Game lines · College · 2026
College week 10.
6 games with a line, 0 played. Our number is the one we logged before kickoff, never after, and until kickoff it is free with an email. Leans, never plays: the sealed 2023-2025 read came back inside the luck band.
Week 10 leans: no lean settled yet. Counted where we differed by 2 or more and the row was clean; suspect rows (no Elo, or the big-spread defect) are shown and never counted.
| Game | Market | Total | Our number | Lean | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alabama @  LSUSat, Nov 7 00:00 | -3.5 | 54.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 7 00:00 |
 Michigan State @  MichiganSat, Nov 7 00:00 | -16.5 | 50.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 7 00:00 |
 Miami @  Notre DameSat, Nov 7 19:30 | -6.5 | 54.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 7 19:30 |
 Oregon @  Ohio StateSat, Nov 7 00:00 | -6 | 52.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 7 00:00 |
 Georgia @  Ole MissSat, Nov 7 00:00 | -4.5 | 55.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 7 00:00 |
 BYU @  UtahSat, Nov 7 00:00 | -3 | 51.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 7 00:00 |
College trends
Every FBS game log since 2022, joined to the opening line.
Published before kickoff and graded once the games are in.
Player trendstrue of the player and true of this game.
Trinidad Chambliss has 6 of his last 6 games as an underdog with 250+ passing yards.
The 6 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Georgia (+7.5) | 263 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | at Oklahoma (+5.5) | 309 | yes |
| Thu, Jan 1 25 | at Georgia (+6) | 385 | yes |
| Thu, Jan 8 25 | at Miami (+3) | 253 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs LSU (+2.8) | 349 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at Florida (+4) | 298 | yes |
Bo Jackson has 9 of his last 9 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.
The 9 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Grambling (-53.5) | 108 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Ohio (-28.5) | 109 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Minnesota (-23.5) | 63 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Penn State (-17.5) | 105 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs UCLA (-33) | 112 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Rutgers (-28.5) | 109 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Ball State (-50.8) | 83 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Kent State (-52.2) | 73 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Illinois (-25.5) | 53 | yes |
Jeremiah Smith has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 6+ catches.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | at Washington (-9.5) | 8 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Minnesota (-23.5) | 7 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | at Illinois (-15) | 6 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Wisconsin (-24.5) | 9 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Penn State (-17.5) | 6 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at Purdue (-29.5) | 10 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs UCLA (-33) | 4 | no |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Michigan (-9.5) | 3 | no |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Illinois (-25.5) | 12 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Iowa (-14.2) | 11 | yes |
Team trendsagainst the spread and the total, last three seasons plus this one, in the spot this game put them in. The faded bar is the same team everywhere else; every card also beats the league in that spot.
Michigan State has covered 12 of 17 on the road
The 17 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Wisconsin | no | |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | at Notre Dame | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at Iowa | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Minnesota | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Indiana | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | at Nebraska | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | at USC | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 16 24 | at Illinois | no | |
| Sat, Oct 26 24 | at Michigan | no | |
| Fri, Oct 4 24 | at Oregon | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 21 24 | at Boston College | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 7 24 | at Maryland | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 18 23 | at Indiana | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 11 23 | at Ohio State | no | |
| Sat, Oct 28 23 | at Minnesota | no | |
| Sat, Oct 14 23 | at Rutgers | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 30 23 | at Iowa | yes |
Alabama has gone over 7 of 9 on the road when our model likes them
The 9 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Auburn | no | |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | at South Carolina | yes | |
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | at Florida State | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 9 24 | at LSU | no | |
| Sat, Oct 5 24 | at Vanderbilt | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 14 24 | at Wisconsin | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 11 23 | at Kentucky | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 7 23 | at Texas A&M | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 30 23 | at Mississippi State | yes |
Alabama has covered 10 of 13 in conference play when our model likes them
The 13 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Oklahoma | no | |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs LSU | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | at South Carolina | no | |
| Sat, Nov 30 24 | vs Auburn | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 9 24 | at LSU | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 5 24 | at Vanderbilt | no | |
| Sat, Sep 28 24 | vs Georgia | yes | |
| Sat, Dec 2 23 | vs Georgia | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 11 23 | at Kentucky | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 4 23 | vs LSU | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 7 23 | at Texas A&M | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 30 23 | at Mississippi State | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 23 23 | vs Ole Miss | yes |