Game lines · College · 2026

College week 6.

58 games with a line, 3 played. Our number is the one we logged before kickoff, never after. Leans, never plays: the sealed 2023-2025 read came back inside the luck band.

Week 6 leans: 1-2, -1.2u flat at -110. Counted where we differed by 2 or more and the row was clean; suspect rows (no Elo, or the big-spread defect) are shown and never counted.

Game	Market	Total	Our number	Lean	Final
Southern Miss @ TroyTue, Oct 6 20:00	-9.5	51.5	Troy -7.5	LOSS Southern Miss +9.5	34-55
New Mexico State @ Florida InternationalWed, Oct 7 19:30	-7	46.8	Florida International -8.7	WIN Florida International -7	3-22
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw StateWed, Oct 7 19:00	-3	48.8	Kennesaw State +5.1	LOSS Jacksonville State -3	27-26
South Alabama @ Arkansas StateThu, Oct 8 19:30	-3	60.2	Arkansas State PK	South Alabama +3	Thu, Oct 8 19:30
Sam Houston @ LibertyThu, Oct 8 19:00	-13.5	52.5	Liberty -26.9	Liberty -13.5not counted	Thu, Oct 8 19:00
South Florida @ UTSAThu, Oct 8 19:30	-7	49.8	UTSA +1.1	South Florida +7	Thu, Oct 8 19:30
Missouri State @ Western KentuckyThu, Oct 8 19:00	-1.5	56.5	Western Kentucky +1.1	Missouri State +1.5	Thu, Oct 8 19:00
Iowa State @ BYUFri, Oct 9 22:15	-10	46.2	BYU -6.3	Iowa State +10	Fri, Oct 9 22:15
Florida State @ LouisvilleFri, Oct 9 19:00	-3.5	59.2	Louisville -1.5	Florida State +3.5not counted	Fri, Oct 9 19:00
Wyoming @ San José StateFri, Oct 9 21:00	-6	42.5	San José State -8.3	San José State -6	Fri, Oct 9 21:00
Washington State @ Utah StateFri, Oct 9 21:00	-5.5	44.2	Utah State +0.9	Washington State +5.5	Fri, Oct 9 21:00
Iowa @ WashingtonFri, Oct 9 21:00	-3	41.8	Washington +3.2	Iowa +3	Fri, Oct 9 21:00
Eastern Michigan @ AkronSat, Oct 10 15:30	-6.8	51.5	Akron +16.6	Eastern Michigan -6.8not counted	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
Georgia @ AlabamaSat, Oct 10 19:30	-1.8	51.2	Alabama -4.5	Alabama -1.8	Sat, Oct 10 19:30
Old Dominion @ App StateSat, Oct 10 13:00	-9.5	49.5	App State -8.3	Old Dominion +9.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 13:00
Hawai'i @ Arizona StateSat, Oct 10 21:30	-20.8	50.5	Arizona State -7.3	Hawai'i +20.8not counted	Sat, Oct 10 21:30
Tennessee @ ArkansasSat, Oct 10 16:15	-13.5	51.5	Arkansas +11.6	Arkansas +13.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 16:15
Tulane @ ArmySat, Oct 10 12:00	-3	48.5	Army +0.5	Tulane +3	Sat, Oct 10 12:00
Sacramento State @ Bowling GreenSat, Oct 10 12:00	-7.5	43.5	Bowling Green -1.6	Sacramento State +7.5	Sat, Oct 10 12:00
Virginia Tech @ CaliforniaSat, Oct 10 15:30	-10	53.5	California +2.9	California +10	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
Rice @ East CarolinaSat, Oct 10 16:00	-10	47.5	East Carolina -15.1	East Carolina -10	Sat, Oct 10 16:00
South Carolina @ FloridaSat, Oct 10 12:45	-11.2	59.2	Florida -5.8	South Carolina +11.2	Sat, Oct 10 12:45
Boise State @ Fresno StateSat, Oct 10 22:30	-6.5	48.2	Fresno State -0.8	Fresno State +6.5	Sat, Oct 10 22:30
James Madison @ Georgia SouthernSat, Oct 10 19:30	-7.5	51.8	Georgia Southern +14.7	James Madison -7.5	Sat, Oct 10 19:30
Duke @ Georgia TechSat, Oct 10 15:30	-6.5	43.5	Georgia Tech +4.8	Georgia Tech +6.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
Houston @ Kansas StateSat, Oct 10 15:30	-2.5	55.2	Kansas State -3.4	Kansas State -2.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
LSU @ KentuckySat, Oct 10 19:00	-8.5	51.8	Kentucky +8.4	LSU -8.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 19:00
Louisiana @ Louisiana TechSat, Oct 10 19:30	-3	47.5	Louisiana Tech -0.5	Louisiana +3	Sat, Oct 10 19:30
