Game lines · College · 2026
College week 3.
75 games with a line, 75 played. Our number is the one we logged before kickoff, never after. Leans, never plays: the sealed 2023-2025 read came back inside the luck band.
Week 3 leans: 18-18-1, -1.8u flat at -110. Counted where we differed by 2 or more and the row was clean; suspect rows (no Elo, or the big-spread defect) are shown and never counted.
| Game | Market | Total | Our number | Lean | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.5 | Pittsburgh -14.3 | WIN Pittsburgh -10.8 | 13-27 | ||
| 71.5 | — | — | 0-84 | ||
| 52.5 | Texas Tech -12.9 | LOSS Texas Tech -8 | 26-28 | ||
| 55.8 | Wake Forest +13.8 | WIN Wake Forest +20.2 | 33-20 | ||
| 50.2 | Alabama -23 | LOSS Alabama -18.5 | 36-50 | ||
| 52.5 | App State -10.1 | WIN Charlotte +16.2 | 21-26 | ||
| 50.2 | Arizona -20.5 | WIN Northern Illinois +34.5not counted | 17-42 | ||
| 54.8 | Arkansas +18 | LOSS Arkansas +24.5 | 45-17 | ||
| 53.2 | Auburn -3.5 | LOSS Auburn +2.5 | 44-39 | ||
| 50.2 | Baylor -10.6 | WIN Louisiana Tech +20.2 | 19-36 | ||
| 61.0 | — | — | 24-38 | ||
| 54.5 | — | — | 16-22 | ||
| 65.2 | — | — | 7-49 | ||
| 39.8 | Central Michigan -1.6 | WIN Central Michigan +1.8not counted | 10-24 | ||
| 50.2 | Cincinnati -15 | LOSS Cincinnati -14.5not counted | 31-35 | ||
| 44.5 | Clemson -7.5 | WIN Clemson -3 | 20-28 | ||
| 54.2 | Colorado State +13.2 | LOSS Colorado State +17.5 | 41-23 | ||
| 56.5 | Delaware -10.3 | WIN Delaware -5 | 14-22 | ||
| 51.5 | Duke -11.2 | WIN Duke -9.8not counted | 7-35 | ||
| 62.2 | Florida Atlantic +3.9 | LOSS Florida International +5.2not counted | 10-16 | ||
| 58.0 | — | — | 11-44 | ||
| 55.5 | — | — | 10-48 | ||
| 59.2 | Indiana -40.8 | WIN Western Kentucky +44.8not counted | 0-38 | ||
| 48.8 | — | — | 0-55 | ||
| 43.5 | Iowa State -18.1 | LOSS Bowling Green +22.8 | 7-55 | ||
| 51.2 | Jacksonville State -9.4 | WIN Jacksonville State -3.5 | 27-31 | ||
| 50.8 | Kansas -0.7 | LOSS Kansas +5.2 | 24-17 | ||
| 49.5 | Kansas State -9.2 | WIN Tulane +20.5not counted | 20-31 | ||
| 49.2 | Liberty -29 | WIN Liberty -14.5not counted | 15-51 | ||
| 55.5 | Louisiana -3.2 | PUSH UAB +7 | 14-21 | ||
| 57.5 | Louisville -0.4 | LOSS SMU +3not counted | 31-41 | ||
| 53.2 | Maryland -4.7 | LOSS Maryland +2.5 | 35-26 | ||
| 50.8 | — | — | 14-36 | ||
| 58.8 | — | — | 21-45 | ||
| 48.5 | Michigan -33.9 | LOSS UTEP +34.5 | 17-52 | ||
| 50.5 | Middle Tennessee +3.2 | WIN Middle Tennessee +3.8not counted | 20-27 | ||
| 48.5 | Minnesota -26.9 | WIN Minnesota -22.5 | 7-41 | ||
