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Tennessee Titans playoff chances, Week 10

0%chance to make the playoffs1-7, 4th in the AFC South, outside the AFC field today
0%win the AFC South0%No. 1 seed0%win the Super Bowl
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Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Titans (1-7) did not make the playoffs in any of 3,000 simulated seasons heading into Week 10. They are not mathematically out. They are 4th in the AFC South and would be outside the AFC field if the season ended today.

What do the Titans need in Week 10?

vs Jaguars, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETThe Titans win it 17% of the time

The Titans play the Jaguars in Week 10, and the result does not move their playoff chance: it is 0% with a win or a loss.

Who should Titans fans root for in Week 10?

No other game in Week 10 moves the Titans by a full point.

Titans playoff odds by final record

No record still in reach gets the Titans in more often than not.

6-110%6% of seasons
5-120%16% of seasons
4-130%27% of seasons
3-140%28% of seasons
2-150%16% of seasons
1-160%4% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Titans finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Titans playoff seed odds

Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

0%No. 1
0%No. 2
0%No. 3
0%No. 4
0%No. 5
0%No. 6
0%No. 7
100%Miss

Titans remaining schedule

9 games left. At each game’s win chance the Titans finish about 4-13.

WkOpponentKickoffTitans win
10Jacksonville Jaguars logovs JaguarsSun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET17%
11at CowboysSun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET27%
12Jacksonville Jaguars logoat JaguarsSun, Nov 29, 4:05 PM ET12%
13vs CommandersSun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET47%
14at LionsSun, Dec 13, 1:00 PM ET21%
15vs ColtsSun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET45%
Show the last 3 games
16at RaidersSun, Dec 27, 4:05 PM ET39%
17vs SteelersSun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET32%
18at TexansSun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET21%

Where would the Titans pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 2typical first-round pick in the seasons the Titans miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Titans miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 2, and between No. 1 and No. 5 in 8 of every 10. It is a top-5 pick in 91% of those seasons.

The AFC South race

TeamRecordPlayoffsWin division
Jacksonville Jaguars logoJaguars6-299%96%
Houston Texans logoTexans3-526%4%
Indianapolis Colts logoColts2-7<1%<1%
Titans1-70%0%
Pick the Titans’ games yourself

Titans playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Titans' playoff chances right now?

0%. The Titans are 1-7, 4th in the AFC South, outside the AFC field today. They did not win the AFC South or the Super Bowl in any of 3,000 simulated seasons.

What record do the Titans need to make the playoffs?

No record still in reach gets the Titans in more often than not.

Can the Titans still win the AFC South?

Not in any of 3,000 simulated seasons. The Jaguars lead the AFC South at 6-2; the Titans are 1-7.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.

Tennessee Titans playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.