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Rashee Rice

WR·Kansas City Chiefs·#4·6'1"·203 lb·3rd year·SMU
UNDERPAIDTier 2Round 2, pick 55 in 2023
Updated November 4, 2026
81.5
Model Score
Up from 79.3 last year
Trade value ·an early 2nd

Rashee Rice has 20 catches, 243 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns in 4 games for the Kansas City Chiefs this season through Week 8, 14.1 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 2.2 from last season.

70809081.52023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A top receiver whose talent and conduct are now linked.

The case for

  • 29.4 PPR Wk 13 and 25.5 PPR Wk 8 on his post-suspension return; the touch share came back immediately.
  • Super Bowl LVIII champion and NFL rookie postseason record holder (26 catches); the postseason ceiling is proven.

The worry

  • Five-year probation period means a missed condition could trigger jail time, putting the entire 2026 season at risk.
  • Only 8 games in 2025 means the per-game extrapolation is the only profile we have; durability and conduct are now linked.

What to watch: Whether a full clean 17-game 2026 season produces the tier-1 finish his per-game line projects; the off-field risk is the limiting factor.

Full take and bio

Rice at STTM #12 tier 2 across only 8 games (six-game suspension to start the year) shows the talent is intact despite the legal and league discipline. Recent game log peaks at 29.4 PPR (Wk 13) and a 25.5 PPR (Wk 8) confirm the role is back. The career 156 catches for 1,797 yards (and 14 TDs) across three injury and suspension-shortened seasons makes the sample small but loud.

Rice was born in Philadelphia, attended Richland High in Texas, and was a 2022 first-team All-AAC selection at SMU. Kansas City took him 55th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. He won Super Bowl LVIII and set the NFL record for most postseason receptions by a rookie (26). In July 2025 he pleaded guilty to two third-degree felonies for a March 2024 hit-and-run street-racing crash in Dallas, was sentenced to 30 days jail and five years probation, and served a six-game suspension to open the 2025 season.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: John Taylor, Mark Carrier, Louis Lipps. Built like: Chris Moore, Mohamed Massaquoi, David Givens. Coming out: Greg Salas, Romeo Doubs, Davante Adams.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 9 starters, 5 backups, 3 didn't stick.

Rashee Rice Props This Weekat DEN

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions4.5-120 Bovada-110 Bovada
Receiving yards49.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Rashee's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Rashee Rice Injury StatusNot listed

Rashee Rice is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 4 games

Rec20
Rec Yds243
Rec TD2
Targets25
Yds/Gm60.8
Fantasy PPG14.1
EPA / target0.697
Avg separation4.0 yd
Avg cushion6.6 yd
YAC over exp0.9
Catch %77.3%

14.1 fantasy points a game, 56 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$2.1M
APY
$1.6M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$3.5M
Years on Deal
4
Signed
2023
Est. Value
$35.2M/yr
underpaid by $33.5M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Rashee Rice at WR21 (the public consensus says WR26); the model has 147 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits DEN.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 55 to the Kansas City Chiefs in 2023, out of SMU (American Athletic). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#55
Consensus board53rd
Our college model#53 WR

In college, 2019-2022, 42 games: 227 rec, 3,027 yds, 26 TD, 13.3 yds/rec.

Recruited

Class of 2019 · Receiver · High school: Richland, North Richland Hills, TX

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 817 in the nation. Composite 0.8663, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
SMU

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2019 class are still being added.

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