Game lines · College · 2026
College week 11.
7 games with a line, 0 played. Our number is the one we logged before kickoff, never after, and until kickoff it is free with an email. Leans, never plays: the sealed 2023-2025 read came back inside the luck band.
Week 11 leans: no lean settled yet. Counted where we differed by 2 or more and the row was clean; suspect rows (no Elo, or the big-spread defect) are shown and never counted.
| Game | Market | Total | Our number | Lean | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 USC @  IndianaSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -10 | 58.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Texas @  LSUSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -2.5 | 54.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Duke @  MiamiSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -21 | 55.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Ole Miss @  OklahomaSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -4 | 53.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Texas Tech @  Oklahoma StateSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -15.5 | 61.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Michigan @  OregonSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -13.5 | 53.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
 Tennessee @  Texas A&MSat, Nov 14 00:00 | -8.5 | 55.5 | — | — | Sat, Nov 14 00:00 |
College trends
Every FBS game log since 2022, joined to the opening line.
Published before kickoff and graded once the games are in.
Player trendstrue of the player and true of this game.
Hollywood Smothers has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Dec 28 24 | at East Carolina (-7.5) | 139 | yes |
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs East Carolina (-13.5) | 66 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Virginia (-2.8) | 140 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 11 25 | at Wake Forest (-7.5) | 163 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs Virginia Tech (-10) | 67 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Campbell (-42.5) | 123 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs North Carolina (-7) | 32 | no |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Texas State (-29.5) | 70 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Ohio State (-2.2) | 74 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs UTSA (-29.8) | 54 | yes |
Trinidad Chambliss has 6 of his last 6 games as an underdog with 250+ passing yards.
The 6 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Georgia (+7.5) | 263 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | at Oklahoma (+5.5) | 309 | yes |
| Thu, Jan 1 25 | at Georgia (+6) | 385 | yes |
| Thu, Jan 8 25 | at Miami (+3) | 253 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs LSU (+2.8) | 349 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at Florida (+4) | 298 | yes |
Nate Sheppard has 7 of his last 7 games on the road with 50+ rushing yards.
The 7 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | at Tulane (+1.5) | 75 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | at Syracuse (-4) | 168 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | at California (-3.5) | 91 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Clemson (+4) | 60 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at UConn (-7.5) | 100 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at North Carolina (-7) | 90 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | at Illinois (+6.2) | 147 | yes |
Josh Hoover has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Abilene Christian (-42) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs SMU (-6.5) | 5 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Colorado (-13.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Baylor (-3.5) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Iowa State (-7.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs Cincinnati (-3) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs North Texas (-40) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Howard (-57.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Western Kentucky (-44.8) | 2 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Northwestern (-20.2) | 1 | no |
Darian Mensah has 7 of his last 8 games at home with 250+ passing yards.
The 8 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs Elon (-36.5) | 378 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Illinois (+2.5) | 327 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs NC State (-3) | 257 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Georgia Tech (-3.5) | 342 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Virginia (-5.5) | 213 | no |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs Wake Forest (-2.5) | 268 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 10 26 | vs Florida A&M (-59.5) | 252 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Central Michigan (-41.2) | 338 | yes |
Turbo Richard has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 28 24 | vs Western Kentucky (-7.5) | 5 | no |
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Fordham (-34.8) | 48 | no |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | at Stanford (-14) | 55 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs California (-6) | 170 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Syracuse (-3) | 102 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs North Texas (-40) | 58 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Howard (-57.5) | 108 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Western Kentucky (-44.8) | 149 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Northwestern (-20.2) | 68 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Rutgers (-24.2) | 204 | yes |
Nick Marsh has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a receiving touchdown.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Aug 29 25 | vs Western Michigan (-21.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Boston College (-3.5) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Youngstown State (-23.5) | 0 | no |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | vs UCLA (-7) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Maryland (-4) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs North Texas (-40) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Howard (-57.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Western Kentucky (-44.8) | 0 | no |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Northwestern (-20.2) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Rutgers (-24.2) | 1 | yes |
Wyatt Young has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ receiving yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 23 24 | vs East Carolina (-2.5) | 5 | no |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | at Army (-2.5) | 19 | no |
| Fri, Oct 10 25 | vs South Florida (-2.5) | 79 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs UTSA (-4) | 102 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 24 25 | at Charlotte (-25.5) | 190 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Navy (-6.5) | 52 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | at UAB (-17.5) | 143 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at Rice (-18.5) | 295 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | vs Temple (-20.5) | 127 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at West Virginia (+1.5) | 192 | yes |
Team trendsagainst the spread and the total, last three seasons plus this one, in the spot this game put them in. The faded bar is the same team everywhere else; every card also beats the league in that spot.
Oklahoma has covered 10 of 14 coming off a loss
The 14 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs New Mexico | no | |
| Fri, Sep 4 26 | vs UTEP | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Tennessee | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at South Carolina | yes | |
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Illinois State | no | |
| Sat, Nov 23 24 | vs Alabama | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 2 24 | vs Maine | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 26 24 | at Ole Miss | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 19 24 | vs South Carolina | no | |
| Sat, Sep 28 24 | at Auburn | yes | |
| Fri, Aug 30 24 | vs Temple | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 11 23 | vs West Virginia | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 4 23 | at Oklahoma State | no | |
| Sat, Sep 2 23 | vs Arkansas State | yes |
Duke has gone over 12 of 17 on the road
The 17 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | at Illinois | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at North Carolina | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at UConn | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Clemson | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | at California | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | at Syracuse | no | |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | at Tulane | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 30 24 | at Wake Forest | no | |
| Sat, Nov 9 24 | at NC State | no | |
| Sat, Nov 2 24 | at Miami | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 5 24 | at Georgia Tech | no | |
| Sat, Sep 21 24 | at Middle Tennessee | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 18 23 | at Virginia | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 11 23 | at North Carolina | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 28 23 | at Louisville | no | |
| Sat, Oct 21 23 | at Florida State | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 23 23 | at UConn | yes |
Indiana has gone over 21 of 29 in conference play
The 29 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Rutgers | yes | |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Northwestern | yes | |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | at Purdue | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Wisconsin | no | |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at Penn State | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Maryland | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | vs UCLA | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Michigan State | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | at Oregon | no | |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | at Iowa | no | |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs Illinois | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 30 24 | vs Purdue | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 23 24 | at Ohio State | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 9 24 | vs Michigan | no | |
| Sat, Nov 2 24 | at Michigan State | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 26 24 | vs Washington | no | |
| Sat, Oct 19 24 | vs Nebraska | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 5 24 | at Northwestern | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 28 24 | vs Maryland | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 14 24 | at UCLA | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 25 23 | at Purdue | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 18 23 | vs Michigan State | no | |
| Sat, Nov 11 23 | at Illinois | yes | |
| Sat, Nov 4 23 | vs Wisconsin | no | |
| Sat, Oct 28 23 | at Penn State | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 21 23 | vs Rutgers | yes | |
| Sat, Oct 14 23 | at Michigan | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 30 23 | at Maryland | yes | |
| Sat, Sep 2 23 | vs Ohio State | no |