Game lines · College · 2026

College week 7.

62 games with a line, 62 played. Our number is the one we logged before kickoff, never after. Leans, never plays: the sealed 2023-2025 read came back inside the luck band.

Week 7 leans: 19-18, -0.8u flat at -110. Counted where we differed by 2 or more and the row was clean; suspect rows (no Elo, or the big-spread defect) are shown and never counted.

Game	Market	Total	Our number	Lean	Final
Florida International @ Jacksonville StateTue, Oct 13 20:00	-3	44.2	Jacksonville State -3.1	PUSH Jacksonville State -3not counted	24-27
Delaware @ Middle TennesseeTue, Oct 13 19:00	-1.2	49.5	Middle Tennessee +3.9	LOSS Delaware -1.2not counted	30-33
Kennesaw State @ Missouri StateWed, Oct 14 19:30	-2.5	52.5	Missouri State +0.2	WIN Missouri State +2.5	21-24
Western Kentucky @ Sam HoustonWed, Oct 14 20:00	-1.2	53.5	Sam Houston +4	WIN Western Kentucky -1.2	16-3
Georgia Southern @ Old DominionThu, Oct 15 19:30	-3	44.5	Old Dominion +3	LOSS Old Dominion +3not counted	23-15
Colorado State @ Texas StateThu, Oct 15 20:00	-15.2	69.8	Texas State -12.8	LOSS Colorado State +15.2not counted	27-66
East Carolina @ UABThu, Oct 15 19:30	-5.2	49.2	UAB +3.9	WIN UAB +5.2not counted	17-30
App State @ Coastal CarolinaFri, Oct 16 20:00	-1.2	48.8	Coastal Carolina -2.6	LOSS Coastal Carolina +1.2	35-32
Washington @ PurdueFri, Oct 16 20:00	-3	50.5	Purdue +6.7	WIN Washington +3not counted	38-26
Memphis @ TulaneFri, Oct 16 19:30	-6.5	55.8	Tulane +3.5	WIN Tulane +6.5	17-31
UNLV @ Air ForceSat, Oct 17 15:30	-0.2	49.0	Air Force -0.9	WIN Air Force -0.2not counted	31-41
Florida Atlantic @ ArmySat, Oct 17 12:00	-2.2	55.5	Army -9.4	WIN Army -2.2	24-56
Notre Dame @ BYUSat, Oct 17 19:30	-10.5	47.2	BYU +10.6	LOSS Notre Dame -10.5not counted	24-28
TCU @ BaylorSat, Oct 17 19:00	-4.5	50.2	Baylor -5.2	—	17-6
Pittsburgh @ Boston CollegeSat, Oct 17 12:00	-6.5	42.8	Boston College +5.7	WIN Boston College +6.5not counted	21-27
Ball State @ Bowling GreenSat, Oct 17 12:00	-6.2	46.5	Bowling Green -11.2	LOSS Bowling Green -6.2	32-31
Massachusetts @ BuffaloSat, Oct 17 13:00	-6.8	43.0	Buffalo -12.5	WIN Buffalo -6.8	18-25
Wake Forest @ CaliforniaSat, Oct 17 22:30	-10	54.0	California +14	WIN Wake Forest -10	41-7
Western Michigan @ Central MichiganSat, Oct 17 13:30	-7.5	42.5	Central Michigan +9.6	LOSS Western Michigan -7.5	21-14
Charleston Southern @ ClemsonSat, Oct 17 12:00	-42.5	53.5	—	—	0-37
Utah @ ColoradoSat, Oct 17 22:15	-15.2	49.2	Colorado +20.9	LOSS Utah -15.2	27-24
North Carolina @ DukeSat, Oct 17 15:30	-3	46.8	Duke -9.9	LOSS Duke -3	24-20
Toledo @ Eastern MichiganSat, Oct 17 15:30	-7.2	52.2	Eastern Michigan +4.3	LOSS Eastern Michigan +7.2	34-14
Auburn @ GeorgiaSat, Oct 17 15:30	-19.5	50.2	Georgia -16.8	WIN Auburn +19.5	27-24
New Mexico @ Hawai'iSat, Oct 17 22:30	-14.5	46.0	Hawai'i +10	WIN Hawai'i +14.5	21-10
Oklahoma State @ HoustonSat, Oct 17 19:30	-4.2	62.2	Houston -11.1	LOSS Houston -4.2	32-35
Ohio State @ IndianaSat, Oct 17 12:00	-2.8	49.8	Indiana -5.4	LOSS Indiana +2.8	19-15
Georgia State @ James MadisonSat, Oct 17 12:00	-7.8	57.5	James Madison -14.4	WIN James Madison -7.8	22-49