| 49.8 | Missouri -19.4 | WIN Troy +26.8 | 17-27 | ||
| 52.5 | Missouri State +3.6 | LOSS Missouri State +4not counted | 30-24 | ||
| 56.5 | — | — | 7-34 | ||
| 47.8 | Northwestern -8.4 | WIN Northwestern -3.5 | 7-41 | ||
| 51.5 | Notre Dame -28 | WIN Michigan State +28.8not counted | 10-27 | ||
| 58.8 | Ohio State -44.5 | LOSS Kent State +52.2 | 3-59 | ||
| 45.5 | Oklahoma -14.4 | WIN New Mexico +21.2 | 6-14 | ||
| 70.2 | — | — | 0-59 | ||
| 48.8 | Old Dominion +3 | WIN East Carolina +2.5 | 20-17 | ||
| 58.8 | Ole Miss -6.2 | WIN Ole Miss +2.8 | 24-32 | ||
| 55.8 | — | — | 17-52 | ||
| 48.2 | Penn State -33.5 | LOSS Buffalo +39.8 | 13-55 | ||
| 43.5 | Rice +13.3 | LOSS Western Michigan -8.5 | 28-21 | ||
| 59.0 | Rutgers +18.6 | WIN Rutgers +21 | 42-35 | ||
| 50.5 | Sacramento State +6.4 | WIN Sacramento State +25.5not counted | 31-10 | ||
| 51.0 | — | — | 0-59 | ||
| 46.5 | San Diego State +11 | WIN James Madison +3not counted | 26-13 | ||
| 47.5 | San José State +2.8 | LOSS San José State +4 | 26-10 | ||
| 49.8 | South Alabama -7 | LOSS South Alabama -7not counted | 36-41 | ||
| 59.2 | South Carolina -5.9 | LOSS South Carolina -3 | 41-34 | ||
| 60.0 | — | — | 17-59 | ||
| 54.5 | Southern Miss +3.6 | WIN UConn -3.5not counted | 48-20 | ||
| 56.2 | TCU -15.7 | LOSS Arkansas State +19 | 7-31 | ||
| 60.8 | Tennessee -29.1 | WIN Kennesaw State +35.5 | 9-42 | ||
| 58.2 | Texas -24.7 | WIN UTSA +29.8 | 6-30 | ||
| 48.5 | Texas A&M -20.8 | LOSS Texas A&M -16.5 | 31-21 | ||
| 62.5 | Texas State +8.6 | LOSS North Texas +3not counted | 35-49 | ||
| 48.5 | Toledo -14.8 | LOSS Toledo -4.8 | 48-49 | ||
| 55.8 | — | — | 0-42 | ||
| 50.2 | UCF -10.4 | WIN Georgia State +17.5 | 30-44 | ||
| 53.0 | UCLA -9.2 | LOSS Purdue +13.5 | 38-52 | ||
| SE Louisiana @ | 48.2 | — | — | 38-35 | |
| 55.8 | Utah -31 | WIN Utah -26.2 | 0-33 | ||
| 50.5 | Vanderbilt -13.8 | WIN Vanderbilt -3not counted | 31-35 | ||
| 51.5 | Virginia -20.3 | LOSS Virginia -10.8not counted | 38-27 | ||
| 58.8 | — | — | 16-48 | ||
| 52.0 | — | — | 7-48 | ||
| 43.8 | Wisconsin -12.3 | LOSS Eastern Michigan +23.5not counted | 10-54 |
College trends
Every FBS game log since 2022, joined to the opening line.
How they graded. 29 of 33 hit (88%) against a claimed 86%, 1 did not play. These were computed after the week, from games before it, so they are a replay and not a receipt. The trends we publish before kickoff are the ones that count.
Player trends29 of 33 hittrue of the player and true of this game.
