Game lines · College · 2026

College week 8.

56 games with a line, 56 played. Our number is the one we logged before kickoff, never after. Leans, never plays: the sealed 2023-2025 read came back inside the luck band.

Week 8 leans: 15-22, -9.2u flat at -110. Counted where we differed by 2 or more and the row was clean; suspect rows (no Elo, or the big-spread defect) are shown and never counted.

Game	Market	Total	Our number	Lean	Final
Missouri State @ DelawareTue, Oct 20 19:00	-3	54.2	Delaware -5.4	WIN Delaware -3	38-61
Middle Tennessee @ Florida InternationalTue, Oct 20 19:00	-10.2	46.5	Florida International -12	LOSS Florida International -10.2	26-23
South Alabama @ MarshallTue, Oct 20 19:30	-1.5	66.2	Marshall -0.4	WIN Marshall +1.5	13-20
New Mexico State @ Sam HoustonWed, Oct 21 20:00	-3	46.5	Sam Houston +2.3	LOSS Sam Houston +3not counted	30-24
James Madison @ App StateThu, Oct 22 19:00	-12.8	56.5	App State +16.5	LOSS James Madison -12.8	31-34
Liberty @ Kennesaw StateThu, Oct 22 19:00	-8.5	50.5	Kennesaw State +17.5	WIN Liberty -8.5	34-6
East Carolina @ MemphisThu, Oct 22 19:30	-10.5	55.5	Memphis -9.4	WIN East Carolina +10.5not counted	34-41
NC State @ StanfordFri, Oct 23 22:30	-7.5	54.5	Stanford +9	LOSS NC State -7.5	28-31
Army @ TulsaFri, Oct 23 20:30	-1.5	53.2	Tulsa +10.3	WIN Army -1.5not counted	38-35
Massachusetts @ UConnFri, Oct 23 19:00	-12.8	53.8	UConn -21.2	WIN UConn -12.8	16-35
Duke @ VirginiaFri, Oct 23 19:00	-2.5	47.2	Virginia -1	WIN Duke +2.5not counted	19-16
Air Force @ WyomingFri, Oct 23 21:00	-7	46.5	Wyoming +2.8	WIN Wyoming +7	14-28
Texas A&M @ AlabamaSat, Oct 24 15:30	-13.2	49.5	Alabama -11.2	WIN Texas A&M +13.2	20-31
Iowa State @ ArizonaSat, Oct 24 19:30	-12	51.5	Arizona -11.5	WIN Arizona -12not counted	3-39
Kansas State @ Arizona StateSat, Oct 24 15:45	-1.5	51.5	Arizona State +4.8	LOSS Kansas State -1.5	17-28
Georgia State @ Arkansas StateSat, Oct 24 19:00	-2.5	58.5	Arkansas State -1.4	WIN Arkansas State +2.5	32-38
LSU @ AuburnSat, Oct 24 12:00	-7	52.0	Auburn +6.4	LOSS Auburn +7not counted	38-17
Sacramento State @ Ball StateSat, Oct 24 15:30	-14.5	51.5	Ball State -9.1	LOSS Sacramento State +14.5	17-34
Bowling Green @ BuffaloSat, Oct 24 15:30	-3	44.8	Buffalo -8.8	WIN Buffalo -3	24-31
Miami (OH) @ Central MichiganSat, Oct 24 13:00	-3.5	41.2	Central Michigan +1	WIN Central Michigan +3.5	28-27
Texas Tech @ CincinnatiSat, Oct 24 12:00	-10.8	57.5	Cincinnati +16.8	LOSS Texas Tech -10.8	24-37
Virginia Tech @ ClemsonSat, Oct 24 19:00	-3	50.2	Clemson -4.6	LOSS Clemson -3	20-16
San Diego State @ Colorado StateSat, Oct 24 18:30	-0.2	57.5	Colorado State +4.8	LOSS San Diego State -0.2	49-56
Rice @ Florida AtlanticSat, Oct 24 12:00	-9.5	55.2	Florida Atlantic -7.8	WIN Rice +9.5not counted	49-51
Boston College @ Georgia TechSat, Oct 24 15:30	-6.5	50.5	Georgia Tech -5.2	WIN Boston College +6.5not counted	49-27
Oregon @ IllinoisSat, Oct 24 15:00	-10.2	49.2	Illinois +5.1	WIN Illinois +10.2	10-21