Kansas @ Kansas StateSat, Oct 17 12:00	-3.2	55.5	Kansas State -3.3	LOSS Kansas +3.2not counted	24-35
Mississippi State @ LSUSat, Oct 17 12:00	-17.8	56.0	LSU -14	LOSS Mississippi State +17.8	0-31
Troy @ LouisianaSat, Oct 17 17:00	-3	49.2	Louisiana -1.1	LOSS Troy +3not counted	6-33
Rutgers @ MarylandSat, Oct 17 12:30	-5.8	55.5	Maryland +2.5	WIN Rutgers +5.8	37-30
Florida State @ MiamiSat, Oct 17 19:00	-20.2	57.0	Miami -20.1	—	35-43
Akron @ Miami (OH)Sat, Oct 17 15:30	-9.5	47.0	Miami (OH) -18.6	WIN Miami (OH) -9.5	14-34
Penn State @ MichiganSat, Oct 17 15:30	-6	43.2	Michigan PK	WIN Penn State +6	18-21
Northwestern @ Michigan StateSat, Oct 17 12:00	-7.2	50.2	Michigan State +11.4	LOSS Northwestern -7.2	24-21
Nevada @ North Dakota StateSat, Oct 17 19:00	-14.2	42.8	North Dakota State -8.9	WIN Nevada +14.2	17-31
Kentucky @ OklahomaSat, Oct 17 19:30	-6.8	44.0	Oklahoma -6	WIN Kentucky +6.8not counted	21-13
Missouri @ Ole MissSat, Oct 17 15:30	-4.5	58.0	Ole Miss -6.1	WIN Ole Miss -4.5not counted	3-31
Nebraska @ OregonSat, Oct 17 23:00	-6.8	51.0	Oregon -5	WIN Nebraska +6.8not counted	14-17
Washington State @ Oregon StateSat, Oct 17 18:00	-18.5	52.2	Oregon State -9.4	WIN Washington State +18.5	30-48
Tulsa @ RiceSat, Oct 17 16:30	-4	47.0	Rice +1.1	LOSS Rice +4	38-17
Virginia @ SMUSat, Oct 17 12:00	-10	51.8	SMU -10.2	PUSH SMU -10not counted	13-23
Ohio @ Sacramento StateSat, Oct 17 22:00	-16.5	46.5	Sacramento State +10.9	LOSS Sacramento State +16.5	48-7
Fresno State @ San Diego StateSat, Oct 17 22:30	-6.8	46.0	San Diego State +11.2	LOSS Fresno State -6.8	23-26
Kent State @ South FloridaSat, Oct 17 19:00	-20.5	46.0	South Florida -26.2	WIN South Florida -20.5	2-29
Arkansas State @ Southern MissSat, Oct 17 19:00	-6	61.8	Southern Miss +3	LOSS Southern Miss +6	23-13
Elon @ StanfordSat, Oct 17 19:30	-33.5	55.5	—	—	7-34
Louisville @ SyracuseSat, Oct 17 19:30	-14.5	56.2	Syracuse +14.3	WIN Syracuse +14.5not counted	34-26
Charlotte @ TempleSat, Oct 17 13:00	-18.5	46.8	Temple -17.9	WIN Charlotte +18.5not counted	38-31
Alabama @ TennesseeSat, Oct 17 15:30	-7.8	50.8	Tennessee +5.4	WIN Tennessee +7.8	10-26
Florida @ TexasSat, Oct 17 12:00	-13	51.2	Texas -16.5	LOSS Texas -13	27-24
The Citadel @ Texas A&MSat, Oct 17 13:00	-46.5	56.5	—	—	0-41
Arizona State @ Texas TechSat, Oct 17 15:30	-16	50.0	Texas Tech -20.2	WIN Texas Tech -16	25-53
Wisconsin @ UCLASat, Oct 17 19:30	-2	42.8	UCLA -3.7	WIN UCLA -2not counted	7-17
Louisiana Tech @ UL MonroeSat, Oct 17 20:00	-14.5	55.8	UL Monroe +10.2	LOSS UL Monroe +14.5	24-0
San José State @ UTEPSat, Oct 17 21:00	-6.8	46.0	UTEP +14.8	WIN San José State -6.8	24-11
Navy @ UTSASat, Oct 17 20:00	-6.2	53.5	UTSA -4.2	WIN Navy +6.2not counted	34-38
Arkansas @ VanderbiltSat, Oct 17 19:00	-5.8	48.8	Vanderbilt -6.8	LOSS Vanderbilt -5.8not counted	31-21
Georgia Tech @ Virginia TechSat, Oct 17 15:30	-8.5	55.8	Virginia Tech -1.6	LOSS Georgia Tech +8.5	24-34
Cincinnati @ West VirginiaSat, Oct 17 12:00	-1.5	64.0	West Virginia +2.5	LOSS Cincinnati +1.5	42-45
Northern Illinois @ WyomingSat, Oct 17 15:30	-7.5	42.2	Wyoming -10.1	WIN Wyoming -7.5	23-41

