio State as the Arizona Cardinals' 1st-round pick (6th overall) in 2023 after earning 2022 First-Team All-Big-Ten honors. He has been the Cardinals' starting left tackle for three straight seasons protecting Kyler Murray.
Strengths
- Ohio State Big Ten 6th overall draft pedigree plus three years of Cardinals starting LT reps protecting Kyler Murray establishes structural top-10 LT foundation.
- Ohio State 2022 First-Team All-Big-Ten honors plus the structural Arizona long-term LT investment gives him real career foundation.
Concerns
- Career STTM range historically tier 7-8 for a 6th overall pick puts him in the negative draft-slot-vs-outcome class.
- Arizona's broader defensive identity around the multi-year rebuild compresses the structural support around Johnson.
What to watch: Whether Johnson crosses into tier 5 (top 40) in 2026, the standard year-four threshold for top-10 OT picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.