Jordan Addison

Minnesota Vikings·#3UNDERPAID

Pos WRHt 5'11"Wt 175 lbExp 2 yrCollege USC

WR rankings →

Model Score

70.2 MODEL

2023

74.0

2024

72.0

2025

70.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 14 games

4250th

Rec

61043rd

Rec Yds

351st

Rec TD

7944th

Targets

43.644th

Yds/Gm

9.748th

Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.25627th

EPA / target

2.9 yd41st

Avg separation

7.4 yd

Avg cushion

1.222nd

YAC over exp

53.0%

Catch %

STM Take

Three straight finishes in the #26-#48 range (#26 in 2023, #32 in 2024, #48 in 2025) shows the role: clear WR2 behind Justin Jefferson, with tier 4-6 production depending on QB health and personal situation. The 2025 game log range from 0 PPR Wk 12 to 12.5 PPR Wk 17 is the Sam Darnold/JJ McCarthy variance compressing him. The 2026 trajectory depends on which QB starts and how Jefferson's target share evolves.

Addison came out of USC (after transferring from Pittsburgh) as Minnesota's 1st-round pick (23rd overall) in 2023. He had won the 2021 Biletnikoff Award at Pitt and added a 1,000-yard 2022 season at USC opposite Caleb Williams. His Vikings rookie 2023 produced 70 catches for 911 yards and 10 touchdowns, finishing tier 4 #26. The 2024 season trended similarly (#32 tier 4) with Justin Jefferson as the clear No. 1, then 2025 brought a tier 6 #48 regression with a 3-game suspension to start the year for a 2024 DUI plus an inconsistent QB room.

Strengths

2021 Biletnikoff Award winner at Pitt plus 1,000-yard 2022 USC season with Caleb Williams is real college pedigree. Rookie 2023 produced 70/911/10 alongside Justin Jefferson.
Three straight 700+ receiving yard NFL seasons confirms baseline durability and target share. Tier 4 finishes in 2023 and 2024 are real WR2 production lines.

Concerns

The 2025 tier 6 regression (#48) plus the 3-game suspension is the wrong arc for a former 1st-round pick entering year 4. Career receiving yards average has dropped each season.
Behind Justin Jefferson he is permanently the WR2, which caps target volume. Wks 12 and 18 zero/sub-2 PPR games in 2025 show the floor when defenses bracket him.

What to watch: Whether his 2026 target share clears 7 per game with JJ McCarthy as the starter, the threshold he needs to return to tier 4 production.