Baylor @ KansasSat, Oct 24 13:00	-1.5	54.5	Kansas -2.5	LOSS Kansas -1.5	24-25
Akron @ Kent StateSat, Oct 24 13:00	-3	48.2	Kent State -7.3	WIN Kent State -3	20-35
Vanderbilt @ KentuckySat, Oct 24 19:30	-10	51.5	Kentucky -7.9	LOSS Vanderbilt +10	17-34
Old Dominion @ Louisiana TechSat, Oct 24 17:00	-13.5	43.5	Louisiana Tech -8.6	LOSS Old Dominion +13.5	0-26
Pittsburgh @ MiamiSat, Oct 24 12:00	-20.5	50.5	Miami -19.2	LOSS Pittsburgh +20.5not counted	23-52
Indiana @ MichiganSat, Oct 24 12:00	-7.5	43.5	Michigan +13	LOSS Indiana -7.5	13-6
Iowa @ MinnesotaSat, Oct 24 15:30	-7.8	40.8	Minnesota +14.7	LOSS Iowa -7.8	10-13
Oklahoma @ Mississippi StateSat, Oct 24 15:30	-1.5	49.0	Mississippi State +2.5	WIN Oklahoma -1.5not counted	23-15
North Texas @ NavySat, Oct 24 15:30	-3	60.5	Navy +5.3	WIN North Texas -3	49-39
San José State @ NevadaSat, Oct 24 17:00	-5.8	46.2	Nevada -4	LOSS San José State +5.8	13-28
North Dakota State @ New MexicoSat, Oct 24 22:00	-4.8	39.5	New Mexico -4.6	LOSS North Dakota State +4.8not counted	16-21
Syracuse @ North CarolinaSat, Oct 24 19:30	-8.2	49.5	North Carolina -9.5	LOSS North Carolina -8.2not counted	31-30
Hawai'i @ Northern IllinoisSat, Oct 24 15:30	-3	48.8	Northern Illinois +3.2	WIN Hawai'i -3not counted	56-21
Rutgers @ NorthwesternSat, Oct 24 12:00	-15.5	58.8	Northwestern -17.4	WIN Northwestern -15.5not counted	14-42
Eastern Michigan @ OhioSat, Oct 24 16:00	-11.5	48.8	Ohio -8.9	WIN Eastern Michigan +11.5not counted	20-24
Colorado @ Oklahoma StateSat, Oct 24 19:00	-13	55.5	Oklahoma State -3.5	LOSS Colorado +13not counted	24-57
California @ SMUSat, Oct 24 12:00	-18.5	55.2	SMU -19.5	WIN SMU -18.5not counted	20-59
Tennessee @ South CarolinaSat, Oct 24 15:30	-2.5	50.5	South Carolina +3.8	LOSS Tennessee +2.5	24-27
Louisiana @ Southern MissSat, Oct 24 17:00	-11.5	52.5	Southern Miss +13.6	LOSS Louisiana -11.5	31-35
West Virginia @ TCUSat, Oct 24 12:00	-10	58.5	TCU -13.4	LOSS TCU -10	24-20
Ole Miss @ TexasSat, Oct 24 19:30	-3	54.8	Texas +1.5	LOSS Ole Miss +3	27-34
Utah State @ Texas StateSat, Oct 24 19:30	-14.2	58.8	Texas State -10	WIN Utah State +14.2	17-20
Western Michigan @ ToledoSat, Oct 24 12:00	-2.5	48.2	Toledo -4.9	WIN Toledo -2.5	38-45
UL Monroe @ TroySat, Oct 24 16:00	-13.5	50.5	Troy -18.4	LOSS Troy -13.5	21-14
UTSA @ TulaneSat, Oct 24 20:00	-3	52.2	Tulane -4	LOSS Tulane +3	42-19
BYU @ UCFSat, Oct 24 15:30	-7.5	43.8	UCF +5.8	WIN UCF +7.5not counted	31-39
Michigan State @ UCLASat, Oct 24 15:30	-16.5	43.5	UCLA -11.8	LOSS Michigan State +16.5	10-28
Houston @ UtahSat, Oct 24 22:15	-6.5	57.2	Utah -15	WIN Utah -6.5	13-21
Boise State @ Washington StateSat, Oct 24 18:00	-14.8	52.5	Washington State +9.2	LOSS Washington State +14.8	31-10
USC @ WisconsinSat, Oct 24 19:30	-2	50.8	Wisconsin +4	LOSS USC -2not counted	7-24

Opens College Matchup Preview This week's college board

College trends

Every FBS game log since 2022, joined to the opening line.

Published before kickoff and graded once the games are in.