Coastal Carolina @ MarshallSat, Oct 10 19:00	-3.5	58.8	Marshall -7.4	Marshall -3.5	Sat, Oct 10 19:00
Miami (OH) @ MassachusettsSat, Oct 10 14:00	-2.5	47.5	Massachusetts +2.8	Miami (OH) -2.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 14:00
UAB @ MemphisSat, Oct 10 19:00	-13.8	52.5	Memphis -10.1	UAB +13.8	Sat, Oct 10 19:00
Illinois @ Michigan StateSat, Oct 10 15:30	-2.5	47.8	Michigan State +2.1	Michigan State +2.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
Texas A&M @ MissouriSat, Oct 10 12:00	-3.5	48.5	Missouri -4.6	Missouri -3.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 12:00
Wake Forest @ NC StateSat, Oct 10 12:00	-3.5	59.5	NC State +2.5	NC State +3.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 12:00
Tulsa @ NavySat, Oct 10 15:30	-2.5	48.8	Navy -13.3	Navy -2.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
Indiana @ NebraskaSat, Oct 10 12:00	-7.5	48.5	Nebraska +11.2	Indiana -7.5	Sat, Oct 10 12:00
Charlotte @ North TexasSat, Oct 10 15:30	-28.2	57.8	North Texas -28.7	North Texas -28.2not counted	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
Air Force @ Northern IllinoisSat, Oct 10 19:30	-7.5	46.8	Northern Illinois +6.8	Northern Illinois +7.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 19:30
Ball State @ NorthwesternSat, Oct 10 12:30	-36.8	52.5	Northwestern -31	Ball State +36.8	Sat, Oct 10 12:30
Stanford @ Notre DameSat, Oct 10 15:30	-38.2	54.5	Notre Dame -41.8	Notre Dame -38.2	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
Central Michigan @ OhioSat, Oct 10 15:30	-3	46.2	Ohio -4.6	Ohio -3not counted	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
Maryland @ Ohio StateSat, Oct 10 16:15	-34.5	56.2	Ohio State -35	Maryland +34.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 16:15
Texas @ OklahomaSat, Oct 10 15:30	-7.5	39.2	Oklahoma +8.1	Texas -7.5	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
UCF @ Oklahoma StateSat, Oct 10 12:00	-10.8	53.5	Oklahoma State PK	UCF +10.8not counted	Sat, Oct 10 12:00
UCLA @ OregonSat, Oct 10 15:30	-11.5	58.8	Oregon -9.8	UCLA +11.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
San Diego State @ Oregon StateSat, Oct 10 18:00	-15.5	53.5	Oregon State -2.6	San Diego State +15.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 18:00
USC @ Penn StateSat, Oct 10 19:30	-1.5	54.8	Penn State -2.3	Penn State -1.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 19:30
North Carolina @ PittsburghSat, Oct 10 12:00	-4	47.2	Pittsburgh -13	Pittsburgh -4	Sat, Oct 10 12:00
Minnesota @ PurdueSat, Oct 10 20:00	-2.5	50.8	Purdue +5.8	Minnesota -2.5	Sat, Oct 10 20:00
UConn @ TempleSat, Oct 10 15:45	-3.5	54.5	Temple +0.6	UConn +3.5	Sat, Oct 10 15:45
Buffalo @ ToledoSat, Oct 10 15:30	-21	54.8	Toledo -16	Buffalo +21	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
North Dakota State @ UNLVSat, Oct 10 19:00	-3	47.8	UNLV +3	—	Sat, Oct 10 19:00
Nevada @ UTEPSat, Oct 10 19:00	-9.8	49.5	UTEP +15.9	Nevada -9.8	Sat, Oct 10 19:00
Kansas @ UtahSat, Oct 10 22:15	-15.8	51.2	Utah -16.8	Utah -15.8not counted	Sat, Oct 10 22:15
Ole Miss @ VanderbiltSat, Oct 10 15:30	-9.2	56.2	Vanderbilt +3	Vanderbilt +9.2	Sat, Oct 10 15:30
Syracuse @ VirginiaSat, Oct 10 19:30	-9.5	50.2	Virginia -14.3	Virginia -9.5	Sat, Oct 10 19:30
Arizona @ West VirginiaSat, Oct 10 12:00	-3	61.2	West Virginia +11.4	Arizona -3	Sat, Oct 10 12:00
Kent State @ Western MichiganSat, Oct 10 15:30	-13.5	43.5	Western Michigan -15.1	Western Michigan -13.5not counted	Sat, Oct 10 15:30

Opens College Matchup Preview This week's college board

College trends

Every FBS game log since 2022, joined to the opening line.

