Game lines · College · 2026
College week 12.
4 games with a line, 0 played. Our number is the one we logged before kickoff, never after. Leans, never plays: the sealed 2023-2025 read came back inside the luck band.
Week 12 leans: no lean settled yet. Counted where we differed by 2 or more and the row was clean; suspect rows (no Elo, or the big-spread defect) are shown and never counted.
| Game | Market | Total | Our number | Lean | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Virginia Tech @  MiamiSat, Nov 21 00:00 | -16.5 | 56.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 21 00:00 |
 SMU @  Notre DameSat, Nov 21 19:30 | -17.5 | 56.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 21 19:30 |
 Texas A&M @  OklahomaSat, Nov 21 00:00 | -2.5 | 51.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 21 00:00 |
 LSU @  TennesseeSat, Nov 21 00:00 | -1.5 | 57.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 21 00:00 |
College trends
Every FBS game log since 2022, joined to the opening line.
Published before kickoff and graded once the games are in.
Player trendstrue of the player and true of this game.
Kendrick Raphael has 8 of his last 9 games as an underdog with a rushing touchdown.
The 9 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Minnesota (+3) | 0 | no |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | at Boston College (+6) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Duke (+3.5) | 2 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 24 25 | at Virginia Tech (+6) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Virginia (+6.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at Louisville (+18.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs SMU (+13.5) | 1 | yes |
| Wed, Dec 24 25 | at Hawai'i (+1.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | at Louisville (+3) | 3 | yes |
Darian Mensah has 7 of his last 8 games at home with 250+ passing yards.
The 8 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs Elon (-36.5) | 378 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Illinois (+2.5) | 327 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs NC State (-3) | 257 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Georgia Tech (-3.5) | 342 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Virginia (-5.5) | 213 | no |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs Wake Forest (-2.5) | 268 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 10 26 | vs Florida A&M (-59.5) | 252 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Central Michigan (-41.2) | 338 | yes |
Team trendsagainst the spread and the total, last three seasons plus this one, in the spot this game put them in. The faded bar is the same team everywhere else; every card also beats the league in that spot.
Texas A&M has gone over 12 of 16 on the road
The 16 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 24 26 | at Alabama | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | at Missouri | no | |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at LSU | no | |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | at Texas | no | |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at Missouri | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | at LSU | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Arkansas | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | at Notre Dame | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 23 24 | at Auburn | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 2 24 | at South Carolina | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 19 24 | at Mississippi State | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 14 24 | at Florida | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 25 23 | at LSU | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 4 23 | at Ole Miss | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 14 23 | at Tennessee | no | |
| Sat, Sep 9 23 | at Miami | yes |