Weekly Lines · 2026
Week 3.
16 games, 1 play posted before kickoff. 0 of 16 played so far. Our number on the three biggest disagreements is free; the rest is the Betting Pass until the week settles.
This week's plays: no graded plays yet. Season through week 3: no graded plays yet.
| Game | Market | Total | Our number | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 KC @  MIASun, Sep 27 13:00 ET | MIA +7.5 | 44.5 | MIA -1.7 | Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET |
 NYJ @  DETSun, Sep 27 13:00 ET | DET -9.5 | 45.5 | DET -2.2 | Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET |
 ATL @  GBThu, Sep 24 20:15 ET | GB -7.5 | 46.5 | GB -1 | Thu, Sep 24 20:15 ET |
 LA @  DENSun, Sep 27 20:20 ET | DEN +3 | 45.5 | DEN ••• | Sun, Sep 27 20:20 ET |
 ARI @  SFSun, Sep 27 16:05 ET | SF -11.5 | 46.5 | SF ••• | Sun, Sep 27 16:05 ET |
 BAL @  DALSun, Sep 27 16:25 ET | DAL +2.5 | 51.5 | DAL ••• | Sun, Sep 27 16:25 ET |
 CAR @  CLESun, Sep 27 13:00 ET | CLE +1.5 | 39.5 | CLE ••• | Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET |
 CIN @  PITSun, Sep 27 13:00 ET | PIT +1.5 | 46.5 | PIT ••• | Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET |
 LV @  NOSun, Sep 27 16:25 ET | NO -3.5 | 42.5 | NO ••• | Sun, Sep 27 16:25 ET |
 SEA @  WASSun, Sep 27 13:00 ET | WAS +3.5 | 46.5 | WAS ••• | Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET |
 TEN @  NYGSun, Sep 27 13:00 ET | NYG -3 | 44.5 | NYG ••• | Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET |
 HOU @  INDSun, Sep 27 13:00 ET | IND +1.5 | 45.5 | IND ••• | Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET |
 PHI @  CHIMon, Sep 28 20:15 ET | CHI -1.5 | 46.5 | CHI ••• | Mon, Sep 28 20:15 ET |
 MIN @  TBSun, Sep 27 16:05 ET | TB -1.5 | 44.5 | TB ••• | Sun, Sep 27 16:05 ET |
 NE @  JAXSun, Sep 27 13:00 ET | JAX -1.5 | 45.5 | JAX ••• | Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET |
 LAC @  BUFSun, Sep 27 13:00 ET | BUF -3 | 48.5 | BUF ••• | Sun, Sep 27 13:00 ET |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
CAR @ CLE TOTAL- over when low total (41 or under), early season 247-201 (55%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. Every play is graded at the number we posted before kickoff, never at the closing line. A TEST rule is pre-registered to settle a question in public and is never counted in the record.