Published before kickoff and graded once the games are in.

Player trendstrue of the player and true of this game.

Jadan Baugh has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 75+ rushing yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

3 of 14, 21% everywhere else

RB · FloridaSouth Carolina at Florida2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 23 24	vs Ole Miss (+13)	46	no
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Long Island University (-46.8)	139	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs South Florida (-18.5)	93	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Texas (+4.5)	107	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Mississippi State (-9.5)	140	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Tennessee (+3.5)	96	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Florida State (+1.5)	257	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Florida Atlantic (-26.5)	160	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Campbell (-51.5)	136	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Ole Miss (-4)	142	yes

LJ Martin has 10 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

8 of 15, 53% everywhere else

RB · BYUIowa State at BYU2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 20 25	at East Carolina (-6.5)	101	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Colorado (-6.5)	53	yes
Fri, Oct 3 25	vs West Virginia (-19.5)	90	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Arizona (-2.5)	154	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs TCU (-3)	79	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Cincinnati (-2.5)	222	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs UCF (-17.5)	95	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Utah Tech (-50)	54	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Arizona (-6.8)	98	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	at Colorado State (-17.5)	176	yes

Cam Cook has 6 of his last 6 games as an underdog in conference play with 100+ rushing yards.did not play

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

7 of 12, 58% everywhere else

RB · West VirginiaArizona at West Virginia2025-2026

The 6 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Liberty (+6.2)	195	yes
Wed, Oct 15 25	vs Delaware (+3)	112	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Kennesaw State (+3.5)	132	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Florida International (+2.5)	137	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Western Kentucky (+1.5)	137	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Iowa State (+3)	142	yes

Chris Marshall has 7 of his last 8 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

3 of 9, 33% everywhere else

WR · ArkansasTennessee at Arkansas2025-2026

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Fri, Sep 5 25	vs Eastern Washington (-33.2)	132	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs App State (-16.5)	52	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs New Mexico (-14.5)	80	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs UNLV (-13)	96	yes
Fri, Dec 5 25	vs UNLV (-6)	10	no
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs North Alabama (-40.5)	79	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Georgia (+24.5)	104	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Tulsa (-7)	195	yes

Wayne Knight has 9 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

8 of 16, 50% everywhere else

RB · UCLAUCLA at Oregon2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs Georgia Southern (-15)	151	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	at Georgia State (-19.5)	53	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Louisiana (-18.5)	111	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Old Dominion (-3)	74	yes
Tue, Oct 28 25	at Texas State (-7.5)	48	no
Sat, Nov 8 25	at Marshall (-13.5)	87	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs App State (-21)	94	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Coastal Carolina (-24)	71	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Purdue (-13.5)	177	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Maryland (-2.5)	100	yes

Nate Sheppard has 7 of his last 7 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

8 of 11, 73% everywhere else

RB · DukeDuke at Georgia Tech2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Tulane (+1.5)	75	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Syracuse (-4)	168	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	at California (-3.5)	91	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Clemson (+4)	60	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	at UConn (-7.5)	100	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at North Carolina (-7)	90	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	at Illinois (+6.2)	147	yes

Bo Jackson has 9 of his last 9 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

9 of 9, 100% in this spot

7 of 9, 78% everywhere else

RB · Ohio StateMaryland at Ohio State2025-2026

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Grambling (-53.5)	108	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Ohio (-28.5)	109	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Minnesota (-23.5)	63	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Penn State (-17.5)	105	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs UCLA (-33)	112	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Rutgers (-28.5)	109	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Ball State (-50.8)	83	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Kent State (-52.2)	73	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Illinois (-25.5)	53	yes

Reed Harris has 8 of his last 10 games at home with a receiving touchdown.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 13, 31% everywhere else

WR · Arizona StateHawai'i at Arizona State2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 7 24	vs Duquesne (-33.5)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 23 24	vs North Carolina (+2)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 30 24	vs Pittsburgh (-3.5)	1	yes
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Fordham (-34.8)	1	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs California (-6)	0	no
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs UConn (+2.5)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Notre Dame (+31)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs SMU (+10.5)	0	no
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Georgia Tech (+16.5)	1	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Morgan State (-44.2)	2	yes

