New: Be A GM College lets you run your NIL budget, fight the portal, and play the season. Try it.

Jalen Nailor

Las Vegas Raiders·#9
Pos WRHt 6'0"Wt 191 lbExp 4 yrCollege Michigan State
Updated September 21, 2026

Model Score

71.0 MODEL
2024
71.1
2025
71.0

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 1 games

3
Rec
27
Rec Yds
0
Rec TD
5
Targets
27.0
Yds/Gm
5.7
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

1.273
EPA / target
2.7 yd
Avg separation
5.8 yd
Avg cushion
-0.5
YAC over exp
60.0%
Catch %

Draft & College

Round 6, pick 191 · Minnesota Vikings · 2022
Michigan State (Big Ten)
Taken
#191
where he actually went
Our college model
#225
among WR in our college data
In college · 2018-2021 · 26 games
85 rec, 1,383 yds, 11 TD, 16.3 yds/rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Comps

College career
his college career vs theirs

STM Take

Three straight tier 8 finishes (#131, #58, #62) define the role. Wk 15 2025's 19.5 PPR is the entire fantasy-relevant moment of his season; five of his other logged weeks scored zero. He is a deep-bench WR3/4 whose 2026 value depends entirely on whether injuries open the room again.

Nailor came out of Michigan State as Minnesota's 6th-round pick (191st overall) in 2022 after recovering from multiple soft-tissue injuries that compressed his college production. He has spent four NFL seasons as Justin Jefferson's backup WR3/4, with brief flashes of usable production when injuries hit the room (Jordan Addison's 2025 suspension, Justin Jefferson's 2024 hamstring stretch). The 2025 #62 (tier 8) finish marked his third straight bottom-tier ranking despite the targets he absorbed during Addison's three-game absence.

Strengths

  • Sub-4.4 forty plus Michigan State pedigree gives him a defined deep-threat skill set in Kevin O'Connell's offense.
  • Wk 15 2025's 19.5 PPR shows the spike-week ceiling when the QB scripts him a target share. Four seasons of NFL survival from a 6th-round pick is the meaningful sample.

Concerns

  • Five 2025 weeks of zero PPR (Wks 12, 13, 16, 17) plus a sub-3 PPR Wk 11 is the floor of a healthy scratch every other week.
  • Behind Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and the incoming TE additions in O'Connell's scheme, there is no obvious path to a defined WR3 role.

What to watch: Whether Minnesota retains him through 2026 final cuts or moves on for a younger UDFA at the league minimum.

Fantasy Outlook

Jalen Nailor scored 6 PPR points, 5.7 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

Related Tools & Pages