Jayden Reed

Green Bay Packers·#11UNDERPAID

Pos WRHt 5'11"Wt 190 lbExp 3 yrCollege Michigan State

Updated October 9, 2026

Compare Jayden Reed WR rankings →

Model Score

78.0 MODEL

2023

83.1

2024

79.6

2025

76.9

2026

78.0

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

The 2025 #53 (tier 7) finish is misleading because the game log (zeros in 6 of 8 logged weeks) confirms the season ended early. From tier 3 (#23) in 2024 to a clearly injury-shortened 2025 is the same story as half the Packers' offensive injury reports. The 2026 question is purely physical: when healthy, Reed produced tier 3 output across his first two seasons.

Reed came out of Michigan State (after transferring from Western Michigan) as Green Bay's 2nd-round pick (50th overall) in 2023 after a 1,026-yard senior season. He posted 64 catches for 793 yards and 8 touchdowns as a rookie, finishing tier 4 #32 in 2023, then broke out at tier 3 #23 in 2024 with 55 catches for 857 yards plus 4 rushing touchdowns from gadget usage. The 2025 season fell off a cliff: the game log shows zeros in multiple weeks across Wks 16-19 with one Wk 19 15.7 PPR spike, the pattern of a shortened or injury-disrupted year.

Strengths

2024 tier 3 #23 finish on 55 catches for 857 yards plus 4 rushing touchdowns is real WR2 production for a 2nd-round pick. Career receiving touchdowns total 16 across three seasons.
Slot route tree plus gadget-play rushing volume (career 13+ designed carries) gives him two ways to score in Matt LaFleur's offense.

Concerns

Zeros in Wks 16, 17, and 18 of 2025 confirm the season ended on injury. Recovery timing is the immediate 2026 variable.
Green Bay drafted Matthew Golden in the 1st round (#23) in 2025, which compresses Reed's target ceiling regardless of the 2025 injury outcome.

What to watch: Whether the 2026 target share holds above 6 per game with Matthew Golden, Romeo Doubs, and Dontayvion Wicks also in the WR room.

Comps

Overall match

size, testing and production, same career stage

Randall Cobb ’1271%Kayshon Boutte ’2468%Stedman Bailey ’1465%

Famous comp

names you know, same point in their careers (around year 3)

Haywood Jeffires ’8988%Brian Blades ’9084%Curtis Conway ’9482%

Plays like

on-field production only

Art Monk ’9489%Haywood Jeffires ’8988%Richie James ’2287%

Built like

measurables only, his size

Kaelin Clay88%Derrick Williams85%Randall Cobb84%

Coming out

pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Markus Wheaton ’1371%Dyami Brown ’2171%Calvin Ridley ’1870%

Names you know nearby: Chris Olave ’22 67%, Stefon Diggs ’15 65%.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 8 starters, 6 backups, 5 didn't stick.

Jayden Reed Injury StatusIR

Jayden Reed is listed on injured reserve (Neck), reported Sep 30, with a return date of Feb 15. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.