Ray Davis
Buffalo BillsRay Davis has 11 carries for 42 yards, 0 rushing touchdowns and 3 catches for 40 yards in 5 games for the Buffalo Bills this season through Week 8, 2.2 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).
Model Score by season
Down 2.9 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A pure backup running back with one spike game a year.
The case for
- 1,129 rushing yards on 5.4 YPC as a Kentucky senior was a genuine production line that justified the 4th-round pick. The Wk 18 2025 25.4 PPR shows the ceiling when Cook misses time.
- Pass-protection acumen is above the rookie-class average, which is why Buffalo keeps him over cheaper undrafted options.
The worry
- Two consecutive tier 8 finishes with no role expansion confirms the ceiling: he is a James Cook backup, not an emerging lead.
- Age 27 entering 2026 means he is already past the typical RB development window. The 2024 rookie label was inflated by his college path, not his actual age.
What to watch: Whether Buffalo retains him in 2026 as the Cook handcuff or moves on for a cheaper younger backup before final cuts.
Full take and bio
Two straight tier 8 finishes (#31 in 2024, #42 in 2025) confirm the role: pure backup behind James Cook with one obvious spike game per season. The Wk 18 25.4 PPR was the 2025 highlight, but five sub-6 PPR weeks around it show what the floor looks like when Cook is healthy. He is a James-Cook-injury-handcuff, nothing more.
Davis came out of Kentucky (after transfers from Temple and Vanderbilt) as Buffalo's 4th-round pick (128th overall) in 2024 at the unusually old age of 25. He posted 1,129 rushing yards as a Kentucky senior on 5.4 yards per carry, an outlier production line for a back coming off three transfers. He spent his 2024 rookie season as James Cook's clear backup, with one big game against Detroit (97 yards, 22.0 PPR) as a season highlight. The 2025 role was similar: occasional spike weeks behind Cook's lead role.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Musa Smith, Rudi Johnson, Joe McKnight. Coming out: David Montgomery, Alfred Morris, Corey Clement.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 2 starters, 15 backups, 2 didn't stick.
Ray Davis Props This Weekvs BAL
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 4.5 | -125 Bovada | -105 Bovada |
Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play Ray's numbers on Underdog · partner link
Ray Davis Injury StatusNot listed
Ray Davis is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 5 games
2.2 fantasy points a game, 11 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has Ray Davis at RB73 (the public consensus says RB64); the model has 37 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts BAL.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 4, pick 128 to the Buffalo Bills in 2024, out of Kentucky (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.
In college, 2022-2023, 22 games: 1,922 rush yds, 19 TD, 5.1 yds/carry, 20 rec.
Recruited
Class of 2019 · Running back · High school: Blair Academy, Blairstown, NJ
His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2019 class are still being added.