Game lines · College · 2026
College week 7.
18 games with a line, 0 played. Our number is the one we logged before kickoff, never after, and until kickoff it is free with an email. Leans, never plays: the sealed 2023-2025 read came back inside the luck band.
Week 7 leans: no lean settled yet. Counted where we differed by 2 or more and the row was clean; suspect rows (no Elo, or the big-spread defect) are shown and never counted.
| Game | Market | Total | Our number | Lean | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida International @  Jacksonville StateTue, Oct 13 20:00 | -3 | 45.5 | Free with an email | – | Tue, Oct 13 20:00 |
 Delaware @  Middle TennesseeTue, Oct 13 19:00 | -1.5 | 48.5 | Free with an email | – | Tue, Oct 13 19:00 |
 Colorado State @  Texas StateThu, Oct 15 20:00 | -12.5 | 67.5 | Free with an email | – | Thu, Oct 15 20:00 |
 Notre Dame @  BYUSat, Oct 17 19:30 | -12.5 | 48.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 19:30 |
 North Carolina @  DukeSat, Oct 17 15:30 | -4.5 | 46.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 15:30 |
 Auburn @  GeorgiaSat, Oct 17 15:30 | -18.5 | 49.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 15:30 |
 Oklahoma State @  HoustonSat, Oct 17 19:30 | -3.5 | 57.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 19:30 |
 Ohio State @  IndianaSat, Oct 17 12:00 | -2.5 | 48.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 12:00 |
 Kansas @  Kansas StateSat, Oct 17 12:00 | -9.5 | 55.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 12:00 |
 Mississippi State @  LSUSat, Oct 17 12:00 | -12.5 | 59.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 12:00 |
 Florida State @  MiamiSat, Oct 17 19:00 | -19.5 | 55.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 19:00 |
 Penn State @  MichiganSat, Oct 17 00:00 | -5.5 | 43.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 00:00 |
 Kentucky @  OklahomaSat, Oct 17 19:30 | -6 | 41.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 19:30 |
 Missouri @  Ole MissSat, Oct 17 15:30 | -6.5 | 57.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 15:30 |
 Nebraska @  OregonSat, Oct 17 00:00 | -12.5 | 58.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 00:00 |
 Alabama @  TennesseeSat, Oct 17 15:30 | -4.5 | 56.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 15:30 |
 Florida @  TexasSat, Oct 17 12:00 | -8.5 | 53.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 12:00 |
 Wisconsin @  UCLASat, Oct 17 00:00 | -3.5 | 49.5 | Free with an email | – | Sat, Oct 17 00:00 |
College trends
Every FBS game log since 2022, joined to the opening line.
Published before kickoff and graded once the games are in.
Player trendstrue of the player and true of this game.
Wayne Knight has 10 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 30 24 | vs Marshall (-3.5) | 59 | yes |
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Weber State (-27) | 89 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs Georgia Southern (-15) | 151 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | vs Louisiana (-18.5) | 111 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Old Dominion (-3) | 74 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs App State (-21) | 94 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Washington State (-15.5) | 126 | yes |
| Fri, Dec 5 25 | vs Troy (-24.5) | 212 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs San Diego State (-13.5) | 97 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Purdue (-13.5) | 177 | yes |
Keshaun Singleton has 7 of his last 7 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.
The 7 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 9 24 | vs Navy (+4.5) | 58 | yes |
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs Boise State (+5.5) | 93 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | at Florida (+18.5) | 75 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | at Miami (+17.5) | 54 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 10 25 | at North Texas (+2.5) | 54 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Florida (+2.5) | 99 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Tennessee (+6.2) | 61 | yes |
Hollywood Smothers has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Dec 28 24 | at East Carolina (-7.5) | 139 | yes |
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs East Carolina (-13.5) | 66 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Virginia (-2.8) | 140 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 11 25 | at Wake Forest (-7.5) | 163 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs Virginia Tech (-10) | 67 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Campbell (-42.5) | 123 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs North Carolina (-7) | 32 | no |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Texas State (-29.5) | 70 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Ohio State (-2.2) | 74 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs UTSA (-29.8) | 54 | yes |
Josh Hoover has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Abilene Christian (-42) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs SMU (-6.5) | 5 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Colorado (-13.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Baylor (-3.5) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Iowa State (-7.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs Cincinnati (-3) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs North Texas (-40) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Howard (-57.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Western Kentucky (-44.8) | 2 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Northwestern (-20.2) | 1 | no |
Darian Mensah has 7 of his last 8 games at home with 250+ passing yards.