Nick Minicucci has 8 of his last 8 games as a favorite with 250+ passing yards.hit (302)
The 8 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs Delaware State (-30.5) | 282 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 3 25 | vs Western Kentucky (-2.5) | 314 | yes |
| Wed, Oct 15 25 | at Jacksonville State (-3) | 403 | yes |
| Wed, Oct 22 25 | vs Middle Tennessee (-8.5) | 268 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | at Sam Houston (-11.5) | 338 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs UTEP (-4.5) | 311 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 3 26 | vs Merrimack (-31.5) | 306 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Coastal Carolina (-5) | 302 | yes |
Trinidad Chambliss has 9 of his last 9 games against a ranked team with 250+ passing yards.hit (349)
The 9 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs LSU (-2.5) | 314 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Georgia (+7.5) | 263 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | at Oklahoma (+5.5) | 309 | yes |
| Sat, Dec 20 25 | vs Tulane (-16.5) | 282 | yes |
| Thu, Jan 1 25 | at Georgia (+6) | 385 | yes |
| Thu, Jan 8 25 | at Miami (+3) | 253 | yes |
| Sun, Sep 6 26 | at Louisville (-6.5) | 336 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs LSU (+2.8) | 349 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at Florida (+4) | 298 | yes |
Jalen Buckley has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a rushing touchdown.hit (1)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Central Michigan (-5.5) | 1 | yes |
| Tue, Nov 11 25 | vs Ohio (-1.5) | 1 | yes |
| Tue, Nov 18 25 | at Northern Illinois (-7) | 2 | yes |
| Tue, Nov 25 25 | at Eastern Michigan (-10) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Dec 6 25 | at Miami (OH) (-2.5) | 2 | yes |
| Fri, Dec 19 25 | at Kennesaw State (-3.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Monmouth (-29) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | at Rice (-8.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Buffalo (-13.2) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs Kent State (-13.8) | 0 | no |
Wayne Knight has 10 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.hit (177)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 30 24 | vs Marshall (-3.5) | 59 | yes |
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Weber State (-27) | 89 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs Georgia Southern (-15) | 151 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | vs Louisiana (-18.5) | 111 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Old Dominion (-3) | 74 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs App State (-21) | 94 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Washington State (-15.5) | 126 | yes |
| Fri, Dec 5 25 | vs Troy (-24.5) | 212 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs San Diego State (-13.5) | 97 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Purdue (-13.5) | 177 | yes |
Chauncy Cobb has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 6+ catches.missed (3)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Iowa State (+21) | 8 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | at UL Monroe (+1.5) | 8 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Texas State (+14) | 7 | yes |
| Tue, Oct 14 25 | at South Alabama (+8.5) | 6 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | vs Georgia Southern (+1) | 12 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Troy (+7.5) | 4 | no |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Southern Miss (+6.5) | 7 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | at Memphis (+10.5) | 6 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | at TCU (+19) | 3 | no |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Louisiana (+5.2) | 8 | yes |
Cameron Dickey has 9 of his last 10 games at home with a rushing touchdown.hit (1)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (-54.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Kent State (-48) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Oregon State (-24) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | vs Kansas (-13.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | vs Oklahoma State (-37.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs BYU (-13.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs UCF (-24.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Abilene Christian (-45) | 0 | no |
| Fri, Sep 18 26 | vs Houston (-8) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Sam Houston (-34.5) | 2 | yes |
Keshaun Singleton has 7 of his last 7 games as an underdog with 50+ receiving yards.hit (99)
The 7 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 9 24 | vs Navy (+4.5) | 58 | yes |
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs Boise State (+5.5) | 93 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | at Florida (+18.5) | 75 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | at Miami (+17.5) | 54 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 10 25 | at North Texas (+2.5) | 54 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Florida (+2.5) | 99 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Tennessee (+6.2) | 61 | yes |
Chris Marshall has 8 of his last 9 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.hit (104)
The 9 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 5 25 | vs Eastern Washington (-33.2) | 132 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs App State (-16.5) | 52 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | vs New Mexico (-14.5) | 80 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs UNLV (-13) | 96 | yes |
| Fri, Dec 5 25 | vs UNLV (-6) | 10 | no |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs North Alabama (-40.5) | 79 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Georgia (+24.5) | 104 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Tulsa (-7) | 195 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs Tennessee (+13.8) | 56 | yes |
