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Bryce Young

QB·Carolina Panthers·#9·5'10"·204 lb·3rd year·Alabama
Tier 1Round 1, pick 1 in 2023
Updated November 4, 2026
78.2
Model Score
Down from 79.9 last year
Trade value ·a 3rd

Bryce Young has 1,921 passing yards, 13 touchdown passes, 5 interceptions and 34 rushing yards in 7 games for the Carolina Panthers this season through Week 8, 18.3 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 1.7 from last season.

70809078.22023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A winning quarterback whose individual numbers still lag behind.

The case for

  • Led CAR to a 2025 division title and first playoff appearance since 2017, the team's best season in nearly a decade.
  • Heisman + CFP champion at Alabama keeps the long-term ceiling argument alive even when the NFL line lags.

The worry

  • Three straight STTM tier-8 finishes (#47, #30, #34) with no upward trend in efficiency stats.
  • 80.9 career passer rating is the worst among all top-35 QBs with three NFL seasons of starts.

What to watch: Whether the 2025 team success translates into individual rank improvement, or whether the Panthers' run-game balance was the actual driver of the playoff push.

Full take and bio

Young's 2025 finish at STTM #34 tier 8 came alongside Carolina's first division title in a decade, the rare team-success / rank-failure split on the current board. The team-level result is real; the individual rank reflects 49 career TDs against 30 INTs on a 61.4 percent completion rate, which has not improved across three years. The case is whether year four finally separates skill from system.

Young was born in Wynnewood, Pennsylvania, moved to Pasadena as a child, and won the 2021 Heisman Trophy and a CFP national title at Alabama. Carolina took him first overall in the 2023 NFL Draft, the same draft in which his high-school friend C.J. Stroud went second. After a rough first two years that included a 2024 benching, Young helped lead the Panthers to their first division title since 2015 and first playoff appearance since 2017 in 2025.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Jeff George, Dan Marino, Drew Brees. Built like: Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray, Dillon Gabriel. Coming out: one of one, no NFL player had a college career this close.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 5 stars, 2 starters, 8 backups, 5 didn't stick.

Bryce Young Props This Weekat GB

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards254.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Rushing yards9.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Bryce's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Bryce Young Injury StatusNot listed

Bryce Young is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 7 games

Pass Yds1,9218th
Pass TD1310th
INT512th
Comp %59.2%27th
Rush Yds3423rd
Rush TD19th
Fantasy PPG18.312th
Total EPA12.315th
EPA / dropback0.04215th
Time to throw2.85s
Avg air yards8.6
Aggressiveness13.7%
Longest comp (air)54 yd11th

18.3 fantasy points a game, 128 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$12.1M
APY
$9.5M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$38.0M
Years on Deal
5
Signed
2023
Est. Value
$29.6M/yr
underpaid by $20.1M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Bryce Young at QB14; the model has 167 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits GB.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 1 to the Carolina Panthers in 2023, out of Alabama (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#1
Consensus board1st
Our college model#86 QB

In college, 2020-2022, 34 games: 7,953 pass yds, 80 TD, 12 INT, 61.5% completions.

Recruited

Class of 2020 · Quarterback · High school: Mater Dei, Santa Ana, CA

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 2 in the nation. Composite 0.9994, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Alabama

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2020 class are still being added.

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