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PlayerAireontae Ersery · LT, Houston Texans, Model Score 75.9Be the Texans GM

Aireontae Ersery

Houston Texans
Pos LT
Updated October 8, 2026

Model Score

75.9 MODEL
2025
75.3
2026
75.9

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

2024 Big Ten Rimington-Pace OL of the Year plus the Minnesota Big Ten 48th overall draft pedigree puts Ersery in the rare elite college pedigree OT class. The structural Texans anchor role gives him the developmental runway. The 2026 question is whether Ersery crosses into tier 6-7 territory in his year-two jump or whether the structural rookie tier 8 finish becomes the stable baseline.

Ersery came out of Minnesota as the Houston Texans' 2nd-round pick (48th overall) in 2025 after winning the 2024 Big Ten Rimington-Pace Offensive Lineman of the Year. The Texans installed him in the starting offensive tackle rotation from his rookie year as part of the offensive line rebuild around C.J. Stroud.

Strengths

  • 2024 Big Ten Rimington-Pace OL of the Year plus the 48th overall draft slot establishes elite college foundation.
  • Minnesota Big Ten 2nd-round origin plus the structural Texans anchor role around C.J. Stroud gives him real developmental runway.

Concerns

  • Rookie tier 8 finish is below the year-one median for 2nd-round OT picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.
  • Houston's broader offensive line investment pattern (multiple Day 1-2 picks) signals the front office may still draft an upgrade.

What to watch: Whether Ersery crosses into tier 6 (top 50) in 2026, the standard year-two threshold for 2nd-round OT picks on Pro Bowl trajectories.

Comps

Aireontae Ersery Injury StatusNot listed

Aireontae Ersery is not on the injury report as of Oct 7. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Aireontae Ersery Stats This Season · 4 games

60.3
Pass Protection
55.4
Run Blocking
58.0
Overall Grade

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 48 · Houston Texans · 2025
MINNESOTA (Big Ten)
Taken
#48
where he actually went
Consensus board
46th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#43
among OT in our college data

He went about where consensus had him.

In college · 2022-2024
Coming out
9.43
RAS
5.01s
40 yd
29"
Vertical
111"
Broad
7.81s
3-cone
4.82s
Shuttle

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