Player trendstrue of the player and true of this game.

Trinidad Chambliss has 9 of his last 9 games against a ranked team with 250+ passing yards.did not play

9 of 9, 100% in this spot

5 of 10, 50% everywhere else

QB · Ole MissOle Miss at Texas2025-2026

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs LSU (-2.5)	314	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Georgia (+7.5)	263	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Oklahoma (+5.5)	309	yes
Sat, Dec 20 25	vs Tulane (-16.5)	282	yes
Thu, Jan 1 25	at Georgia (+6)	385	yes
Thu, Jan 8 25	at Miami (+3)	253	yes
Sun, Sep 6 26	at Louisville (-6.5)	336	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs LSU (+2.8)	349	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Florida (+4)	298	yes

Wayne Knight has 10 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

10 of 17, 59% everywhere else

RB · UCLAMichigan State at UCLA2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 30 24	vs Marshall (-3.5)	59	yes
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Weber State (-27)	89	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs Georgia Southern (-15)	151	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Louisiana (-18.5)	111	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Old Dominion (-3)	74	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs App State (-21)	94	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Washington State (-15.5)	126	yes
Fri, Dec 5 25	vs Troy (-24.5)	212	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs San Diego State (-13.5)	97	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Purdue (-13.5)	177	yes

Keshaun Singleton has 7 of his last 7 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

10 of 16, 62% everywhere else

WR · AuburnLSU at Auburn2024-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 9 24	vs Navy (+4.5)	58	yes
Thu, Aug 28 25	vs Boise State (+5.5)	93	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	at Florida (+18.5)	75	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Miami (+17.5)	54	yes
Fri, Oct 10 25	at North Texas (+2.5)	54	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Florida (+2.5)	99	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Tennessee (+6.2)	61	yes

Cam Cook has 7 of his last 7 games as an underdog in conference play with 100+ rushing yards.did not play

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

7 of 12, 58% everywhere else

RB · West VirginiaWest Virginia at TCU2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Liberty (+6.2)	195	yes
Wed, Oct 15 25	vs Delaware (+3)	112	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Kennesaw State (+3.5)	132	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Florida International (+2.5)	137	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Western Kentucky (+1.5)	137	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Iowa State (+3)	142	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs Arizona (+3.5)	138	yes

Kevin Jennings has 9 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

9 of 24, 38% everywhere else

QB · SMUCalifornia at SMU2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 16 24	vs Boston College (-19)	3	yes
Sat, Nov 30 24	vs California (-12.5)	2	yes
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs East Texas A&M (-50.8)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Baylor (-2.8)	3	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Syracuse (-17.5)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Stanford (-19.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Louisville (-4)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs UC Davis (-32.5)	5	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Missouri State (-30.5)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Boston College (-21.5)	1	no

Wyatt Young has 9 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

6 of 13, 46% everywhere else

WR · Oklahoma StateColorado at Oklahoma State2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 20 25	at Army (-2.5)	19	no
Fri, Oct 10 25	vs South Florida (-2.5)	79	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs UTSA (-4)	102	yes
Fri, Oct 24 25	at Charlotte (-25.5)	190	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Navy (-6.5)	52	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at UAB (-17.5)	143	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Rice (-18.5)	295	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	vs Temple (-20.5)	127	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at West Virginia (+1.5)	192	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs UCF (-10.2)	52	yes

Nate Sheppard has 8 of his last 8 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 8, 100% in this spot

8 of 11, 73% everywhere else

RB · DukeDuke at Virginia2025-2026

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Tulane (+1.5)	75	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Syracuse (-4)	168	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	at California (-3.5)	91	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Clemson (+4)	60	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	at UConn (-7.5)	100	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at North Carolina (-7)	90	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	at Illinois (+6.2)	147	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Georgia Tech (-4.5)	99	yes

Nick Marsh has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

8 of 14, 57% everywhere else

WR · IndianaIndiana at Michigan2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Boston College (-3.5)	85	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Youngstown State (-23.5)	94	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs UCLA (-7)	77	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Maryland (-4)	80	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs North Texas (-40)	17	no
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Howard (-57.5)	71	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Western Kentucky (-44.8)	81	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	vs Northwestern (-20.2)	52	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Rutgers (-24.2)	120	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Nebraska (-9)	187	yes

Darian Mensah has 7 of his last 8 games at home with 250+ passing yards.did not play

