Game lines · College · 2026
College week 11.
7 games with a line, 0 played. Our number is the one we logged before kickoff, never after. Leans, never plays: the sealed 2023-2025 read came back inside the luck band.
Week 11 leans: no lean settled yet. Counted where we differed by 2 or more and the row was clean; suspect rows (no Elo, or the big-spread defect) are shown and never counted.
| Game | Market | Total | Our number | Lean | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 USC @  IndianaSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -10 | 58.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Texas @  LSUSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -2.5 | 54.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Duke @  MiamiSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -21 | 55.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Ole Miss @  OklahomaSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -4 | 53.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Texas Tech @  Oklahoma StateSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -15.5 | 61.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Michigan @  OregonSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -13.5 | 53.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Tennessee @  Texas A&MSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -8.5 | 55.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
College trends
Every FBS game log since 2022, joined to the opening line.
Published before kickoff and graded once the games are in.
Player trendstrue of the player and true of this game.
Trinidad Chambliss has 6 of his last 6 games as an underdog with 250+ passing yards.
The 6 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Georgia (+7.5) | 263 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | at Oklahoma (+5.5) | 309 | yes |
| Thu, Jan 1 25 | at Georgia (+6) | 385 | yes |
| Thu, Jan 8 25 | at Miami (+3) | 253 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs LSU (+2.8) | 349 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at Florida (+4) | 298 | yes |
Wyatt Young has 9 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ receiving yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | at Army (-2.5) | 19 | no |
| Fri, Oct 10 25 | vs South Florida (-2.5) | 79 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs UTSA (-4) | 102 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 24 25 | at Charlotte (-25.5) | 190 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Navy (-6.5) | 52 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | at UAB (-17.5) | 143 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at Rice (-18.5) | 295 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | vs Temple (-20.5) | 127 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at West Virginia (+1.5) | 192 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs UCF (-10.2) | 52 | yes |
Nate Sheppard has 8 of his last 8 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.
The 8 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | at Tulane (+1.5) | 75 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | at Syracuse (-4) | 168 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | at California (-3.5) | 91 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Clemson (+4) | 60 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at UConn (-7.5) | 100 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at North Carolina (-7) | 90 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | at Illinois (+6.2) | 147 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | at Georgia Tech (-4.5) | 99 | yes |
Nick Marsh has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Boston College (-3.5) | 85 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Youngstown State (-23.5) | 94 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | vs UCLA (-7) | 77 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Maryland (-4) | 80 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs North Texas (-40) | 17 | no |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Howard (-57.5) | 71 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Western Kentucky (-44.8) | 81 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Northwestern (-20.2) | 52 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Rutgers (-24.2) | 120 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | at Nebraska (-9) | 187 | yes |
Josh Hoover has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Abilene Christian (-42) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs SMU (-6.5) | 5 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Colorado (-13.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Baylor (-3.5) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Iowa State (-7.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs Cincinnati (-3) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs North Texas (-40) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Howard (-57.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Western Kentucky (-44.8) | 2 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Northwestern (-20.2) | 1 | no |
Darian Mensah has 7 of his last 8 games at home with 250+ passing yards.
The 8 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs Elon (-36.5) | 378 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Illinois (+2.5) | 327 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs NC State (-3) | 257 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Georgia Tech (-3.5) | 342 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Virginia (-5.5) | 213 | no |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs Wake Forest (-2.5) | 268 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 10 26 | vs Florida A&M (-59.5) | 252 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Central Michigan (-41.2) | 338 | yes |
Turbo Richard has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Fordham (-34.8) | 48 | no |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | at Stanford (-14) | 55 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs California (-6) | 170 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Syracuse (-3) | 102 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs North Texas (-40) | 58 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Howard (-57.5) | 108 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Western Kentucky (-44.8) | 149 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Northwestern (-20.2) | 68 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Rutgers (-24.2) | 204 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | at Nebraska (-9) | 10 | no |
Drew Mestemaker has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 250+ passing yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | at Army (-2.5) | 244 | no |
| Fri, Oct 10 25 | vs South Florida (-2.5) | 308 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs UTSA (-4) | 282 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 24 25 | at Charlotte (-25.5) | 608 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Navy (-6.5) | 234 | no |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | at UAB (-17.5) | 298 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at Rice (-18.5) | 469 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | vs Temple (-20.5) | 366 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at West Virginia (+1.5) | 385 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs UCF (-10.2) | 304 | yes |
Caleb Hawkins has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Lamar (-27.5) | 18 | no |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Washington State (-6.5) | 50 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs South Alabama (-13) | 140 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 10 25 | vs South Florida (-2.5) | 50 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs UTSA (-4) | 133 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Navy (-6.5) | 197 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | vs Temple (-20.5) | 173 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Oregon (+24.2) | 120 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Murray State (-56) | 72 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs UCF (-10.2) | 75 | yes |
Hollywood Smothers has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs East Carolina (-13.5) | 66 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Virginia (-2.8) | 140 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 11 25 | at Wake Forest (-7.5) | 163 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs Virginia Tech (-10) | 67 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Campbell (-42.5) | 123 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs North Carolina (-7) | 32 | no |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Texas State (-29.5) | 70 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Ohio State (-2.2) | 74 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs UTSA (-29.8) | 54 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | at Oklahoma (-7.8) | 39 | no |
Team trendsagainst the spread and the total, last three seasons plus this one, in the spot this game put them in. The faded bar is the same team everywhere else; every card also beats the league in that spot.
Texas Tech has covered 9 of 12 coming off a loss
The 12 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Abilene Christian | no | |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | vs Oklahoma State | yes | |
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 23 24 | at Oklahoma State | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 2 24 | at Iowa State | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 26 24 | at TCU | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 14 24 | vs North Texas | yes | |
| Thu, Nov 2 23 | vs TCU | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 21 23 | at BYU | no | |
| Sat, Sep 30 23 | vs Houston | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 16 23 | vs Tarleton State | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 9 23 | vs Oregon | no |