ColtsatVikings

Longer bar, better unit.

Ranks run 1st (best) to 32nd, 2026 through week 6, close-game snaps.

Fewer people, betting bigger.

Bets is the share of tickets; money is the share of dollars. When the money runs well ahead of the bets, fewer people are betting bigger on that side, the move bettors call sharp money.

Spread

Colts+6.5-6.5Vikings

Bets36%64%

Money43%57%

Total

Over41.541.5Under

Bets68%33%

Money26%74%

68% of the bets are on the over, but 74% of the money is on the under.

Since 2018: when most of the bets sat on one side and most of the money on the other, the money side hit 50.9% (198-191-3, 392 games). No better than a coin flip.

Moneyline

Colts+225-278Vikings

Bets8%92%

Money18%82%

The Colts: 8% of the bets, 18% of the money. Fewer people, betting bigger.

Since 2018: when the money ran 10 or more points ahead of the bets on a side, the money side won 57.1% straight up, +4.7 units at the posted prices (504-379, 883 games). About even once you pay the prices.

Bets and money splits via DraftKings, as of Fri 12:04 PM ET. One book's customers, not the whole market.

Colts team total 18.5 Bovada, over +115, under -150; the spread and total split it 17.5

Vikings team total 23.5 Bovada, over -130, under +100; the spread and total split it 24.0

Colts +6.5strong

1,311 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 432.

3.0xluck's count

Over 41.5some

1,961 past angles back this side; luck alone would give about 738.

2.7xluck's count

Searched this week: 1,216 spread situations and 87 on the total, every attribute on the schedule alone, in pairs and in triples, against every game since 1999. The luck line sits at z 4.04 on the spread and 3.4 on the total.

Colts +6.5: the strongest angles

how much the opponent beat the spread a game (minus = missed) 5.41 pts or more; a QB change this season (two or more starters) 121-71

what their defense allows to 6'3"+ receivers vs league 1.08 x or more; their cover rate minus the opponent's -27% or less 141-87

their win streak (minus = losing streak) -2 or less; the opponent's overs hit this season 22% or less 103-62

Vikings -6.5: the strongest angles

their win rate 86% or more; their injury cost minus the opponent's -19.5 or less 67-39

their losses 0 or less; their injury cost minus the opponent's -19.5 or less 87-53

unbeaten this season; their injury cost minus the opponent's -19.5 or less 56-33

Over 41.5: the strongest angles

their pass defense ranks 1 or better (1 best, 8 worst); their win rate minus the opponent's 60% or more 48-23

their point differential a game 7.77 pts or more; how much the opponent beat the spread last game -10.5 pts or less 96-55

the opponent's win rate 36% or less; last game's spread in the opponent's favor (minus = underdog) 5.5 pts or more 67-37

Under 41.5: the strongest angles

the opponent's overs streak 2 or more; extra rest over the opponent 4 days or more 48-20

days of rest 14 days or more; the opponent's overs streak 2 or more 46-21

the opponent's overs streak 2 or more; off_bye 1 or less 51-25