Jordan Addison

WR·

Minnesota Vikings·#3·5'11"·179 lb·3rd year·USC

UNDERPAIDTier 1Round 1, pick 23 in 2023

Updated November 6, 2026

73.6

Model Score

Up from 73.4 last year

Trade value ·a 4th

Player comps Be the Vikings GM →

Jordan Addison has 16 catches, 249 receiving yards and 1 touchdown in 6 games for the Minnesota Vikings this season through Week 8, 7.9 PPR points a game (updated November 6, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 0.2 from last season.

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A clear second receiver whose output rides on the quarterback.

The case for

2021 Biletnikoff Award winner at Pitt plus 1,000-yard 2022 USC season with Caleb Williams is real college pedigree. Rookie 2023 produced 70/911/10 alongside Justin Jefferson.
Three straight 700+ receiving yard NFL seasons confirms baseline durability and target share. Tier 4 finishes in 2023 and 2024 are real WR2 production lines.

The worry

The 2025 tier 6 regression (#48) plus the 3-game suspension is the wrong arc for a former 1st-round pick entering year 4. Career receiving yards average has dropped each season.
Behind Justin Jefferson he is permanently the WR2, which caps target volume. Wks 12 and 18 zero/sub-2 PPR games in 2025 show the floor when defenses bracket him.

What to watch: Whether his 2026 target share clears 7 per game with JJ McCarthy as the starter, the threshold he needs to return to tier 4 production.

Full take and bio

Three straight finishes in the #26-#48 range (#26 in 2023, #32 in 2024, #48 in 2025) shows the role: clear WR2 behind Justin Jefferson, with tier 4-6 production depending on QB health and personal situation. The 2025 game log range from 0 PPR Wk 12 to 12.5 PPR Wk 17 is the Sam Darnold/JJ McCarthy variance compressing him. The 2026 trajectory depends on which QB starts and how Jefferson's target share evolves.

Addison came out of USC (after transferring from Pittsburgh) as Minnesota's 1st-round pick (23rd overall) in 2023. He had won the 2021 Biletnikoff Award at Pitt and added a 1,000-yard 2022 season at USC opposite Caleb Williams. His Vikings rookie 2023 produced 70 catches for 911 yards and 10 touchdowns, finishing tier 4 #26. The 2024 season trended similarly (#32 tier 4) with Justin Jefferson as the clear No. 1, then 2025 brought a tier 6 #48 regression with a 3-game suspension to start the year for a 2024 DUI plus an inconsistent QB room.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Yancey Thigpen ’9488%Tony Martin ’9288%Harry Douglas ’1172%

Jahan Dotson ’2667%Mario Manningham ’1165%

Plays like: Brandon Stokley, John Brown, Tony Martin. Built like: Harry Douglas, Diontae Johnson, Dane Sanzenbacher. Coming out: Harry Douglas, Marqise Lee, Rashad Greene.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 2 stars, 4 starters, 13 backups, 1 didn't stick.

Jordan Addison Props This Weekvs BUF Mon Nov 9

Market	Line	Over	Under
Receptions	3.5	-110 DraftKings	-101 BetOnline
Receiving yards	39.5	-110 DraftKings	-114 FanDuel
Anytime TD		+290 FanDuel

Best price across 9 books as of Thu Nov 5. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Jordan's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Jordan Addison Injury StatusNot listed

Jordan Addison is not on the injury report as of Nov 6. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 6 games

Rec1655th

Rec Yds24951st

Rec TD137th

Targets3450th

Yds/Gm41.541st

Fantasy PPG7.947th

EPA / target1.17821st

Avg separation2.7 yd39th

Avg cushion6.1 yd

YAC over exp1.29th

Catch %49.9%

7.9 fantasy points a game, 47 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit

$4.3M

APY

$3.4M/yr

Guaranteed at Signing

$13.7M

Years on Deal

Signed

2023

Est. Value

$23.5M/yr

underpaid by $20.1M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Jordan Addison at WR47 (the public consensus says WR45); the model has 81 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts BUF.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.