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

5 of 11, 46% everywhere else

QB · MiamiPittsburgh at Miami2025-2026

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Aug 28 25	vs Elon (-36.5)	378	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Illinois (+2.5)	327	yes
Sat, Sep 20 25	vs NC State (-3)	257	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Georgia Tech (-3.5)	342	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Virginia (-5.5)	213	no
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Wake Forest (-2.5)	268	yes
Thu, Sep 10 26	vs Florida A&M (-59.5)	252	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Central Michigan (-41.2)	338	yes

Kamari Moulton has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 75+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

3 of 9, 33% everywhere else

RB · IowaIowa at Minnesota2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Wisconsin (-5)	96	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Penn State (-3)	99	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	vs Minnesota (-7.5)	75	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Oregon (+4.5)	87	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at USC (+6.5)	90	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Michigan State (-17.5)	78	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Nebraska (-5.5)	93	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Michigan (+4.8)	44	no
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Ohio State (+14.2)	27	no
Fri, Oct 9 26	at Washington (+3)	208	yes

Turbo Richard has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 12, 33% everywhere else

RB · IndianaIndiana at Michigan2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Fordham (-34.8)	48	no
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Stanford (-14)	55	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs California (-6)	170	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Syracuse (-3)	102	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs North Texas (-40)	58	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Howard (-57.5)	108	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Western Kentucky (-44.8)	149	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	vs Northwestern (-20.2)	68	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Rutgers (-24.2)	204	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Nebraska (-9)	10	no

Bryant Wesco Jr. has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 11, 36% everywhere else

WR · ClemsonVirginia Tech at Clemson2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 2 24	vs Louisville (-11)	53	yes
Sat, Nov 23 24	vs The Citadel (-49)	75	yes
Sat, Nov 30 24	vs South Carolina (-2.5)	80	yes
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs LSU (-5.5)	66	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Troy (-30.2)	118	yes
Sat, Sep 20 25	vs Syracuse (-17.5)	83	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs SMU (-3.5)	0	no
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Georgia Southern (-20)	35	no
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs North Carolina (-3)	77	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Miami (+14.8)	152	yes

14 more college trends

Caleb Komolafe has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with a rushing touchdown.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 11, 36% everywhere else

RB · NorthwesternRutgers at Northwestern2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Oregon (+25.5)	1	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs UCLA (-6)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Penn State (+20.5)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Purdue (-3.5)	0	no
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Nebraska (+7)	2	yes
Fri, Nov 7 25	at USC (+14.5)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Michigan (+10)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Minnesota (-4)	1	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	at Indiana (+20.2)	0	no
Fri, Oct 2 26	vs Penn State (+2.8)	1	yes

Kedrick Reescano has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with a rushing touchdown.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

3 of 8, 38% everywhere else

RB · ArizonaIowa State at Arizona2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs BYU (+2.5)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Houston (-2)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Colorado (-3.5)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Kansas (-5.5)	0	no
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Cincinnati (+6)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Baylor (-6.5)	3	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Arizona State (-2)	1	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	at BYU (+6.8)	0	no
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Cincinnati (-6.8)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at West Virginia (-3.5)	1	yes

Jordan Gant has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 75+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

3 of 8, 38% everywhere else

RB · AkronAkron at Kent State2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Toledo (+21.5)	21	no
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Central Michigan (+7)	191	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Miami (OH) (+11.5)	35	no
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Ball State (-2)	94	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Buffalo (+10)	90	yes
Tue, Nov 4 25	vs Massachusetts (-12.5)	153	yes
Tue, Nov 11 25	vs Kent State (-7.5)	96	yes
Tue, Nov 18 25	at Bowling Green (+2.5)	86	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Central Michigan (+6.8)	102	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs Eastern Michigan (+5)	117	yes

Easton Messer has 8 of his last 9 games in conference play with 6+ catches.did not play

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

5 of 8, 62% everywhere else

WR · Florida AtlanticRice at Florida Atlantic2025-2026

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs Memphis (+14)	9	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	at Rice (+4.5)	10	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs UAB (-4.5)	2	no
Sat, Oct 18 25	at South Florida (+20.5)	7	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Navy (+14.5)	8	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Tulsa (-4.5)	6	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Tulane (+16.5)	9	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs East Carolina (+7)	10	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Navy (+4.5)	8	yes

Reed Harris has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 13, 38% everywhere else

