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Jalen Nailor

WR·Las Vegas Raiders·#9·6'0"·191 lb·4th year·Michigan State
Tier 1Round 6, pick 191 in 2022
Updated November 4, 2026
67.3
Model Score
Down from 70.3 last year
Trade value ·a 7th

Jalen Nailor has 12 catches, 113 receiving yards and 1 touchdown in 6 games for the Las Vegas Raiders this season through Week 8, 4.9 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 3.0 from last season.

60708067.3202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A deep-bench receiver who matters only when injuries hit.

The case for

  • Sub-4.4 forty plus Michigan State pedigree gives him a defined deep-threat skill set in Kevin O'Connell's offense.
  • Wk 15 2025's 19.5 PPR shows the spike-week ceiling when the QB scripts him a target share. Four seasons of NFL survival from a 6th-round pick is the meaningful sample.

The worry

  • Five 2025 weeks of zero PPR (Wks 12, 13, 16, 17) plus a sub-3 PPR Wk 11 is the floor of a healthy scratch every other week.
  • Behind Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and the incoming TE additions in O'Connell's scheme, there is no obvious path to a defined WR3 role.

What to watch: Whether Minnesota retains him through 2026 final cuts or moves on for a younger UDFA at the league minimum.

Full take and bio

Three straight tier 8 finishes (#131, #58, #62) define the role. Wk 15 2025's 19.5 PPR is the entire fantasy-relevant moment of his season; five of his other logged weeks scored zero. He is a deep-bench WR3/4 whose 2026 value depends entirely on whether injuries open the room again.

Nailor came out of Michigan State as Minnesota's 6th-round pick (191st overall) in 2022 after recovering from multiple soft-tissue injuries that compressed his college production. He has spent four NFL seasons as Justin Jefferson's backup WR3/4, with brief flashes of usable production when injuries hit the room (Jordan Addison's 2025 suspension, Justin Jefferson's 2024 hamstring stretch). The 2025 #62 (tier 8) finish marked his third straight bottom-tier ranking despite the targets he absorbed during Addison's three-game absence.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Dante Pettis, Keith Mumphery, Chris Chambers. Built like: Rashad Greene, Kendall Wright, Steve Breaston. Coming out: Shelton Gibson, LaVon Brazill, Denarius Moore.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 0 stars, 3 starters, 12 backups, 5 didn't stick.

Jalen Nailor Props This Weekat NYJ

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions1.5-125 Bovada-105 Bovada
Receiving yards16.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Jalen's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Jalen Nailor Injury StatusNot listed

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 6 games

Rec12
Rec Yds113
Rec TD1
Targets25
Yds/Gm18.8
Fantasy PPG4.9
EPA / target1.281
Avg separation2.2 yd
Avg cushion5.5 yd
YAC over exp-0.4
Catch %50.0%

4.9 fantasy points a game, 29 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$4.6M
APY
$11.7M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$18.0M
Years on Deal
3
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$5.8M/yr
overpaid by $5.9M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Jalen Nailor at WR99 (the public consensus says WR85); the model has 39 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits NYJ.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 6, pick 191 to the Minnesota Vikings in 2022, out of Michigan State (Big Ten).

Taken#191
Our college model#252 WR

In college, 2018-2021, 26 games: 86 rec, 1,458 yds, 12 TD, 17.0 yds/rec.

Recruited

Class of 2018 · Receiver · High school: Bishop Gorman, Las Vegas, NV

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 750 in the nation. Composite 0.8635, the recruiting sites' average
Offer strength, our grade
67 of 100
Better offers than 99% of the 2018 class. How it is made
Offers
11
Schools that offered him a scholarship
Committed to
Michigan State

His offer board, and the recruits whose boards look like it now →

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