CJ Bailey has 8 of his last 9 games at home in conference play with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

10 of 20, 50% everywhere else

QB · NC StateWake Forest at NC State2024-2026

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 5 24	vs Wake Forest (-4)	2	yes
Sat, Oct 12 24	vs Syracuse (+1)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 2 24	vs Stanford (-9.5)	3	yes
Sat, Nov 9 24	vs Duke (-3)	1	no
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs Virginia Tech (-10)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Georgia Tech (+4.5)	2	yes
Fri, Nov 21 25	vs Florida State (+6.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs North Carolina (-7)	2	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Louisville (+4.2)	2	yes

Turbo Richard has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 12, 33% everywhere else

RB · IndianaIndiana at Nebraska2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 5 24	at Virginia (+2)	55	yes
Thu, Oct 17 24	at Virginia Tech (+8.5)	64	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Stanford (-14)	55	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs California (-6)	170	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	at Pittsburgh (+6.5)	2	no
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Clemson (+14)	65	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs SMU (+10.5)	47	no
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Georgia Tech (+16.5)	141	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Syracuse (-3)	102	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	vs Northwestern (-20.2)	68	yes

Kamari Moulton has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 75+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

3 of 9, 33% everywhere else

RB · IowaIowa at Washington2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs Indiana (+9.5)	75	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Wisconsin (-5)	96	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Penn State (-3)	99	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	vs Minnesota (-7.5)	75	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Oregon (+4.5)	87	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at USC (+6.5)	90	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Michigan State (-17.5)	78	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Nebraska (-5.5)	93	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Michigan (+4.8)	44	no
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Ohio State (+14.2)	25	no

Joe Jackson has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

3 of 8, 38% everywhere else

RB · Kansas StateHouston at Kansas State2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Aug 23 25	at Iowa State (-3)	51	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs UCF (-6)	6	no
Sat, Oct 4 25	at Baylor (+4.5)	61	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs TCU (+3)	110	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Kansas (+3.5)	69	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Texas Tech (+7.5)	25	no
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Oklahoma State (-19.5)	69	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Utah (+17.5)	293	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Colorado (-16.5)	142	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Cincinnati (-6)	59	yes

8 more college trends

Tre Richardson has 8 of his last 9 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

5 of 8, 62% everywhere else

WR · LouisvilleFlorida State at Louisville2025-2026

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Charleston Southern (-38)	74	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs Utah State (-23.5)	74	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs LSU (-1.5)	0	no
Sat, Oct 25 25	vs Missouri (-3)	62	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Auburn (-6)	124	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Kentucky (-7)	159	yes
Fri, Sep 11 26	vs Villanova (-39)	98	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs SMU (-3)	62	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Wake Forest (-11.2)	85	yes

Owen McCown has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 12, 42% everywhere else

QB · UTSASouth Florida at UTSA2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Texas State (-4.5)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Incarnate Word (-21)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 20 25	at Colorado State (-5)	1	no
Sat, Oct 4 25	at Temple (-6.5)	1	no
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Rice (-9.5)	3	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Charlotte (-17)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Army (-8.5)	2	yes
Fri, Dec 26 25	at Florida International (-7)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs UT Rio Grande Valley (-28.5)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Colorado State (-14.2)	3	yes

Trinidad Chambliss has 8 of his last 9 games in conference play with 250+ passing yards.did not play

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

6 of 9, 67% everywhere else

QB · Ole MissOle Miss at Vanderbilt2025-2026

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Arkansas (-3.5)	372	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs LSU (-2.5)	314	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Georgia (+7.5)	263	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Oklahoma (+5.5)	309	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs South Carolina (-13)	159	no
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Florida (-10.5)	285	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Mississippi State (-7.5)	363	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs LSU (+2.8)	349	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Florida (+4)	298	yes

Josh Hoover has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 9, 44% everywhere else

QB · IndianaIndiana at Nebraska2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Kansas State (-3)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Baylor (-3.5)	3	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at West Virginia (-16.5)	1	no
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Iowa State (-7.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Houston (-1.5)	3	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Cincinnati (-3)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs North Texas (-40)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Howard (-57.5)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Western Kentucky (-44.8)	2	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	vs Northwestern (-20.2)	1	no

