Game lines · College · 2026

College week 9.

13 games with a line, 0 played. Our number is the one we logged before kickoff, never after. Leans, never plays: the sealed 2023-2025 read came back inside the luck band.

Week 9 leans: no lean settled yet. Counted where we differed by 2 or more and the row was clean; suspect rows (no Elo, or the big-spread defect) are shown and never counted.

Game	Market	Total	Our number	Lean	Final
Arizona State @ BYUSat, Oct 31 15:30	-17.5	51.5	BYU -15.4	Arizona State +17.5not counted	Sat, Oct 31 15:30
Utah @ CincinnatiSat, Oct 31 15:45	-9.5	56.5	Cincinnati +14	Utah -9.5	Sat, Oct 31 15:45
Clemson @ Florida StateSat, Oct 31 19:00	-1.5	51.5	Florida State -5.1	Florida State +1.5	Sat, Oct 31 19:00
Florida @ GeorgiaSat, Oct 31 15:30	-10.5	56.5	Georgia -14.9	Georgia -10.5	Sat, Oct 31 15:30
Minnesota @ IndianaSat, Oct 31 15:30	-22.5	45.5	Indiana -22.3	—	Sat, Oct 31 15:30
Wisconsin @ IowaSat, Oct 31 12:00	-4.5	39.5	Iowa -11.7	Iowa -4.5	Sat, Oct 31 12:00
Notre Dame @ NavySat, Oct 31 12:00	-28.5	53.5	Navy +18.6	Navy +28.5not counted	Sat, Oct 31 12:00
Miami @ North CarolinaSat, Oct 31 19:30	-14.5	50.5	North Carolina +16.7	Miami -14.5not counted	Sat, Oct 31 19:30
South Carolina @ OklahomaSat, Oct 31 16:15	-5.5	43.5	Oklahoma -2.6	South Carolina +5.5	Sat, Oct 31 16:15
Auburn @ Ole MissSat, Oct 31 12:45	-10.5	53.5	Ole Miss -12.4	Ole Miss -10.5not counted	Sat, Oct 31 12:45
Northwestern @ OregonSat, Oct 31 00:00	-7.5	50.5	Oregon -8	Oregon -7.5not counted	Sat, Oct 31 00:00
Arizona @ Texas TechSat, Oct 31 12:00	-7.5	52.5	Texas Tech -9.3	Texas Tech -7.5not counted	Sat, Oct 31 12:00
Ohio State @ USCSat, Oct 31 19:30	-7	53.5	USC +9.3	Ohio State -7not counted	Sat, Oct 31 19:30

Opens College Matchup Preview This week's college board

College trends

Every FBS game log since 2022, joined to the opening line.

Published before kickoff and graded once the games are in.

Player trendstrue of the player and true of this game.

Keshaun Singleton has 7 of his last 7 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

10 of 16, 62% everywhere else

WR · AuburnAuburn at Ole Miss2024-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Nov 9 24	vs Navy (+4.5)	58	yes
Thu, Aug 28 25	vs Boise State (+5.5)	93	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	at Florida (+18.5)	75	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Miami (+17.5)	54	yes
Fri, Oct 10 25	at North Texas (+2.5)	54	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Florida (+2.5)	99	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Tennessee (+6.2)	61	yes

Devon Dampier has 7 of his last 7 games on the road with 2+ passing touchdowns.

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

7 of 9, 78% everywhere else

QB · UtahUtah at Cincinnati2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Aug 30 25	at UCLA (-6.5)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Wyoming (-24.5)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	at West Virginia (-13.5)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at BYU (-4)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Baylor (-9.5)	2	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Kansas (-10)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Iowa State (-7.5)	2	yes

Nick Marsh has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

8 of 14, 57% everywhere else

WR · IndianaMinnesota at Indiana2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Boston College (-3.5)	85	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Youngstown State (-23.5)	94	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs UCLA (-7)	77	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Maryland (-4)	80	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs North Texas (-40)	17	no
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Howard (-57.5)	71	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Western Kentucky (-44.8)	81	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	vs Northwestern (-20.2)	52	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Rutgers (-24.2)	120	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Nebraska (-9)	187	yes