Bo Jackson has 10 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.hit (73)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Grambling (-53.5) | 108 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Ohio (-28.5) | 109 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Minnesota (-23.5) | 63 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Penn State (-17.5) | 105 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs UCLA (-33) | 112 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Rutgers (-28.5) | 109 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Ball State (-50.8) | 83 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Kent State (-52.2) | 73 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Illinois (-25.5) | 53 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs Maryland (-31.2) | 113 | yes |
Katin Houser has 9 of his last 10 games at home as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.hit (2)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 29 24 | vs Navy (-2.8) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Campbell (-30.2) | 2 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 25 25 | vs Army (-3.5) | 2 | yes |
| Thu, Oct 16 25 | vs Tulsa (-16.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Charlotte (-28) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Memphis (-3) | 1 | no |
| Thu, Sep 3 26 | vs UAB (-26) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Duke (-6.2) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Southern Illinois (-34.8) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | vs Purdue (-9.8) | 2 | yes |
Jamal Roberts has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a rushing touchdown.hit (1)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs South Carolina (-10) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs Massachusetts (-44.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Auburn (-1.5) | 0 | no |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Mississippi State (-7.5) | 0 | no |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Arkansas (-4.5) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Dec 27 25 | at Virginia (-4) | 1 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 3 26 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (-55.5) | 1 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 11 26 | at Kansas (-4) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Troy (-26.8) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs Texas A&M (-4.5) | 1 | yes |
Collin Dixon has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (131)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | at Purdue (-7) | 70 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Rutgers (-13) | 36 | no |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs Maryland (-16.5) | 1 | no |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at Wisconsin (-8.5) | 62 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs Northwestern (-7) | 53 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 3 26 | vs UAB (-26) | 70 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Duke (-6.2) | 166 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Southern Illinois (-34.8) | 131 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | vs Purdue (-9.8) | 116 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | at Michigan State (-2.5) | 62 | yes |
22 more college trends
Dante Moore has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.hit (4)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Montana State (-28.2) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Oklahoma State (-28.5) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs Oregon State (-34) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | vs Indiana (-7) | 1 | no |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | vs Wisconsin (-31.5) | 0 | no |
| Fri, Nov 14 25 | vs Minnesota (-26.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs USC (-11) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Dec 20 25 | vs James Madison (-20.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Boise State (-24.8) | 3 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 18 26 | vs Portland State (-58.5) | 4 | yes |
Jadan Baugh has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (158)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Long Island University (-46.8) | 139 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs South Florida (-18.5) | 93 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Mississippi State (-9.5) | 140 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at Kentucky (-4.5) | 64 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Florida Atlantic (-26.5) | 160 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Campbell (-51.5) | 136 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | at Auburn (-2.5) | 158 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Ole Miss (-4) | 142 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Missouri (-5.5) | 13 | no |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs South Carolina (-10.5) | 59 | yes |
Junior Sherrill has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (108)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs Georgia State (-27.5) | 55 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs Utah State (-23.5) | 76 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs LSU (-1.5) | 30 | no |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | vs Missouri (-3) | 8 | no |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Auburn (-6) | 75 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Kentucky (-7) | 115 | yes |
| Wed, Dec 31 25 | at Iowa (-3) | 123 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Austin Peay (-29.2) | 70 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Delaware (-20.8) | 94 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs NC State (-3) | 108 | yes |
Griffin Wilde has 8 of his last 9 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.hit (85)
