Tyler Allgeier
Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
STM Take
Three straight tier 8 finishes (#54, #40, #58) confirm the post-Bijan ceiling: power-back complement with one or two spike weeks per season. Wk 13 2025's 13.5 PPR was the year's high point; six of his other 2025 games scored under 9 PPR. He is what he has been since 2023, and Atlanta's commitment to Bijan as the lead is the structural ceiling.
Allgeier came out of BYU as Atlanta's 5th-round pick (151st overall) in 2022 after a 1,601-rushing-yard senior season that earned him 1st-team All-Independent honors. His rookie 2022 produced 1,035 rushing yards on 4.9 yards per carry, the high point of his NFL career and a meaningful 5th-round value find. The 2023 Bijan Robinson draft completely reshaped his role, and he has spent three seasons since as the power-back complement to Bijan, taking goal-line and short-yardage carries while the lead role belongs to Robinson.
Strengths
- Rookie 2022 produced 1,035 rushing yards on 4.9 YPC, a starter-grade sample that established his floor as a power-back complement.
- Career goal-line and short-yardage usage gives him standalone TD-dependent value; he has averaged 4-6 rushing TDs per season since Bijan's arrival.
Concerns
- Three straight tier 8 finishes since Bijan's 2023 arrival shows the role is locked at backup. The STTM arc (#54, #40, #58) is essentially flat with year-to-year noise.
- Six of his last eight 2025 games scored under 9 PPR. Bijan's lock on lead duties through 2027 caps the ceiling for the foreseeable future.
What to watch: Whether Allgeier's goal-line role survives 2026 or whether Atlanta gives the short-yardage work to Bijan to maximize his volume.
Fantasy Outlook
Tyler Allgeier scored 123 PPR points, 7.2 per game this season. Compare him against any RB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.