The 8 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs Elon (-36.5) | 378 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Illinois (+2.5) | 327 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs NC State (-3) | 257 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Georgia Tech (-3.5) | 342 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Virginia (-5.5) | 213 | no |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs Wake Forest (-2.5) | 268 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 10 26 | vs Florida A&M (-59.5) | 252 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Central Michigan (-41.2) | 338 | yes |
Turbo Richard has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ rushing yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 17 24 | at Virginia Tech (+8.5) | 64 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | at Stanford (-14) | 55 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs California (-6) | 170 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | at Pittsburgh (+6.5) | 2 | no |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | vs Clemson (+14) | 65 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs SMU (+10.5) | 47 | no |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Georgia Tech (+16.5) | 141 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Syracuse (-3) | 102 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Northwestern (-20.2) | 68 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Rutgers (-24.2) | 204 | yes |
Jadan Baugh has 9 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ rushing yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Texas (+4.5) | 107 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | at Texas A&M (+7) | 54 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Mississippi State (-9.5) | 140 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Georgia (+7) | 72 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at Kentucky (-4.5) | 64 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | at Ole Miss (+10.5) | 61 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Tennessee (+3.5) | 96 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | at Auburn (-2.5) | 158 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Ole Miss (-4) | 142 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Missouri (-5.5) | 13 | no |
CJ Carr has 6 of his last 7 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns.
The 7 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Aug 31 25 | at Miami (-2.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | at Arkansas (-5.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Boston College (-31) | 0 | no |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | at Pittsburgh (-12.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Stanford (-32.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at Purdue (-27.5) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at North Carolina (-21) | 4 | yes |
Trinidad Chambliss has 8 of his last 9 games in conference play with 250+ passing yards.
The 9 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Arkansas (-3.5) | 372 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs LSU (-2.5) | 314 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Georgia (+7.5) | 263 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | at Oklahoma (+5.5) | 309 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs South Carolina (-13) | 159 | no |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Florida (-10.5) | 285 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | at Mississippi State (-7.5) | 363 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs LSU (+2.8) | 349 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at Florida (+4) | 298 | yes |
Duce Robinson has 6 of his last 7 games on the road with 50+ receiving yards.
The 7 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 26 25 | at Virginia (-7) | 152 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Stanford (-17.5) | 98 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at Clemson (+1.5) | 124 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 21 25 | at NC State (-6.5) | 74 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Florida (-1.5) | 60 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | at Alabama (+18.5) | 135 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 9 26 | at Louisville (+4.2) | 14 | no |
Wyatt Young has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ receiving yards.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 23 24 | vs East Carolina (-2.5) | 5 | no |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | at Army (-2.5) | 19 | no |
| Fri, Oct 10 25 | vs South Florida (-2.5) | 79 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs UTSA (-4) | 102 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 24 25 | at Charlotte (-25.5) | 190 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Navy (-6.5) | 52 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | at UAB (-17.5) | 143 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at Rice (-18.5) | 295 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | vs Temple (-20.5) | 127 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at West Virginia (+1.5) | 192 | yes |
Jeremiah Smith has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 6+ catches.
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | at Washington (-9.5) | 8 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Minnesota (-23.5) | 7 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | at Illinois (-15) | 6 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Wisconsin (-24.5) | 9 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Penn State (-17.5) | 6 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at Purdue (-29.5) | 10 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs UCLA (-33) | 4 | no |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Michigan (-9.5) | 3 | no |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Illinois (-25.5) | 12 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Iowa (-14.2) | 11 | yes |
1 more college trends
Amare Thomas has 5 of his last 6 games at home in conference play with 50+ receiving yards.
The 6 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 12 25 | vs Colorado (-4) | 55 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Texas Tech (+13) | 70 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Arizona (+2) | 69 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs West Virginia (-13) | 99 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs TCU (+1.5) | 72 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | vs UCF (-10.5) | 43 | no |
Team trendsagainst the spread and the total, last three seasons plus this one, in the spot this game put them in. The faded bar is the same team everywhere else; every card also beats the league in that spot.
Miami has covered 10 of 12 with more rest than the opponent
Alabama has gone over 7 of 9 on the road when our model likes them
Jacksonville State has covered 17 of 22 at home
Alabama has covered 10 of 13 in conference play when our model likes them
BYU has covered 6 of 8 with more rest than the opponent
Indiana has gone over 21 of 29 in conference play
Oklahoma has covered 10 of 14 coming off a loss
Mississippi State has gone over 17 of 24 coming off a loss
Florida has gone over 19 of 27 in conference play
Tennessee has gone over 7 of 10 when our model fades them
Kentucky has gone over 14 of 20 as an underdog