Josh Hoover has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

11 of 19, 58% everywhere else

QB · IndianaMinnesota at Indiana2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Abilene Christian (-42)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 20 25	vs SMU (-6.5)	5	yes
Sat, Oct 4 25	vs Colorado (-13.5)	4	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Baylor (-3.5)	3	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Iowa State (-7.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs Cincinnati (-3)	3	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs North Texas (-40)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Howard (-57.5)	4	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Western Kentucky (-44.8)	2	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	vs Northwestern (-20.2)	1	no

Turbo Richard has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 12, 33% everywhere else

RB · IndianaMinnesota at Indiana2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Fordham (-34.8)	48	no
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Stanford (-14)	55	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs California (-6)	170	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Syracuse (-3)	102	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs North Texas (-40)	58	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Howard (-57.5)	108	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs Western Kentucky (-44.8)	149	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	vs Northwestern (-20.2)	68	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Rutgers (-24.2)	204	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Nebraska (-9)	10	no

Kamari Moulton has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with 75+ rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

3 of 9, 33% everywhere else

RB · IowaWisconsin at Iowa2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Wisconsin (-5)	96	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Penn State (-3)	99	yes
Sat, Oct 25 25	vs Minnesota (-7.5)	75	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Oregon (+4.5)	87	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at USC (+6.5)	90	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Michigan State (-17.5)	78	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Nebraska (-5.5)	93	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	at Michigan (+4.8)	44	no
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Ohio State (+14.2)	27	no
Fri, Oct 9 26	at Washington (+3)	208	yes

Jadan Baugh has 9 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ rushing yards.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

7 of 11, 64% everywhere else

RB · FloridaFlorida at Georgia2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Texas A&M (+7)	54	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Mississippi State (-9.5)	140	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Georgia (+7)	72	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	at Kentucky (-4.5)	64	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Ole Miss (+10.5)	61	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Tennessee (+3.5)	96	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	at Auburn (-2.5)	158	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Ole Miss (-4)	142	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Missouri (-5.5)	13	no
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs South Carolina (-10.5)	59	yes

Caleb Komolafe has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with a rushing touchdown.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

4 of 11, 36% everywhere else

RB · NorthwesternNorthwestern at Oregon2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Oregon (+25.5)	1	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs UCLA (-6)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Penn State (+20.5)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Purdue (-3.5)	0	no
Sat, Oct 25 25	at Nebraska (+7)	2	yes
Fri, Nov 7 25	at USC (+14.5)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Michigan (+10)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Minnesota (-4)	1	yes
Fri, Sep 25 26	at Indiana (+20.2)	0	no
Fri, Oct 2 26	vs Penn State (+2.8)	1	yes

Kedrick Reescano has 8 of his last 10 games in conference play with a rushing touchdown.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

3 of 8, 38% everywhere else

RB · ArizonaArizona at Texas Tech2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs BYU (+2.5)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at Houston (-2)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Colorado (-3.5)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 8 25	vs Kansas (-5.5)	0	no
Sat, Nov 15 25	at Cincinnati (+6)	1	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	vs Baylor (-6.5)	3	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Arizona State (-2)	1	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	at BYU (+6.8)	0	no
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Cincinnati (-6.8)	1	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at West Virginia (-3.5)	1	yes

Malachi Toney has 6 of his last 7 games on the road as a favorite with 6+ catches.

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

6 of 14, 43% everywhere else

WR · MiamiMiami at North Carolina2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Oct 4 25	at Florida State (-3.5)	7	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at SMU (-8.5)	9	yes
Sat, Nov 22 25	at Virginia Tech (-17.5)	12	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	at Pittsburgh (-6.5)	13	yes
Fri, Sep 4 26	at Stanford (-24.5)	12	yes
Fri, Sep 18 26	at Wake Forest (-20.2)	12	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	at Clemson (-14.8)	5	no

Deuce Alexander has 6 of his last 7 games as a favorite in conference play with 50+ receiving yards.