The 9 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 5 25 | vs Western Illinois (-31) | 94 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs UCLA (-6) | 98 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs UL Monroe (-12.5) | 64 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Purdue (-3.5) | 47 | no |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at Minnesota (-4) | 100 | yes |
| Fri, Dec 26 25 | at Central Michigan (-13.5) | 97 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs South Dakota State (-13.2) | 104 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Colorado (-3.5) | 85 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs Ball State (-34.8) | 144 | yes |
Turbo Richard has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (149)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Fordham (-34.8) | 48 | no |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | at Stanford (-14) | 55 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs California (-6) | 170 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Syracuse (-3) | 102 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs North Texas (-40) | 58 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Howard (-57.5) | 108 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Western Kentucky (-44.8) | 149 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Northwestern (-20.2) | 68 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Rutgers (-24.2) | 204 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | at Nebraska (-9) | 10 | no |
KJ Duff has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.hit (86)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Miami (OH) (-15.5) | 71 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Norfolk State (-44.5) | 119 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 19 25 | vs Iowa (+2.5) | 92 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Oregon (+17.5) | 41 | no |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Maryland (-1.5) | 69 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs Penn State (+14) | 127 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 3 26 | vs Massachusetts (-29.2) | 196 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs USC (+21) | 86 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 25 26 | vs Howard (-42.2) | 131 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | vs Indiana (+24.2) | 78 | yes |
Bryant Wesco Jr. has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.hit (77)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 2 24 | vs Louisville (-11) | 53 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 23 24 | vs The Citadel (-49) | 75 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 30 24 | vs South Carolina (-2.5) | 80 | yes |
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs LSU (-5.5) | 66 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Troy (-30.2) | 118 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 20 25 | vs Syracuse (-17.5) | 83 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs SMU (-3.5) | 0 | no |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Georgia Southern (-20) | 35 | no |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs North Carolina (-3) | 77 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | vs Miami (+14.8) | 152 | yes |
Wyatt Young has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.missed (13)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Oct 24 25 | at Charlotte (-25.5) | 190 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Navy (-6.5) | 52 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | at UAB (-17.5) | 143 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at Rice (-18.5) | 295 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | vs Temple (-20.5) | 127 | yes |
| Fri, Dec 5 25 | at Tulane (-1.5) | 6 | no |
| Sat, Dec 27 25 | at San Diego State (-7.5) | 55 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | at Tulsa (-13.2) | 84 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Murray State (-56) | 13 | no |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs UCF (-10.2) | 52 | yes |
Malachi Toney has 6 of his last 7 games on the road as a favorite with 6+ catches.hit (12)
The 7 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | at Florida State (-3.5) | 7 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at SMU (-8.5) | 9 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at Virginia Tech (-17.5) | 12 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Pittsburgh (-6.5) | 13 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 4 26 | at Stanford (-24.5) | 12 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 18 26 | at Wake Forest (-20.2) | 12 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at Clemson (-14.8) | 5 | no |
Isaac Brown has 9 of his last 10 games in conference play with 50+ rushing yards.hit (67)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Virginia (-6.5) | 131 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 17 25 | at Miami (+10.5) | 98 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | vs Boston College (-25.5) | 288 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Virginia Tech (-10.5) | 209 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs California (-18.5) | 136 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 14 25 | vs Clemson (-1.5) | 135 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs SMU (-3) | 67 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Wake Forest (-11.2) | 33 | no |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | at NC State (-4.2) | 125 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 9 26 | vs Florida State (-4.2) | 235 | yes |
Duce Robinson has 6 of his last 7 games on the road with 50+ receiving yards.hit (135)
