Jared Goff

Detroit Lions·#16

Pos QBHt 6'4"Wt 217 lbExp 10 yrCollege California

Updated October 9, 2026

Compare Jared Goff QB rankings →

Model Score

93.0 MODEL

2017

89.8

2018

91.7

2019

86.2

2020

81.9

2021

82.2

2022

89.8

2023

87.2

2024

94.2

2025

93.0

2026

93.0

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

Goff sits STTM #4 tier 1 in 2025, his third straight tier-1 year and the fourth in five seasons in Detroit. The profile is steady-state: high-volume, high-efficiency pocket passer running the league's most coherent offense. Ceiling is essentially set; the only variable is whether the Lions' run-game share keeps trending up and compressing his attempts.

Goff was born in Novato, California to a former Major League Baseball player and set 26 records at Cal before the Rams took him first overall in the 2016 NFL Draft. He led Los Angeles to Super Bowl LIII in his third year, was traded to Detroit in 2021, and has since made four Pro Bowls including back-to-back nods in 2024 and 2025. He owns the NFL record for most pass attempts in a game without an incompletion (18) and most career attempts with a perfect passer rating.

Strengths

Three consecutive tier-1 STTM finishes, the most stable top-five profile at the position outside of Allen.
65.8 percent career completion percentage with 256 career touchdowns against 102 picks. The volume case is fully built.

Concerns

Age 32 with effectively no rushing component (596 career rushing yards, 12 TDs across 10 seasons), so any pocket-cleanliness slip shows up immediately.
Detroit's offense has trended more run-balanced; if attempts compress further, the fantasy ceiling caps even if efficiency holds.

What to watch: Whether Detroit's offensive-line health holds, because the entire profile is built on clean-pocket throws.

Comps

Overall match

size, testing and production, same career stage

Kirk Cousins ’2370%Matthew Stafford ’1957%Steve Beuerlein ’9955%

Famous comp

names you know, same point in their careers (around year 11)

Dan Marino ’9479%Ben Roethlisberger ’1476%

Plays like

on-field production only

Dan Marino ’8787%Jim Everett ’8986%Jim Kelly ’9184%

Built like

measurables only, his size

Jake Browning79%Kirk Cousins78%Chris Simms77%

Coming out

pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Ryan Lindley ’1263%Brady Quinn ’0763%Jimmy Clausen ’1061%

Names you know nearby: Kirk Cousins ’12 61%, Matt Leinart ’06 59%.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 2 starters, 9 backups, 6 didn't stick.

Jared Goff Props This Weekat ARI Sun Oct 11

Market	Line	Over	Under
Passing yards	279.5	-112 DraftKings	-112 DraftKings
Passing TDs	2.5	+160 BetMGM	-186 DraftKings
Completions	25.5	+105 DraftKings	-130 BetOnline
Pass attempts	35.5	+102 BetOnline	-124 DraftKings
Interceptions	0.5	+150 BetRivers	-166 DraftKings
Rushing yards	0.5	-114 FanDuel	-107 DraftKings
Anytime TD		+1500 BetMGM