Opens College Matchup Preview This week's college board

College trends

Every FBS game log since 2022, joined to the opening line.

Published before kickoff and graded once the games are in.

Player trendstrue of the player and true of this game.

Trinidad Chambliss has 9 of his last 9 games against a ranked team with 250+ passing yards.did not play

9 of 9, 100% in this spot

5 of 10, 50% everywhere else

QB · Ole MissMissouri at Ole Miss2025-2026

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs LSU (-2.5)	314	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Georgia (+7.5)	263	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Oklahoma (+5.5)	309	yes
Sat, Dec 20 25	vs Tulane (-16.5)	282	yes
Thu, Jan 1 25	at Georgia (+6)	385	yes
Thu, Jan 8 25	at Miami (+3)	253	yes
Sun, Sep 6 26	at Louisville (-6.5)	336	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs LSU (+2.8)	349	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Florida (+4)	298	yes

Jalen Buckley has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a rushing touchdown.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

5 of 19, 26% everywhere else

RB · Western MichiganWestern Michigan at Central Michigan2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Central Michigan (-5.5)	1	yes
Tue, Nov 11 25	vs Ohio (-1.5)	1	yes
Tue, Nov 18 25	at Northern Illinois (-7)	2	yes
Tue, Nov 25 25	at Eastern Michigan (-10)	1	yes
Sat, Dec 6 25	at Miami (OH) (-2.5)	2	yes
Fri, Dec 19 25	at Kennesaw State (-3.5)	1	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Monmouth (-29)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	at Rice (-8.5)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Buffalo (-13.2)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs Kent State (-13.8)	0	no

Wayne Knight has 10 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

10 of 17, 59% everywhere else

RB · UCLAWisconsin at UCLA2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 30 24	vs Marshall (-3.5)	59	yes
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Weber State (-27)	89	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs Georgia Southern (-15)	151	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Louisiana (-18.5)	111	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Old Dominion (-3)	74	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs App State (-21)	94	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Washington State (-15.5)	126	yes
Fri, Dec 5 25	vs Troy (-24.5)	212	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs San Diego State (-13.5)	97	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Purdue (-13.5)	177	yes

Keshaun Singleton has 7 of his last 7 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

10 of 16, 62% everywhere else

WR · AuburnAuburn at Georgia2024-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 9 24	vs Navy (+4.5)	58	yes
Thu, Aug 28 25	vs Boise State (+5.5)	93	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	at Florida (+18.5)	75	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Miami (+17.5)	54	yes
Fri, Oct 10 25	at North Texas (+2.5)	54	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Florida (+2.5)	99	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Tennessee (+6.2)	61	yes