WR · Arizona StateKansas State at Arizona State2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 23 24	vs North Carolina (+2)	76	yes
Sat, Nov 30 24	vs Pittsburgh (-3.5)	85	yes
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Fordham (-34.8)	23	no
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs California (-6)	54	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs UConn (+2.5)	52	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Notre Dame (+31)	28	no
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs SMU (+10.5)	86	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Georgia Tech (+16.5)	142	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Morgan State (-44.2)	137	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Baylor (-3.5)	125	yes

Katin Houser has 7 of his last 8 games at home in conference play with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

10 of 19, 53% everywhere else

QB · IllinoisOregon at Illinois2024-2026

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 26 24	vs Temple (-8.5)	5	yes
Thu, Nov 7 24	vs Florida Atlantic (-7.5)	5	yes
Fri, Nov 29 24	vs Navy (-2.8)	2	yes
Thu, Sep 25 25	vs Army (-3.5)	2	yes
Thu, Oct 16 25	vs Tulsa (-16.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Charlotte (-28)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Memphis (-3)	1	no
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Purdue (-9.8)	2	yes

Drew Mestemaker has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 250+ passing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 12, 42% everywhere else

QB · Oklahoma StateColorado at Oklahoma State2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 20 25	at Army (-2.5)	244	no
Fri, Oct 10 25	vs South Florida (-2.5)	308	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs UTSA (-4)	282	yes
Fri, Oct 24 25	at Charlotte (-25.5)	608	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Navy (-6.5)	234	no
Sat, Nov 15 25	at UAB (-17.5)	298	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Rice (-18.5)	469	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	vs Temple (-20.5)	366	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at West Virginia (+1.5)	385	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs UCF (-10.2)	304	yes

Josh Hoover has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 9, 44% everywhere else

QB · IndianaIndiana at Michigan2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 25 25	at West Virginia (-16.5)	1	no
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Iowa State (-7.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Houston (-1.5)	3	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Cincinnati (-3)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs North Texas (-40)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Howard (-57.5)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Western Kentucky (-44.8)	2	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	vs Northwestern (-20.2)	1	no
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Rutgers (-24.2)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Nebraska (-9)	2	yes

Caleb Hawkins has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

6 of 8, 75% everywhere else

RB · Oklahoma StateColorado at Oklahoma State2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Lamar (-27.5)	18	no
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Washington State (-6.5)	50	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs South Alabama (-13)	140	yes
Fri, Oct 10 25	vs South Florida (-2.5)	50	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs UTSA (-4)	133	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Navy (-6.5)	197	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	vs Temple (-20.5)	173	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Oregon (+24.2)	120	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Murray State (-56)	72	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs UCF (-10.2)	75	yes

Hollywood Smothers has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 11, 46% everywhere else

RB · TexasOle Miss at Texas2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Aug 28 25	vs East Carolina (-13.5)	66	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Virginia (-2.8)	140	yes
Thu, Sep 11 25	at Wake Forest (-7.5)	163	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs Virginia Tech (-10)	67	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Campbell (-42.5)	123	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs North Carolina (-7)	32	no
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Texas State (-29.5)	70	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Ohio State (-2.2)	74	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs UTSA (-29.8)	54	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Oklahoma (-7.8)	39	no

Caden Veltkamp has 5 of his last 6 games as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

6 of 11, 55% everywhere else

QB · Florida AtlanticRice at Florida Atlantic2025-2026

The 6 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Florida A&M (-21.2)	5	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs UAB (-4.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Tulsa (-4.5)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Florida International (-5.2)	0	no
Sat, Sep 26 26	at UL Monroe (-11.5)	2	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Texas Southern (-45.8)	4	yes

Antwan Raymond has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

6 of 11, 55% everywhere else

RB · RutgersRutgers at Northwestern2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Minnesota (+3.5)	171	yes
Fri, Oct 10 25	at Washington (+9.5)	89	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Oregon (+17.5)	55	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Purdue (+2.5)	105	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Illinois (+13)	29	no
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Ohio State (+28.5)	52	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Penn State (+14)	189	yes
Fri, Sep 11 26	at Boston College (+3)	134	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs USC (+21)	122	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Indiana (+24.2)	31	no

Noah Fifita has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

11 of 20, 55% everywhere else

QB · ArizonaIowa State at Arizona2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Houston (-2)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Colorado (-3.5)	4	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Kansas (-5.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Baylor (-6.5)	1	no
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Arizona State (-2)	1	no
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Northern Arizona (-32.5)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Northern Illinois (-34.5)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Washington State (-11.8)	5	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Cincinnati (-6.8)	2	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at West Virginia (-3.5)	3	yes

KJ Duff has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 11, 64% everywhere else

WR · RutgersRutgers at Northwestern2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Minnesota (+3.5)	84	yes
Fri, Oct 10 25	at Washington (+9.5)	59	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Oregon (+17.5)	41	no
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Purdue (+2.5)	241	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Illinois (+13)	93	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Ohio State (+28.5)	34	no
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Penn State (+14)	127	yes
Fri, Sep 11 26	at Boston College (+3)	137	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs USC (+21)	86	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Indiana (+24.2)	78	yes

Team trends19 of 40 hitagainst the spread and the total, last three seasons plus this one, in the spot this game put them in. The faded bar is the same team everywhere else; every card also beats the league in that spot.

