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PlayerTravis Etienne · RB, New Orleans Saints, Model Score 87.2Be the Saints GM

Travis Etienne

New Orleans Saints·#3OVERPAID
Pos RBHt 5'10"Wt 215 lbExp 5 yrCollege Clemson
Updated October 12, 2026

Model Score

87.2 MODEL
2022
89.0
2023
94.2
2024
76.9
2025
87.2
2026
87.2

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

The 2025 #25 (tier 7) is a real bounce from 2024's #57 (tier 8) but is still below the 2023 #23 (tier 6) baseline. The 22.6 PPR spike in Wk 19 shows the ceiling is still there when he gets the workload, but the 0-0-0 weeks across Wks 16-18 (in the duplicate game-log rows) tell you the floor depends entirely on game script and Bigsby's absence. He is what he has always been: a volume-and-explosion back who needs touches to matter.

Etienne came out of Clemson as Jacksonville's 1st-round pick (25th overall) in 2021 after a college career that produced the ACC's all-time rushing touchdown record. He missed his entire rookie season with a Lisfranc fracture in preseason, then made the 2022 Pro Bowl with 1,125 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. The 2023 season was his second straight 1,000-yard year (1,008 rushing yards), but his 2024 workload collapsed when Tank Bigsby took the goal-line and short-yardage role. His 2025 rebound came with Bigsby traded to Philadelphia and Etienne back as the lead back.

Strengths

  • 2022 Pro Bowl season with 1,125 rushing yards plus 1,008 rushing yards in 2023 is a real two-year sample of starter-grade production. His 5.1 career yards per carry mark him as a genuine home-run back.
  • Bigsby's midseason trade to Philadelphia reopened the lead role; Wk 19's 22.6 PPR spike shows the explosive ceiling is intact at age 26.

Concerns

  • The 2024 collapse (#57, tier 8) and the inconsistent 2025 game log (multiple sub-5 PPR weeks even after Bigsby left) show his floor is fragile when game script turns against the Jaguars.
  • Career receiving production has plateaued at roughly 35-50 catches per year, so his three-down ceiling is capped relative to elite backs like Bijan Robinson or McCaffrey.

What to watch: Whether Jacksonville's 2026 offensive identity centers on Etienne carries (target 250+) or shifts toward a committee with Bhayshul Tuten and incoming backfield additions.

Comps

Overall match
size, testing and production, same career stage
Famous comp
names you know, same point in their careers (around year 6)
Built like
measurables only, his size
Coming out
pros whose college production, size and testing looked like his

Of his 20 closest coming out: 6 stars, 5 starters, 8 backups, 1 didn't stick.

Travis Etienne Injury StatusIR

Travis Etienne is listed on injured reserve (Hamstring), reported Oct 1, with a return date of Nov 8. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

Travis Etienne Stats This Season · 3 games

128
Rush Yds
0
Rush TD
11
Rec
51
Rec Yds
0
Total TD
9.6
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

-0.004
EPA / rush
1
Rush yds over exp
3.26
Efficiency
2.57s
Time to line

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 25 · Jacksonville Jaguars · 2021
Clemson (ACC)
Taken
#25
where he actually went
Consensus board
43rd
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#22
among RB in our college data

He went earlier than consensus.

In college · 2017-2020 · 54 games
4,944 rush yds, 77 TD, 7.3 yds/carry, 98 rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Travis Etienne Fantasy Outlook

Travis Etienne scored 29 PPR points, 9.6 per game this season. Compare him against any RB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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