Kevin Jennings has 9 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

9 of 24, 38% everywhere else

QB · SMUVirginia at SMU2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 16 24	vs Boston College (-19)	3	yes
Sat, Nov 30 24	vs California (-12.5)	2	yes
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs East Texas A&M (-50.8)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Baylor (-2.8)	3	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Syracuse (-17.5)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Stanford (-19.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Louisville (-4)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs UC Davis (-32.5)	5	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Missouri State (-30.5)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Boston College (-21.5)	1	no

Easton Messer has 7 of his last 7 games on the road as an underdog with 6+ catches.did not play

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

6 of 10, 60% everywhere else

WR · Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic at Army2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Aug 30 25	at Maryland (+13.5)	13	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Florida International (+2)	6	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	at Rice (+4.5)	10	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at South Florida (+20.5)	7	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Navy (+14.5)	8	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Tulane (+16.5)	9	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	at Florida (+26.5)	7	yes

Wyatt Young has 9 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

6 of 13, 46% everywhere else

WR · Oklahoma StateOklahoma State at Houston2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 20 25	at Army (-2.5)	19	no
Fri, Oct 10 25	vs South Florida (-2.5)	79	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs UTSA (-4)	102	yes
Fri, Oct 24 25	at Charlotte (-25.5)	190	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Navy (-6.5)	52	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at UAB (-17.5)	143	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Rice (-18.5)	295	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	vs Temple (-20.5)	127	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at West Virginia (+1.5)	192	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs UCF (-10.2)	52	yes

Cam Cook has 6 of his last 6 games at home in conference play with 100+ rushing yards.did not play

6 of 6, 100% in this spot

8 of 13, 62% everywhere else

RB · West VirginiaCincinnati at West Virginia2025-2026

The 6 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Liberty (+6.2)	195	yes
Wed, Oct 15 25	vs Delaware (+3)	112	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Kennesaw State (+3.5)	132	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Western Kentucky (+1.5)	137	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Oklahoma State (-1.5)	193	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs Arizona (+3.5)	138	yes

Devon Dampier has 7 of his last 7 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

7 of 9, 78% everywhere else

QB · UtahUtah at Colorado2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Aug 30 25	at UCLA (-6.5)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Wyoming (-24.5)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	at West Virginia (-13.5)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at BYU (-4)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Baylor (-9.5)	2	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Kansas (-10)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Iowa State (-7.5)	2	yes

Josh Hoover has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

11 of 19, 58% everywhere else

QB · IndianaOhio State at Indiana2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Abilene Christian (-42)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 20 25	vs SMU (-6.5)	5	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Colorado (-13.5)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Baylor (-3.5)	3	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Iowa State (-7.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Cincinnati (-3)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs North Texas (-40)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Howard (-57.5)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Western Kentucky (-44.8)	2	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	vs Northwestern (-20.2)	1	no

Darian Mensah has 7 of his last 8 games at home with 250+ passing yards.did not play

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

5 of 11, 46% everywhere else

QB · MiamiFlorida State at Miami2025-2026

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Aug 28 25	vs Elon (-36.5)	378	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Illinois (+2.5)	327	yes
Sat, Sep 20 25	vs NC State (-3)	257	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Georgia Tech (-3.5)	342	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Virginia (-5.5)	213	no
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Wake Forest (-2.5)	268	yes
Thu, Sep 10 26	vs Florida A&M (-59.5)	252	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Central Michigan (-41.2)	338	yes

Junior Sherrill has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 27, 30% everywhere else

WR · VanderbiltArkansas at Vanderbilt2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 20 25	vs Georgia State (-27.5)	55	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs Utah State (-23.5)	76	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs LSU (-1.5)	30	no
Sat, Oct 25 25	vs Missouri (-3)	8	no
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Auburn (-6)	75	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Kentucky (-7)	115	yes
Wed, Dec 31 25	at Iowa (-3)	123	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Austin Peay (-29.2)	70	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Delaware (-20.8)	94	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs NC State (-3)	108	yes