The 7 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 26 25 | at Virginia (-7) | 152 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Stanford (-17.5) | 98 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at Clemson (+1.5) | 124 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 21 25 | at NC State (-6.5) | 74 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at Florida (-1.5) | 60 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | at Alabama (+18.5) | 135 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 9 26 | at Louisville (+4.2) | 14 | no |
Caleb Hawkins has 9 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.hit (72)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Lamar (-27.5) | 18 | no |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Washington State (-6.5) | 50 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs South Alabama (-13) | 140 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 10 25 | vs South Florida (-2.5) | 50 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs UTSA (-4) | 133 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Navy (-6.5) | 197 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | vs Temple (-20.5) | 173 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Oregon (+24.2) | 120 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Murray State (-56) | 72 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs UCF (-10.2) | 75 | yes |
Hollywood Smothers has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.hit (54)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Aug 28 25 | vs East Carolina (-13.5) | 66 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Virginia (-2.8) | 140 | yes |
| Thu, Sep 11 25 | at Wake Forest (-7.5) | 163 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs Virginia Tech (-10) | 67 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Campbell (-42.5) | 123 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs North Carolina (-7) | 32 | no |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Texas State (-29.5) | 70 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Ohio State (-2.2) | 74 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs UTSA (-29.8) | 54 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | at Oklahoma (-7.8) | 39 | no |
Dylan Riley has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ rushing yards.hit (202)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 5 25 | vs Eastern Washington (-33.2) | 123 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs App State (-16.5) | 46 | no |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | vs New Mexico (-14.5) | 102 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs UNLV (-13) | 201 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Fresno State (-17.5) | 16 | no |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Colorado State (-17.5) | 72 | yes |
| Fri, Dec 5 25 | vs UNLV (-6) | 75 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Memphis (-9.2) | 206 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs South Dakota (-28.2) | 202 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | vs Utah State (-19.5) | 93 | yes |
Julian Sayin has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 2+ passing touchdowns.hit (2)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Grambling (-53.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 13 25 | vs Ohio (-28.5) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 4 25 | vs Minnesota (-23.5) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Penn State (-17.5) | 1 | no |
| Sat, Nov 15 25 | vs UCLA (-33) | 1 | no |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Rutgers (-28.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Ball State (-50.8) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Kent State (-52.2) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Illinois (-25.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | vs Maryland (-31.2) | 5 | yes |
Caden Veltkamp has 5 of his last 6 games as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.missed (0)
The 6 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 6 25 | vs Florida A&M (-21.2) | 5 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | vs UAB (-4.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Tulsa (-4.5) | 3 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Florida International (-5.2) | 0 | no |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at UL Monroe (-11.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | vs Texas Southern (-45.8) | 4 | yes |
Antwan Raymond has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with 50+ rushing yards.hit (122)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | at Minnesota (+3.5) | 171 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 10 25 | at Washington (+9.5) | 89 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Oregon (+17.5) | 55 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | at Purdue (+2.5) | 105 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Illinois (+13) | 29 | no |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | at Ohio State (+28.5) | 52 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | vs Penn State (+14) | 189 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 11 26 | at Boston College (+3) | 134 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs USC (+21) | 122 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | vs Indiana (+24.2) | 31 | no |
Noah Fifita has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 2+ passing touchdowns.hit (4)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Houston (-2) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | at Colorado (-3.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Kansas (-5.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Baylor (-6.5) | 1 | no |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | at Arizona State (-2) | 1 | no |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Northern Arizona (-32.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Northern Illinois (-34.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | at Washington State (-11.8) | 5 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 3 26 | vs Cincinnati (-6.8) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 10 26 | at West Virginia (-3.5) | 3 | yes |