Amare Thomas has 6 of his last 7 games as an underdog with a receiving touchdown.did not play

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

6 of 11, 55% everywhere else

WR · HoustonHouston at Kansas State2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Texas Tech (+13)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Arizona (+2)	2	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Arizona State (+7.5)	0	no
Fri, Nov 7 25	at UCF (+1.5)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs TCU (+1.5)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Baylor (+2.5)	1	yes
Fri, Sep 18 26	at Texas Tech (+8)	1	yes

Que'Sean Brown has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

6 of 11, 55% everywhere else

WR · Virginia TechVirginia Tech at California2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 8 25	at UConn (-7.5)	61	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Virginia (-5.5)	14	no
Sat, Nov 22 25	at North Carolina (-7)	16	no
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Wake Forest (-2.5)	51	yes
Wed, Dec 31 25	at Arizona State (-4)	178	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs VMI (-54.5)	140	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Old Dominion (-17.8)	60	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	at Maryland (-2.5)	50	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Boston College (-14.5)	69	yes
Fri, Oct 2 26	vs Pittsburgh (-1.5)	189	yes

Katin Houser has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with 250+ passing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 14, 57% everywhere else

QB · IllinoisIllinois at Michigan State2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 19 24	at Army (+17.5)	297	yes
Thu, Nov 14 24	at Tulsa (-16.5)	317	yes
Sat, Nov 23 24	at North Texas (+2.5)	296	yes
Thu, Aug 28 25	at NC State (+13.5)	394	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Coastal Carolina (-7)	297	yes
Thu, Oct 9 25	at Tulane (+7)	170	no
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Temple (-5.5)	256	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at UTSA (-2)	228	no
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Florida Atlantic (-7)	258	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Ohio State (+25.5)	263	yes

Jeremiah Smith has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 6+ catches.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

9 of 15, 60% everywhere else

WR · Ohio StateMaryland at Ohio State2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Washington (-9.5)	8	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Minnesota (-23.5)	7	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Illinois (-15)	6	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Wisconsin (-24.5)	9	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Penn State (-17.5)	6	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	at Purdue (-29.5)	10	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs UCLA (-33)	4	no
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Michigan (-9.5)	3	no
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Illinois (-25.5)	12	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Iowa (-14.2)	11	yes

Team trendsagainst the spread and the total, last three seasons plus this one, in the spot this game put them in. The faded bar is the same team everywhere else; every card also beats the league in that spot.

North Texas has covered 10 of 11 in conference play when our model likes them

10 of 11, 91% in this spot

14 of 31, 45% everywhere else

North TexasCharlotte at North Texas, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Old Dominion has covered 10 of 11 as an underdog when our model likes them

10 of 11, 91% in this spot

10 of 29, 34% everywhere else

Old DominionOld Dominion at App State, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Ball State has covered 9 of 10 as an underdog when our model likes them

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

14 of 30, 47% everywhere else

Ball StateBall State at Northwestern, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Louisiana has covered 8 of 9 in conference play when our model likes them

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

13 of 30, 43% everywhere else

LouisianaLouisiana at Louisiana Tech, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Tulane has covered 13 of 15 when our model likes them

13 of 15, 87% in this spot

8 of 27, 30% everywhere else

TulaneTulane at Army, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Indiana has gone over 12 of 14 on the road

12 of 14, 86% in this spot

16 of 28, 57% everywhere else

IndianaIndiana at Nebraska, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

North Texas has covered 11 of 13 when our model likes them

11 of 13, 85% in this spot

13 of 29, 45% everywhere else

North TexasCharlotte at North Texas, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Charlotte has covered 15 of 18 on the road

15 of 18, 83% in this spot

4 of 22, 18% everywhere else

CharlotteCharlotte at North Texas, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Ball State has covered 10 of 12 when our model likes them

10 of 12, 83% in this spot

13 of 28, 46% everywhere else

Ball StateBall State at Northwestern, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Oregon has covered 9 of 11 against a ranked team

9 of 11, 82% in this spot

16 of 28, 57% everywhere else

OregonUCLA at Oregon, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Tulane has covered 8 of 10 in conference play when our model likes them

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

13 of 32, 41% everywhere else

TulaneTulane at Army, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Utah State has covered 15 of 19 at home

15 of 19, 79% in this spot

9 of 20, 45% everywhere else

Utah StateWashington State at Utah State, Fri, Oct 92023-2026

28 more team trends

Louisiana has gone over 11 of 14 when our model likes them

11 of 14, 79% in this spot

11 of 27, 41% everywhere else

LouisianaLouisiana at Louisiana Tech, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Northwestern has covered 11 of 14 at home

