Jayden Reed
Green Bay Packers·#11UNDERPAIDModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 1 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
The 2025 #53 (tier 7) finish is misleading because the game log (zeros in 6 of 8 logged weeks) confirms the season ended early. From tier 3 (#23) in 2024 to a clearly injury-shortened 2025 is the same story as half the Packers' offensive injury reports. The 2026 question is purely physical: when healthy, Reed produced tier 3 output across his first two seasons.
Reed came out of Michigan State (after transferring from Western Michigan) as Green Bay's 2nd-round pick (50th overall) in 2023 after a 1,026-yard senior season. He posted 64 catches for 793 yards and 8 touchdowns as a rookie, finishing tier 4 #32 in 2023, then broke out at tier 3 #23 in 2024 with 55 catches for 857 yards plus 4 rushing touchdowns from gadget usage. The 2025 season fell off a cliff: the game log shows zeros in multiple weeks across Wks 16-19 with one Wk 19 15.7 PPR spike, the pattern of a shortened or injury-disrupted year.
Strengths
- 2024 tier 3 #23 finish on 55 catches for 857 yards plus 4 rushing touchdowns is real WR2 production for a 2nd-round pick. Career receiving touchdowns total 16 across three seasons.
- Slot route tree plus gadget-play rushing volume (career 13+ designed carries) gives him two ways to score in Matt LaFleur's offense.
Concerns
- Zeros in Wks 16, 17, and 18 of 2025 confirm the season ended on injury. Recovery timing is the immediate 2026 variable.
- Green Bay drafted Matthew Golden in the 1st round (#23) in 2025, which compresses Reed's target ceiling regardless of the 2025 injury outcome.
What to watch: Whether the 2026 target share holds above 6 per game with Matthew Golden, Romeo Doubs, and Dontayvion Wicks also in the WR room.
Fantasy Outlook
Jayden Reed scored 5 PPR points, 5 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.