Kevin Jennings has 8 of his last 10 games on the road in conference play with 250+ passing yards.missed (222)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Oct 5 24 | at Louisville (+6.5) | 253 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 19 24 | at Stanford (-16.5) | 307 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 26 24 | at Duke (-11.5) | 258 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 23 24 | at Virginia (-10.5) | 326 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | at Clemson (+3.5) | 295 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | at Wake Forest (-5.5) | 171 | no |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | at Boston College (-10.5) | 326 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 29 25 | at California (-13.5) | 250 | yes |
| Mon, Sep 7 26 | at Florida State (-3) | 432 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | at Louisville (+3) | 222 | no |
Evan Dickens has 5 of his last 6 games at home as a favorite with a rushing touchdown.hit (1)
The 6 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Maine (-25.5) | 0 | no |
| Tue, Oct 14 25 | vs New Mexico State (-10.5) | 2 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 1 25 | vs Delaware (-3.5) | 4 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Missouri State (-7.5) | 1 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 11 26 | vs Rutgers (-3) | 1 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs Maine (-37.5) | 1 | yes |
Kamari Moulton has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with 50+ rushing yards.did not play
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 29 24 | vs Nebraska (-3) | -4 | no |
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs UAlbany (-39.5) | 22 | no |
| Fri, Sep 19 25 | at Rutgers (-2.5) | 68 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 11 25 | at Wisconsin (-5) | 96 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs Penn State (-3) | 99 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | vs Minnesota (-7.5) | 75 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Michigan State (-17.5) | 78 | yes |
| Fri, Nov 28 25 | at Nebraska (-5.5) | 93 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 5 26 | vs Northern Illinois (-31.8) | 183 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 12 26 | vs Iowa State (-14) | 57 | yes |
Tre Richardson has 8 of his last 10 games at home with 50+ receiving yards.hit (62)
The 10 games
| Game | Spot | Stat | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 30 25 | vs Charleston Southern (-38) | 74 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 27 25 | vs Utah State (-23.5) | 74 | yes |
| Sat, Oct 18 25 | vs LSU (-1.5) | 0 | no |
| Sat, Oct 25 25 | vs Missouri (-3) | 62 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 8 25 | vs Auburn (-6) | 124 | yes |
| Sat, Nov 22 25 | vs Kentucky (-7) | 159 | yes |
| Fri, Sep 11 26 | vs Villanova (-39) | 98 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 19 26 | vs SMU (-3) | 62 | yes |
| Sat, Sep 26 26 | vs Wake Forest (-11.2) | 85 | yes |
| Fri, Oct 9 26 | vs Florida State (-4.2) | 0 | no |
Team trends18 of 40 hitagainst the spread and the total, last three seasons plus this one, in the spot this game put them in. The faded bar is the same team everywhere else; every card also beats the league in that spot.
Missouri has covered 10 of 11 when our model fades themmissed
Miami has covered 9 of 10 with more rest than the opponentmissed
Kentucky has gone over 8 of 9 against a ranked team when our model fades themhit
UTSA has gone over 7 of 8 in prime time when our model likes themmissed
Missouri has covered 7 of 8 as a favorite when our model fades themmissed
Virginia has covered 10 of 12 with more rest than the opponentmissed
Jacksonville State has covered 9 of 11 at home when our model likes themhit
Kentucky has gone over 9 of 11 as an underdog when our model fades themhit
Boise State has covered 16 of 20 at homemissed
Virginia Tech has gone over 8 of 10 as a favorite when our model fades themhit
Charlotte has covered 8 of 10 on the road when our model likes themhit
Indiana has gone over 8 of 10 as a favorite when our model fades themmissed
28 more team trends
Western Michigan has covered 15 of 19 as a favoritemissed
Charlotte has covered 7 of 9 as an underdog of 14 or more when our model likes themhit
Bowling Green has covered 7 of 9 as an underdog when our model likes themmissed
Georgia Tech has gone over 7 of 9 as a favorite of 14 or moremissed
Houston has covered 7 of 9 when our model fades themhit
Alabama has covered 17 of 22 at homemissed
Rutgers has gone over 17 of 22 at homehit
Oklahoma has covered 10 of 13 coming off a lossmissed
Colorado has covered 10 of 13 when our model fades themmissed
Texas has covered 6 of 8 at home when our model fades themmissed
Tennessee has gone over 6 of 8 as a favorite when our model fades themmissed
Northwestern has covered 9 of 12 at homehit
Colorado has covered 6 of 8 as an underdog when our model fades themmissed
Virginia Tech has gone over 18 of 24 as a favoritehit
Jacksonville State has covered 15 of 20 at homehit
UCF has covered 6 of 8 as a favorite of 14 or moremissed
UCF has gone over 6 of 8 as a favorite of 14 or morehit
Western Kentucky has gone over 6 of 8 on the road when our model likes themmissed
Florida State has covered 6 of 8 against a ranked teamhit
Bowling Green has covered 6 of 8 on the road when our model likes themmissed
Arizona State has covered 12 of 16 coming off a losshit
Coastal Carolina has gone over 6 of 8 when our model fades themmissed
Troy has covered 14 of 19 on the roadhit
Toledo has gone over 14 of 19 at homehit
UTSA has gone over 11 of 15 when our model likes themmissed
Michigan State has covered 11 of 15 on the roadhit
Vanderbilt has gone over 11 of 15 as a favoritehit
Texas has covered 8 of 11 as a favorite of 14 or more when our model fades themmissed