11 of 14, 79% in this spot

11 of 24, 46% everywhere else

NorthwesternBall State at Northwestern, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Texas A&M has gone over 11 of 14 on the road

11 of 14, 79% in this spot

13 of 27, 48% everywhere else

Texas A&MTexas A&M at Missouri, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Penn State has covered 7 of 9 as a favorite when our model likes them

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

14 of 33, 42% everywhere else

Penn StateUSC at Penn State, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Northern Illinois has gone over 7 of 9 in conference play when our model likes them

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

13 of 30, 43% everywhere else

Northern IllinoisAir Force at Northern Illinois, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Temple has covered 7 of 9 as a favorite

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

13 of 31, 42% everywhere else

TempleUConn at Temple, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

UConn has covered 7 of 9 as an underdog when our model likes them

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

16 of 30, 53% everywhere else

UConnUConn at Temple, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

California has gone over 7 of 9 in conference play when our model likes them

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

12 of 31, 39% everywhere else

CaliforniaVirginia Tech at California, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Vanderbilt has gone over 7 of 9 when our model likes them

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

18 of 31, 58% everywhere else

VanderbiltOle Miss at Vanderbilt, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

West Virginia has gone over 14 of 18 coming off a loss

14 of 18, 78% in this spot

12 of 22, 55% everywhere else

West VirginiaArizona at West Virginia, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Alabama has covered 10 of 13 in conference play when our model likes them

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

17 of 28, 61% everywhere else

AlabamaGeorgia at Alabama, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Miami (OH) has covered 20 of 26 as a favorite

20 of 26, 77% in this spot

7 of 18, 39% everywhere else

Miami (OH)Miami (OH) at Massachusetts, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Arizona State has covered 13 of 17 coming off a loss

13 of 17, 76% in this spot

10 of 22, 46% everywhere else

Arizona StateHawai'i at Arizona State, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Toledo has gone over 16 of 21 at home

16 of 21, 76% in this spot

9 of 21, 43% everywhere else

ToledoBuffalo at Toledo, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Memphis has gone over 19 of 25 in conference play

19 of 25, 76% in this spot

7 of 16, 44% everywhere else

MemphisUAB at Memphis, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Alabama has covered 18 of 24 at home

18 of 24, 75% in this spot

9 of 17, 53% everywhere else

AlabamaGeorgia at Alabama, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Toledo has gone over 12 of 16 as a favorite of 14 or more

12 of 16, 75% in this spot

13 of 26, 50% everywhere else

ToledoBuffalo at Toledo, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Vanderbilt has gone over 6 of 8 in conference play when our model likes them

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

19 of 32, 59% everywhere else

VanderbiltOle Miss at Vanderbilt, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Washington State has covered 6 of 8 in prime time when our model likes them

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

17 of 33, 52% everywhere else

Washington StateWashington State at Utah State, Fri, Oct 92023-2026

UTSA has gone over 15 of 20 at home

15 of 20, 75% in this spot

7 of 18, 39% everywhere else

UTSASouth Florida at UTSA, Thu, Oct 82023-2026

North Texas has covered 6 of 8 as a favorite of 14 or more

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

18 of 34, 53% everywhere else

North TexasCharlotte at North Texas, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

NC State has covered 6 of 8 at home when our model likes them

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

13 of 32, 41% everywhere else

NC StateWake Forest at NC State, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Virginia Tech has gone over 20 of 27 as a favorite

20 of 27, 74% in this spot

5 of 14, 36% everywhere else

Virginia TechVirginia Tech at California, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Kentucky has gone over 11 of 15 against a ranked team

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

11 of 25, 44% everywhere else

KentuckyLSU at Kentucky, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Eastern Michigan has covered 11 of 15 when our model likes them

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

12 of 26, 46% everywhere else

Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan at Akron, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Old Dominion has covered 11 of 15 when our model likes them

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

9 of 25, 36% everywhere else

Old DominionOld Dominion at App State, Sat, Oct 102023-2026

Washington has covered 8 of 11 coming off a loss

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

10 of 30, 33% everywhere else

WashingtonIowa at Washington, Fri, Oct 92024-2026

Indiana has gone over 21 of 29 in conference play

21 of 29, 72% in this spot

7 of 13, 54% everywhere else

IndianaIndiana at Nebraska, Sat, Oct 102023-2026