18 more college trends

Jadan Baugh has 9 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

7 of 11, 64% everywhere else

RB · FloridaFlorida at Texas2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Texas A&M (+7)	54	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Mississippi State (-9.5)	140	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Georgia (+7)	72	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	at Kentucky (-4.5)	64	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Ole Miss (+10.5)	61	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Tennessee (+3.5)	96	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	at Auburn (-2.5)	158	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Ole Miss (-4)	142	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Missouri (-5.5)	13	no
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs South Carolina (-10.5)	59	yes

Bryant Wesco Jr. has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 11, 36% everywhere else

WR · ClemsonCharleston Southern at Clemson2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 2 24	vs Louisville (-11)	53	yes
Sat, Nov 23 24	vs The Citadel (-49)	75	yes
Sat, Nov 30 24	vs South Carolina (-2.5)	80	yes
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs LSU (-5.5)	66	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Troy (-30.2)	118	yes
Sat, Sep 20 25	vs Syracuse (-17.5)	83	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs SMU (-3.5)	0	no
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Georgia Southern (-20)	35	no
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs North Carolina (-3)	77	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Miami (+14.8)	152	yes

Caleb Komolafe has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with a rushing touchdown.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 11, 36% everywhere else

RB · NorthwesternNorthwestern at Michigan State2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Oregon (+25.5)	1	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs UCLA (-6)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Penn State (+20.5)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Purdue (-3.5)	0	no
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Nebraska (+7)	2	yes
Fri, Nov 7 25	at USC (+14.5)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Michigan (+10)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Minnesota (-4)	1	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	at Indiana (+20.2)	0	no
Fri, Oct 2 26	vs Penn State (+2.8)	1	yes

Jordan Gant has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 75+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

3 of 8, 38% everywhere else

RB · AkronAkron at Miami (OH)2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Toledo (+21.5)	21	no
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Central Michigan (+7)	191	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Miami (OH) (+11.5)	35	no
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Ball State (-2)	94	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Buffalo (+10)	90	yes
Tue, Nov 4 25	vs Massachusetts (-12.5)	153	yes
Tue, Nov 11 25	vs Kent State (-7.5)	96	yes
Tue, Nov 18 25	at Bowling Green (+2.5)	86	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Central Michigan (+6.8)	102	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs Eastern Michigan (+5)	117	yes

Chris Marshall has 6 of his last 7 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

6 of 12, 50% everywhere else

WR · ArkansasArkansas at Vanderbilt2024-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 7 24	at Oregon (+18)	0	no
Sat, Oct 4 25	at Notre Dame (+21.5)	68	yes
Sat, Dec 13 25	at Washington (+10)	97	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	at Utah (+13)	63	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Georgia (+24.5)	104	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Texas A&M (+13.8)	76	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs Tennessee (+13.8)	56	yes

Owen McCown has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 17, 41% everywhere else

QB · UTSANavy at UTSA2024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Mon, Dec 23 24	vs Coastal Carolina (-12.5)	1	no
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Texas State (-4.5)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Incarnate Word (-21)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Rice (-9.5)	3	yes
Thu, Oct 30 25	vs Tulane (+6)	4	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs East Carolina (+2)	5	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Army (-8.5)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs UT Rio Grande Valley (-28.5)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Colorado State (-14.2)	3	yes
Thu, Oct 8 26	vs South Florida (-5.5)	0	no

Deuce Alexander has 6 of his last 7 games as a favorite in conference play with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

6 of 13, 46% everywhere else

WR · Ole MissMissouri at Ole Miss2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 6 25	at Kentucky (-7.8)	68	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Arkansas (-3.5)	85	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs LSU (-2.5)	64	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs South Carolina (-13)	52	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Florida (-10.5)	16	no
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Mississippi State (-7.5)	94	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Vanderbilt (-9.2)	74	yes

Drew Mestemaker has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 250+ passing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 12, 42% everywhere else

QB · Oklahoma StateOklahoma State at Houston2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 20 25	at Army (-2.5)	244	no
Fri, Oct 10 25	vs South Florida (-2.5)	308	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs UTSA (-4)	282	yes
Fri, Oct 24 25	at Charlotte (-25.5)	608	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Navy (-6.5)	234	no
Sat, Nov 15 25	at UAB (-17.5)	298	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Rice (-18.5)	469	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	vs Temple (-20.5)	366	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at West Virginia (+1.5)	385	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs UCF (-10.2)	304	yes

