Jalen Nailor
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
STM Take
Three straight tier 8 finishes (#131, #58, #62) define the role. Wk 15 2025's 19.5 PPR is the entire fantasy-relevant moment of his season; five of his other logged weeks scored zero. He is a deep-bench WR3/4 whose 2026 value depends entirely on whether injuries open the room again.
Nailor came out of Michigan State as Minnesota's 6th-round pick (191st overall) in 2022 after recovering from multiple soft-tissue injuries that compressed his college production. He has spent four NFL seasons as Justin Jefferson's backup WR3/4, with brief flashes of usable production when injuries hit the room (Jordan Addison's 2025 suspension, Justin Jefferson's 2024 hamstring stretch). The 2025 #62 (tier 8) finish marked his third straight bottom-tier ranking despite the targets he absorbed during Addison's three-game absence.
Strengths
- Sub-4.4 forty plus Michigan State pedigree gives him a defined deep-threat skill set in Kevin O'Connell's offense.
- Wk 15 2025's 19.5 PPR shows the spike-week ceiling when the QB scripts him a target share. Four seasons of NFL survival from a 6th-round pick is the meaningful sample.
Concerns
- Five 2025 weeks of zero PPR (Wks 12, 13, 16, 17) plus a sub-3 PPR Wk 11 is the floor of a healthy scratch every other week.
- Behind Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and the incoming TE additions in O'Connell's scheme, there is no obvious path to a defined WR3 role.
What to watch: Whether Minnesota retains him through 2026 final cuts or moves on for a younger UDFA at the league minimum.
Fantasy Outlook
Jalen Nailor scored 99 PPR points, 5.8 per game this season. Compare him against any WR and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.
