Los Angeles Rams playoff chances, Week 10

43%chance to make the playoffs5-4, 3rd in the NFC West, outside the NFC field today

3%win the NFC West1%No. 1 seed3%win the Super Bowl

Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET · results through Thursday of Week 10 · rebuilt after every final

The Rams (5-4) have a 43% chance to make the playoffs heading into Week 10, a 3% chance to win the NFC West and a 1% chance at the No. 1 seed. They are 3rd in the NFC West and would be outside the NFC field if the season ended today.

What do the Rams need in Week 10?

at Cardinals, Sunday, 4:05 PM ETThe Rams win it 79% of the time

Playoffs with a win47%

Playoffs with a loss24%

Beat the Cardinals and the Rams' playoff chance is 47%. Lose and it is 24%.

Who should Rams fans root for in Week 10?

Raiders over SeahawksSunday, 4:05 PM ET · moves their playoff chance

46%vs39%

Cowboys over 49ersSunday, 4:25 PM ET · moves their division chance

6%vs3%

The Rams’ chance if that team wins, then if it loses. Biggest swing first; games that move them by less than a point are left out. 20,000 simulated seasons.

Rams playoff odds by final record

10-7 gets the Rams in 57% of the time: 5 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 96%.

12-5100%6% of seasons

11-696%17% of seasons

10-757%28% of seasons

9-89%26% of seasons

8-90%16% of seasons

7-100%5% of seasons

Playoff chance at each final record, and how often the Rams finish there: their six most likely records in 20,000 simulated seasons.

Rams playoff seed odds

The Rams' most likely seed is No. 7 (15%). Seeds 1 to 4 go to division winners, and No. 1 gets the only bye. Seeds 5 to 7 are the wild cards.

1%No. 1

2%No. 2

<1%No. 3

<1%No. 4

12%No. 5

13%No. 6

15%No. 7

57%Miss

Rams remaining schedule

8 games left. At each game’s win chance the Rams finish about 10-7.

Wk	Opponent	Kickoff	Rams win
10	at Cardinals	Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET	79%
12	vs Packers	Wed, Nov 25, 8:00 PM ET	62%
13	vs Chiefs	Thu, Dec 3, 8:15 PM ET	57%
14	at 49ers	Sun, Dec 13, 4:25 PM ET	40%
15	vs Cowboys	Sun, Dec 20, 4:25 PM ET	68%
16	at Seahawks	Fri, Dec 25, 8:15 PM ET	41%

Show the last 2 games

17	at Buccaneers	Sun, Jan 3, 1:00 PM ET	54%
18	vs Seahawks	Sun, Jan 10, 1:00 PM ET	53%

Where would the Rams pick if they miss the playoffs?

No. 17typical first-round pick in the seasons the Rams miss the playoffs

In the seasons the Rams miss the playoffs, their 2027 first-round pick typically lands at No. 17, and between No. 13 and No. 18 in 8 of every 10. It is a top-10 pick in 3% of those seasons. That pick belongs to the Browns after a trade.

The full 2027 draft order Mock draft simulator Run the Rams as GM

The NFC West race

Team	Record	Playoffs	Win division
49ers	7-1	98%	90%
Seahawks	5-4	47%	6%
Rams	5-4	43%	3%
Cardinals	3-6	<1%	<1%

NFC West playoff picture Every team in the Playoff Machine

Pick the Rams’ games yourself

Rams playoff chances: quick answers

What are the Rams' playoff chances right now?

43%. The Rams are 5-4, 3rd in the NFC West, outside the NFC field today. They win the NFC West in 3% of simulated seasons, take the No. 1 seed in 1% and win the Super Bowl in 3%.

What record do the Rams need to make the playoffs?

10-7 gets the Rams in 57% of the time: 5 more wins in the last 8 games. At 11-6 it is 96%.

Can the Rams still win the NFC West?

It would take help. The 49ers lead the NFC West at 7-1, and the Rams (5-4) win the division in 3% of 3,000 simulated seasons.

How are these playoff odds calculated?

Every remaining game is played out 3,000 times (20,000 for this week's what-if numbers). Each game's win chance comes from the betting line first, then the spread, then our power ratings, and every tie is broken with the NFL's official tiebreakers. It is the same engine as the Playoff Machine, so the numbers here match what the Machine shows before you make a pick.

How often is this page updated?

After every NFL game goes final, and each morning when the betting lines move. These numbers last changed Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET.

Los Angeles Rams playoff odds from 3,000 simulated seasons of the NFL Playoff Machine, results through Thursday of Week 10. Updated Friday, Nov 13 at 1:14 AM ET.