Isaac Brown has 9 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

8 of 11, 73% everywhere else

RB · LouisvilleLouisville at Syracuse2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Virginia (-6.5)	131	yes
Fri, Oct 17 25	at Miami (+10.5)	98	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	vs Boston College (-25.5)	288	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Virginia Tech (-10.5)	209	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs California (-18.5)	136	yes
Fri, Nov 14 25	vs Clemson (-1.5)	135	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs SMU (-3)	67	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Wake Forest (-11.2)	33	no
Sat, Oct 3 26	at NC State (-4.2)	125	yes
Fri, Oct 9 26	vs Florida State (-4.2)	235	yes

CJ Carr has 6 of his last 7 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns.did not play

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

6 of 11, 55% everywhere else

QB · Notre DameNotre Dame at BYU2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Aug 31 25	at Miami (-2.5)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Arkansas (-5.5)	4	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Boston College (-31)	0	no
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Pittsburgh (-12.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Stanford (-32.5)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Purdue (-27.5)	3	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at North Carolina (-21)	4	yes

Duce Robinson has 6 of his last 7 games on the road with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

6 of 11, 55% everywhere else

WR · Florida StateFlorida State at Miami2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Fri, Sep 26 25	at Virginia (-7)	152	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Stanford (-17.5)	98	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	at Clemson (+1.5)	124	yes
Fri, Nov 21 25	at NC State (-6.5)	74	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Florida (-1.5)	60	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	at Alabama (+18.5)	135	yes
Fri, Oct 9 26	at Louisville (+4.2)	14	no

Caleb Hawkins has 9 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

6 of 8, 75% everywhere else

RB · Oklahoma StateOklahoma State at Houston2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 20 25	at Army (-2.5)	93	yes
Fri, Oct 10 25	vs South Florida (-2.5)	50	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs UTSA (-4)	133	yes
Fri, Oct 24 25	at Charlotte (-25.5)	48	no
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs Navy (-6.5)	197	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at UAB (-17.5)	189	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Rice (-18.5)	97	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	vs Temple (-20.5)	173	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at West Virginia (+1.5)	180	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs UCF (-10.2)	75	yes

Hollywood Smothers has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 11, 46% everywhere else

RB · TexasFlorida at Texas2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Aug 28 25	vs East Carolina (-13.5)	66	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Virginia (-2.8)	140	yes
Thu, Sep 11 25	at Wake Forest (-7.5)	163	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs Virginia Tech (-10)	67	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Campbell (-42.5)	123	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs North Carolina (-7)	32	no
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Texas State (-29.5)	70	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Ohio State (-2.2)	74	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs UTSA (-29.8)	54	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Oklahoma (-7.8)	39	no

Nick Marsh has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 8, 50% everywhere else

WR · IndianaOhio State at Indiana2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs UCLA (-7)	77	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Indiana (+26.5)	64	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	vs Michigan (+13.5)	75	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Minnesota (+4.5)	75	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Penn State (+7)	5	no
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Iowa (+17.5)	9	no
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Maryland (-4)	80	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	vs Northwestern (-20.2)	52	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Rutgers (-24.2)	120	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Nebraska (-9)	187	yes

Cayden Lee has 6 of his last 7 games in conference play against a ranked team with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

17 of 30, 57% everywhere else

WR · MissouriMissouri at Ole Miss2024-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 12 24	at LSU (-4)	147	yes
Sat, Nov 9 24	vs Georgia (+2)	81	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs LSU (-2.5)	70	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Georgia (+7.5)	7	no
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Oklahoma (+5.5)	60	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Mississippi State (+3.5)	156	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Florida (+5.5)	110	yes

Antwan Raymond has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

6 of 11, 55% everywhere else

RB · RutgersRutgers at Maryland2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Minnesota (+3.5)	171	yes
Fri, Oct 10 25	at Washington (+9.5)	89	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Oregon (+17.5)	55	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Purdue (+2.5)	105	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Illinois (+13)	29	no
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Ohio State (+28.5)	52	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Penn State (+14)	189	yes
Fri, Sep 11 26	at Boston College (+3)	134	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs USC (+21)	122	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Indiana (+24.2)	31	no

