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Jared Goff

QB·Detroit Lions·#16·6'4"·217 lb·10th year·California
Tier 1Round 1, pick 1 in 2016
Updated November 5, 2026
91.7
Model Score
Down from 93.0 last year
Trade value ·three 1sts

Jared Goff has 1,964 passing yards, 15 touchdown passes, 1 interception and 15 rushing yards in 7 games for the Detroit Lions this season through Week 8, 20.6 PPR points a game (updated November 5, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 1.3 from last season.

809010091.72017201820192020202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A steady, high-efficiency pocket passer with the ceiling already set.

The case for

  • Three consecutive tier-1 STTM finishes, the most stable top-five profile at the position outside of Allen.
  • 65.8 percent career completion percentage with 256 career touchdowns against 102 picks. The volume case is fully built.

The worry

  • Age 32 with effectively no rushing component (596 career rushing yards, 12 TDs across 10 seasons), so any pocket-cleanliness slip shows up immediately.
  • Detroit's offense has trended more run-balanced; if attempts compress further, the fantasy ceiling caps even if efficiency holds.

What to watch: Whether Detroit's offensive-line health holds, because the entire profile is built on clean-pocket throws.

Full take and bio

Goff sits STTM #4 tier 1 in 2025, his third straight tier-1 year and the fourth in five seasons in Detroit. The profile is steady-state: high-volume, high-efficiency pocket passer running the league's most coherent offense. Ceiling is essentially set; the only variable is whether the Lions' run-game share keeps trending up and compressing his attempts.

Goff was born in Novato, California to a former Major League Baseball player and set 26 records at Cal before the Rams took him first overall in the 2016 NFL Draft. He led Los Angeles to Super Bowl LIII in his third year, was traded to Detroit in 2021, and has since made four Pro Bowls including back-to-back nods in 2024 and 2025. He owns the NFL record for most pass attempts in a game without an incompletion (18) and most career attempts with a perfect passer rating.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Dan Marino, Tom Brady, Mark Rypien. Built like: Jake Browning, Kirk Cousins, Chris Simms. Coming out: Ryan Lindley, Brady Quinn, Jimmy Clausen.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 2 starters, 9 backups, 6 didn't stick.

Jared Goff Props This Weekat MIA Sun Nov 8

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards258.5-112 DraftKings-112 DraftKings
Passing TDs1.5-220 BetMGM+172 DraftKings
Completions21.5-102 DraftKings-125 DraftKings
Pass attempts30.5-125 Bovada-102 DraftKings
Interceptions0.5+135 BetRivers-155 DraftKings
Anytime TD+1200 BetRivers

Best price across 8 books as of Thu Nov 5. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Jared's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Jared Goff Injury StatusNot listed

Jared Goff is not on the injury report as of Nov 5. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 7 games

Pass Yds1,9647th
Pass TD155th
INT11st
Comp %67.7%6th
Rush Yds1526th
Rush TD19th
Fantasy PPG20.63rd
Total EPA59.13rd
EPA / dropback0.2473rd
Time to throw2.84s
Avg air yards8.0
Aggressiveness18.8%
Longest comp (air)59 yd4th

20.6 fantasy points a game, 144 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$37.6M
APY
$53.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$113.6M
Years on Deal
5
Signed
2024
Est. Value
$66.1M/yr
underpaid by $13.1M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Jared Goff at QB7; the model has 178 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits MIA.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 1 to the Los Angeles Rams in 2016, out of California (Pac-12). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#1
Consensus board1st
Our college model#47 QB

In college, 2014-2015, 25 games: 8,316 pass yds, 79 TD, 20 INT, 60.2% completions. (partial record) Coming out: 4.82s 40 yd, 27" vertical, 110" broad, 7.17s 3-cone, 4.47s shuttle.

Recruited

Class of 2013 · Quarterback · High school: Marin Catholic, Greenbrae, CA

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 218 in the nation. Composite 0.9154, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
California

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2013 class are still being added.

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