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

6 of 13, 46% everywhere else

WR · Ole MissAuburn at Ole Miss2025-2026

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 6 25	at Kentucky (-7.8)	68	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Arkansas (-3.5)	85	yes
Sat, Sep 27 25	vs LSU (-2.5)	64	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	vs South Carolina (-13)	52	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Florida (-10.5)	16	no
Fri, Nov 28 25	at Mississippi State (-7.5)	94	yes
Sat, Oct 10 26	at Vanderbilt (-9.2)	74	yes

Jayden Maiava has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 9, 56% everywhere else

QB · USCOhio State at USC2025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Sep 20 25	vs Michigan State (-18.5)	3	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	vs Michigan (-3)	2	yes
Fri, Nov 7 25	vs Northwestern (-14.5)	2	yes
Sat, Nov 15 25	vs Iowa (-6.5)	1	no
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs UCLA (-21.5)	2	yes
Sat, Aug 29 26	vs San José State (-37.2)	2	yes
Fri, Sep 4 26	vs Fresno State (-22)	2	yes
Sat, Sep 12 26	vs Louisiana (-30.8)	5	yes
Sat, Sep 26 26	vs Oregon (+3.5)	2	yes
Sat, Oct 3 26	vs Washington (-8.2)	1	no

Team trendsagainst the spread and the total, last three seasons plus this one, in the spot this game put them in. The faded bar is the same team everywhere else; every card also beats the league in that spot.

Arizona State has covered 13 of 18 coming off a loss

13 of 18, 72% in this spot

10 of 23, 44% everywhere else

Arizona StateArizona State at BYU, Sat, Oct 312023-2026

The 18 games

Game	Spot	Hit
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs Hawai'i	no
Sat, Sep 19 26	at Kansas	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Morgan State	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Iowa State	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	vs Texas Tech	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	vs Texas State	yes
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Northern Arizona	no
Sat, Nov 2 24	at Oklahoma State	yes
Sat, Oct 5 24	vs Kansas	yes
Sat, Aug 31 24	vs Wyoming	yes
Sat, Nov 25 23	vs Arizona	no
Sat, Nov 11 23	at UCLA	yes
Sat, Oct 28 23	vs Washington State	yes
Sat, Oct 21 23	at Washington	yes
Sat, Sep 30 23	at California	yes
Sat, Sep 23 23	vs USC	yes
Sat, Sep 16 23	vs Fresno State	no
Thu, Aug 31 23	vs Southern Utah	no

Oklahoma has covered 11 of 15 coming off a loss

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

11 of 26, 42% everywhere else

OklahomaSouth Carolina at Oklahoma, Sat, Oct 312023-2026

The 15 games

Game	Spot	Hit
Sat, Oct 10 26	vs Texas	yes
Sat, Sep 19 26	vs New Mexico	no
Fri, Sep 4 26	vs UTEP	yes
Sat, Nov 1 25	at Tennessee	yes
Sat, Oct 18 25	at South Carolina	yes
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Illinois State	no
Sat, Nov 23 24	vs Alabama	yes
Sat, Nov 2 24	vs Maine	yes
Sat, Oct 26 24	at Ole Miss	yes
Sat, Oct 19 24	vs South Carolina	no
Sat, Sep 28 24	at Auburn	yes
Fri, Aug 30 24	vs Temple	yes
Sat, Nov 11 23	vs West Virginia	yes
Sat, Nov 4 23	at Oklahoma State	no
Sat, Sep 2 23	vs Arkansas State	yes

BYU has gone over 6 of 8 as a favorite of 14 or more

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

18 of 34, 53% everywhere else

BYUArizona State at BYU, Sat, Oct 312023-2026

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Hit
Sat, Sep 19 26	at Colorado State	yes
Sat, Sep 5 26	vs Utah Tech	yes
Sat, Nov 29 25	vs UCF	yes
Fri, Oct 3 25	vs West Virginia	yes
Sat, Sep 6 25	vs Stanford	no
Sat, Aug 30 25	vs Portland State	yes
Sat, Sep 9 23	vs Southern Utah	yes
Sat, Sep 2 23	vs Sam Houston	no

Navy has gone over 8 of 11 when our model likes them

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

16 of 29, 55% everywhere else

NavyNotre Dame at Navy, Sat, Oct 312023-2026

The 11 games

Game	Spot	Hit
Sat, Oct 25 25	vs Florida Atlantic	yes
Sat, Oct 11 25	at Temple	yes
Sat, Sep 13 25	at Tulsa	yes
Sat, Sep 21 24	vs Memphis	yes
Sat, Nov 25 23	at SMU	yes
Sat, Nov 11 23	vs UAB	no
Sat, Nov 4 23	at Temple	yes
Sat, Oct 14 23	at Charlotte	no
Sat, Sep 30 23	vs South Florida	yes
Thu, Sep 14 23	at Memphis	yes
Sat, Aug 26 23	at Notre Dame	no