KJ Duff has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

7 of 11, 64% everywhere else

WR · RutgersRutgers at Maryland2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 27 25	at Minnesota (+3.5)	84	yes
Fri, Oct 10 25	at Washington (+9.5)	59	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Oregon (+17.5)	41	no
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Purdue (+2.5)	241	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Illinois (+13)	93	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Ohio State (+28.5)	34	no
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Penn State (+14)	127	yes
Fri, Sep 11 26	at Boston College (+3)	137	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs USC (+21)	86	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Indiana (+24.2)	78	yes

Amare Thomas has 5 of his last 6 games at home in conference play with 50+ receiving yards.did not play

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

8 of 13, 62% everywhere else

WR · HoustonOklahoma State at Houston2025-2026

The 6 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Fri, Sep 12 25	vs Colorado (-4)	55	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Texas Tech (+13)	70	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Arizona (+2)	69	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs West Virginia (-13)	99	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs TCU (+1.5)	72	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs UCF (-10.5)	43	no

Team trends22 of 37 hitagainst the spread and the total, last three seasons plus this one, in the spot this game put them in. The faded bar is the same team everywhere else; every card also beats the league in that spot.

Louisville has gone over 11 of 12 as a favorite of 14 or morehit

11 of 12, 92% in this spot

14 of 31, 45% everywhere else

LouisvilleLouisville at Syracuse, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Old Dominion has covered 10 of 11 as an underdog when our model likes themmissed

10 of 11, 91% in this spot

11 of 30, 37% everywhere else

Old DominionGeorgia Southern at Old Dominion, Thu, Oct 152023-2026

New Mexico has gone over 8 of 9 with more rest than the opponentmissed

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

18 of 32, 56% everywhere else

New MexicoNew Mexico at Hawai'i, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Tulane has covered 7 of 8 at home when our model likes themhit

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

15 of 35, 43% everywhere else

TulaneMemphis at Tulane, Fri, Oct 162023-2026

Tulane has covered 13 of 15 when our model likes themhit

13 of 15, 87% in this spot

9 of 28, 32% everywhere else

TulaneMemphis at Tulane, Fri, Oct 162023-2026

Miami has covered 10 of 12 with more rest than the opponentmissed

10 of 12, 83% in this spot

14 of 29, 48% everywhere else

MiamiFlorida State at Miami, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Miami (OH) has covered 9 of 11 as a favorite when our model likes themhit

9 of 11, 82% in this spot

18 of 34, 53% everywhere else

Miami (OH)Akron at Miami (OH), Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Toledo has covered 9 of 11 coming off a losshit

9 of 11, 82% in this spot

12 of 31, 39% everywhere else

ToledoToledo at Eastern Michigan, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Colorado has covered 8 of 10 against a ranked teamhit

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

14 of 30, 47% everywhere else

ColoradoUtah at Colorado, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

San José State has covered 8 of 10 with more rest than the opponenthit

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

13 of 31, 42% everywhere else

San José StateSan José State at UTEP, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Navy has gone over 8 of 10 in conference play when our model likes themhit

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 29, 52% everywhere else

NavyNavy at UTSA, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Charlotte has covered 8 of 10 on the road when our model likes themhit

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

11 of 31, 36% everywhere else

CharlotteCharlotte at Temple, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

28 more team trends

West Virginia has gone over 15 of 19 coming off a losshit

15 of 19, 79% in this spot

12 of 22, 55% everywhere else

West VirginiaCincinnati at West Virginia, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Charlotte has covered 15 of 19 on the roadhit

15 of 19, 79% in this spot

4 of 22, 18% everywhere else

CharlotteCharlotte at Temple, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Alabama has gone over 7 of 9 on the road when our model likes themmissed

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

14 of 30, 47% everywhere else

AlabamaAlabama at Tennessee, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Florida State has covered 7 of 9 against a ranked teamhit

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

12 of 32, 38% everywhere else

Florida StateFlorida State at Miami, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Miami (OH) has covered 7 of 9 at home when our model likes themhit

