New: Be a GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it. →
StickToTheModel
FreeBe a GM · run the cap, the cuts, the trades and the draft for your teamRun the team

Quentin Johnston

WR·Los Angeles Chargers·#1·6'2"·208 lb·3rd year·TCU
UNDERPAIDTier 2Round 1, pick 21 in 2023
Updated November 4, 2026
73.1
Model Score
Down from 76.6 last year
Trade value ·a 3rd

Quentin Johnston has 12 catches, 202 receiving yards and 0 touchdowns in 6 games for the Los Angeles Chargers this season through Week 8, 5.4 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 3.5 from last season.

60708073.12023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A boom-or-bust first-round receiver finding his role.

The case for

  • Two-year climb from tier 8 to tier 4; the developmental arc is real.
  • 18 career receiving TDs on 144 catches; the red-zone touchdown rate is among the higher rates in this rank range.

The worry

  • Recent game log shows a 0 PPR Week 11; the boom-bust pattern still dominates.
  • Justin Herbert's tier-5 finish in 2025 capped the air-share volume; the QB rank trend is going the wrong way.

What to watch: Whether Herbert's 2026 line rebounds to tier-3 and unlocks consistent volume; Johnston's tier-3 case rides on the QB.

Full take and bio

Johnston's climb from STTM #84 tier 8 as a rookie to #35 tier 5 to #29 tier 4 in 2025 is the slow positive trajectory of a first-round pick finally finding his role. The 6'3" 208 frame paired with a Justin Herbert offense has produced an 18-TD pace through three years. The rank is climbing but the floor games (0 PPR Week 11, 2.8 PPR Week 14) still happen.

Johnston was born in Temple, Texas, attended Temple High, and was a two-time first-team All-Big 12 pick at TCU. The Chargers took him 21st overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. Career line is 144 catches for 1,877 yards and 18 TDs across three seasons.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Michael Gallup, Riley Cooper, Sammie Coates. Built like: Bryce Lance, Andre Holmes, Justin McCareins. Coming out: Denzel Mims, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Breshad Perriman.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 6 starters, 7 backups, 4 didn't stick.

Quentin Johnston Props This Weekat LA

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions2.5-105 Bovada-125 Bovada
Receiving yards31.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Quentin's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Quentin Johnston Injury StatusNot listed

Quentin Johnston is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 6 games

Rec12
Rec Yds202
Rec TD0
Targets26
Yds/Gm33.7
Fantasy PPG5.4
EPA / target1.471
Avg separation2.9 yd
Avg cushion5.9 yd
YAC over exp-1.3
Catch %34.4%

5.4 fantasy points a game, 32 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$4.5M
APY
$3.5M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$14.2M
Years on Deal
5
Signed
2023
Est. Value
$20.3M/yr
underpaid by $16.8M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Quentin Johnston at WR63 (the public consensus says WR62); the model has 79 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits LA.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 21 to the Los Angeles Chargers in 2023, out of TCU (Big 12). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#21
Consensus board20th
Our college model#144 WR

In college, 2020-2022, 31 games: 116 rec, 2,235 yds, 15 TD, 19.3 yds/rec.

Recruited

Class of 2020 · Receiver · High school: Temple, TX

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 71 in the nation. Composite 0.9674, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
TCU

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2020 class are still being added.

Related Tools & Pages