Green Bay Packers playoff chances, Week 10

64%chance to make the playoffs6-3, 4th in the NFC North, the NFC's No. 7 seed today

12%win the NFC North4%No. 1 seed3%win the Super Bowl

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Packers (6-3) have a 64% chance to make the playoffs heading into Week 10, a 12% chance to win the NFC North and a 4% chance at the No. 1 seed. They are 4th in the NFC North and would be the NFC's No. 7 seed if the season ended today.

What do the Packers need in Week 10?

vs Vikings, Sunday, 1:00 PM ETThe Packers win it 66% of the time

Playoffs with a win74%

Playoffs with a loss44%

Beat the Vikings and the Packers' playoff chance is 74%. Lose and it is 44%.

Who should Packers fans root for in Week 10?

Cardinals over RamsSunday, 4:05 PM ET · moves their playoff chance

68%vs62%

Raiders over SeahawksSunday, 4:05 PM ET · moves their playoff chance

66%vs62%

Patriots over LionsSunday, 9:30 AM ET · moves their division chance

14%vs10%

Cowboys over 49ersSunday, 4:25 PM ET · moves their No. 1 seed chance

5%vs3%

The Packers’ chance if that team wins, then if it loses. Biggest swing first; games that move them by less than a point are left out. 20,000 simulated seasons.

Packers playoff odds by final record

10-7 gets the Packers in 61% of the time: 4 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 96%.

13-4100%4% of seasons

12-5100%14% of seasons

11-696%25% of seasons

10-761%28% of seasons

9-814%18% of seasons

8-90%7% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Packers finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Packers playoff seed odds

The Packers' most likely seed is No. 7 (20%). Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

4%No. 1

8%No. 2

<1%No. 3

<1%No. 4

15%No. 5

18%No. 6

20%No. 7

36%Miss

Packers remaining schedule

8 games left. At each game’s win chance the Packers finish about 10-7.

Wk	Opponent	Kickoff	Packers win
10	vs Vikings	Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET	66%
12	at Rams	Wed, Nov 25, 8:00 PM ET	38%
13	at Saints	Sun, Dec 6, 1:00 PM ET	60%
14	vs Bills	Sun, Dec 13, 8:20 PM ET	44%
15	vs Dolphins	Sun, Dec 20, 1:00 PM ET	76%
16	at Bears	Fri, Dec 25, 1:00 PM ET	40%

Show the last 2 games

17	vs Texans	Mon, Jan 4, 8:15 PM ET	54%
18	vs Lions	Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET	53%

Where would the Packers pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 17typical first-round pick in the seasons the Packers miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Packers miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 17, and between No. 15 and No. 18 in 8 of every 10. That pick is part of a swap: the Jets get the better of the Cowboys' and Packers' first-round picks, and the Cowboys get the other.

The full 2027 draft order Mock draft simulator Run the Packers as GM

The NFC North race

Team	Record	Playoffs	Win division
Bears	7-2	85%	30%
Lions	6-2	82%	34%
Vikings	6-2	78%	24%
Packers	6-3	64%	12%

NFC North playoff picture Every team in the Playoff Machine

Pick the Packers’ games yourself

Packers playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Packers' playoff chances right now?

64%. The Packers are 6-3, 4th in the NFC North, the NFC's No. 7 seed today. They win the NFC North in 12% of simulated seasons, take the No. 1 seed in 4% and win the Super Bowl in 3%.

What record do the Packers need to make the playoffs?

10-7 gets the Packers in 61% of the time: 4 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 96%.

Can the Packers still win the NFC North?

It would take help. The Bears lead the NFC North at 7-2, and the Packers (6-3) win the division in 12% of 3,000 simulated seasons.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.

Green Bay Packers playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 7:18 AM ET.