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

20 of 36, 56% everywhere else

Miami (OH)Akron at Miami (OH), Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Charlotte has covered 7 of 9 as an underdog of 14 or more when our model likes themhit

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

12 of 32, 38% everywhere else

CharlotteCharlotte at Temple, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Jacksonville State has covered 17 of 22 at homepush

17 of 22, 77% in this spot

8 of 22, 36% everywhere else

Jacksonville StateFlorida International at Jacksonville State, Tue, Oct 132023-2026

Alabama has covered 10 of 13 in conference play when our model likes themmissed

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

14 of 24, 58% everywhere else

AlabamaAlabama at Tennessee, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

UTSA has gone over 16 of 21 at homehit

16 of 21, 76% in this spot

7 of 18, 39% everywhere else

UTSANavy at UTSA, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

BYU has covered 6 of 8 with more rest than the opponenthit

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

15 of 28, 54% everywhere else

BYUNotre Dame at BYU, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Vanderbilt has gone over 12 of 16 as a favoritehit

12 of 16, 75% in this spot

14 of 25, 56% everywhere else

VanderbiltArkansas at Vanderbilt, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Washington State has covered 6 of 8 as an underdog of 14 or morehit

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

18 of 34, 53% everywhere else

Washington StateWashington State at Oregon State, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Toledo has gone over 9 of 12 coming off a lossmissed

9 of 12, 75% in this spot

16 of 31, 52% everywhere else

ToledoToledo at Eastern Michigan, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Maryland has gone over 18 of 24 at homehit

18 of 24, 75% in this spot

8 of 18, 44% everywhere else

MarylandRutgers at Maryland, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Virginia has covered 6 of 8 against a ranked teampush

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

19 of 33, 58% everywhere else

VirginiaVirginia at SMU, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Coastal Carolina has covered 9 of 12 in conference play when our model likes themmissed

9 of 12, 75% in this spot

12 of 30, 40% everywhere else

Coastal CarolinaApp State at Coastal Carolina, Fri, Oct 162023-2026

Coastal Carolina has covered 6 of 8 at home when our model likes themmissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

15 of 34, 44% everywhere else

Coastal CarolinaApp State at Coastal Carolina, Fri, Oct 162023-2026

Western Kentucky has gone over 6 of 8 on the road when our model likes themmissed

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

15 of 35, 43% everywhere else

Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky at Sam Houston, Wed, Oct 142023-2026

Vanderbilt has gone over 17 of 23 at homehit

17 of 23, 74% in this spot

9 of 18, 50% everywhere else

VanderbiltArkansas at Vanderbilt, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Eastern Michigan has covered 11 of 15 when our model likes themmissed

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

12 of 27, 44% everywhere else

Eastern MichiganToledo at Eastern Michigan, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Old Dominion has covered 11 of 15 when our model likes themmissed

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

10 of 26, 38% everywhere else

Old DominionGeorgia Southern at Old Dominion, Thu, Oct 152023-2026

Memphis has gone over 19 of 26 in conference playmissed

19 of 26, 73% in this spot

7 of 16, 44% everywhere else

MemphisMemphis at Tulane, Fri, Oct 162023-2026

California has gone over 8 of 11 against a ranked teammissed

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

11 of 30, 37% everywhere else

CaliforniaWake Forest at California, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Ohio has covered 8 of 11 in prime timehit

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

16 of 32, 50% everywhere else

OhioOhio at Sacramento State, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

San José State has gone over 8 of 11 with more rest than the opponentmissed

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

13 of 31, 42% everywhere else

San José StateSan José State at UTEP, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Navy has gone over 8 of 11 when our model likes themhit

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

15 of 28, 54% everywhere else

NavyNavy at UTSA, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

Western Michigan has covered 16 of 22 as a favoritemissed

16 of 22, 73% in this spot

8 of 20, 40% everywhere else

Western MichiganWestern Michigan at Central Michigan, Sat, Oct 172023-2026

SMU has covered 8 of 11 in conference play when our model likes thempush

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

13 of 30, 43% everywhere else

SMUVirginia at SMU, Sat, Oct 172023-2026