Old Dominion has covered 10 of 11 as an underdog when our model likes themmissed

10 of 11, 91% in this spot

11 of 31, 36% everywhere else

Old DominionOld Dominion at Louisiana Tech, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

North Texas has covered 10 of 11 in conference play when our model likes themhit

10 of 11, 91% in this spot

15 of 32, 47% everywhere else

North TexasNorth Texas at Navy, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

Louisiana has covered 8 of 9 in conference play when our model likes themmissed

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

15 of 32, 47% everywhere else

LouisianaLouisiana at Southern Miss, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

Tulane has covered 7 of 8 at home when our model likes themmissed

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

16 of 36, 44% everywhere else

TulaneUTSA at Tulane, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

Washington State has covered 7 of 8 at home when our model likes themmissed

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

18 of 35, 51% everywhere else

Washington StateBoise State at Washington State, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

New Mexico State has gone over 7 of 8 with more rest than the opponenthit

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

13 of 36, 36% everywhere else

New Mexico StateNew Mexico State at Sam Houston, Wed, Oct 212023-2026

Tulane has covered 13 of 15 when our model likes themmissed

13 of 15, 87% in this spot

10 of 29, 34% everywhere else

TulaneUTSA at Tulane, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

North Texas has covered 11 of 13 when our model likes themhit

11 of 13, 85% in this spot

14 of 30, 47% everywhere else

North TexasNorth Texas at Navy, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

Ball State has covered 15 of 18 at homehit

15 of 18, 83% in this spot

10 of 24, 42% everywhere else

Ball StateSacramento State at Ball State, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

Massachusetts has gone over 15 of 18 as an underdog of 14 or moremissed

15 of 18, 83% in this spot

11 of 24, 46% everywhere else

MassachusettsMassachusetts at UConn, Fri, Oct 232023-2026

Virginia Tech has gone over 13 of 16 in prime timemissed

13 of 16, 81% in this spot

13 of 27, 48% everywhere else

Virginia TechVirginia Tech at Clemson, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

Troy has covered 8 of 10 as a favorite when our model likes themmissed

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

17 of 33, 52% everywhere else

TroyUL Monroe at Troy, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

28 more team trends

Indiana has gone over 12 of 15 on the roadmissed

12 of 15, 80% in this spot

16 of 29, 55% everywhere else

IndianaIndiana at Michigan, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

Louisiana has gone over 11 of 14 when our model likes themhit

11 of 14, 79% in this spot

12 of 29, 41% everywhere else

LouisianaLouisiana at Southern Miss, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

Vanderbilt has gone over 7 of 9 when our model likes themmissed

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

20 of 33, 61% everywhere else

VanderbiltVanderbilt at Kentucky, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

West Virginia has gone over 14 of 18 on the roadmissed

14 of 18, 78% in this spot

14 of 24, 58% everywhere else

West VirginiaWest Virginia at TCU, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

Duke has covered 7 of 9 in prime time when our model likes themhit

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

17 of 32, 53% everywhere else

DukeDuke at Virginia, Fri, Oct 232023-2026

Eastern Michigan has covered 6 of 8 coming off a loss when our model likes themhit

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

17 of 35, 49% everywhere else

Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan at Ohio, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

Miami (OH) has covered 21 of 28 as a favoritemissed

21 of 28, 75% in this spot

7 of 18, 39% everywhere else

Miami (OH)Miami (OH) at Central Michigan, Sat, Oct 242023-2026

East Carolina has covered 6 of 8 with more rest than the opponenthit

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

15 of 33, 46% everywhere else

East CarolinaEast Carolina at Memphis, Thu, Oct 222023-2026

Marshall has gone over 6 of 8 as an underdog when our model likes themmissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

16 of 35, 46% everywhere else

MarshallSouth Alabama at Marshall, Tue, Oct 202023-2026

Old Dominion has covered 11 of 15 when our model likes themmissed