Game lines · 2026

NFL Week 7 Game Lines and Plays, 2026

14 games, 21 bets on the card. 1 of 14 played. Our number and the card on every game, open before kickoff.

Game lines

Game	Line	Our number	Final
KC @ SEASun, Oct 25 20:20 ET	SEA -3o/u 42.5 · opened -2.5	SEA +1.8	See the matchup →
1 on the card, 3 prop spots, 8 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
DAL @ PHIMon, Oct 26 20:15 ET	PHI +4.5o/u 44.5	PHI +1.9	See the matchup →
2 on the card, 1 prop spot, 9 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
PIT @ NOSun, Oct 25 09:30 ET	NO +3o/u 44.5 · opened +2.5	NO +0.9	See the matchup →
2 on the card, 5 prop spots, 8 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
NYG @ HOUSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET	HOU -10.5o/u 42.5 · opened -5.5	HOU -8.4	See the matchup →
2 on the card, 2 prop spots, 3 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
GB @ DETSun, Oct 25 16:25 ET	DET -3o/u 53.5	DET -4.6	See the matchup →
1 on the card, 4 prop spots, 11 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
SF @ ATLSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET	ATL +2.5o/u 49.5 · opened +4.5	ATL +4	See the matchup →
1 on the card, 0 prop spots, 13 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
LA @ LVSun, Oct 25 16:25 ET	LV +3.5o/u 48.5 · opened +7	LV +2	See the matchup →
2 on the card, 1 prop spot, 13 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
CIN @ BALSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET	BAL -1.5o/u 48.5 · opened -3.5	BAL -0.4	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 3 prop spots, 9 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
DEN @ ARISun, Oct 25 16:05 ET	ARI +4.5o/u 43.5 · opened +5.5	ARI +3.6	See the matchup →
1 on the card, 1 prop spot, 14 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
MIA @ NYJSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET	NYJ -4.5o/u 39.5 · opened -2.5	NYJ -5.3	See the matchup →
1 on the card, 4 prop spots, 2 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
CLE @ TENSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET	TEN +1.5o/u 37.5 · opened -2.5	TEN +1	See the matchup →
0 on the card, 3 prop spots, 10 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
IND @ MINSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET	MIN -6.5o/u 41.5 · opened -2.5	MIN -6	See the matchup →
3 on the card, 3 prop spots, 9 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
TB @ CARSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET	CAR -3o/u 44.5 · opened +1.5	CAR -2.5	See the matchup →
3 on the card, 1 prop spot, 9 watching on this game. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →
NE @ CHIThu, Oct 22 20:15 ET	CHI -3o/u 50.5 · opened -1.5	CHI -3.4	NE 24 at CHI 30CHI -3 closed · CHI coveredSee the matchup →
On the card (2) CHI -3 0.25uNE at CHI · claude pass: script play + bet score 50 (team history, the line moved) Drake Maye under 28.5 rushing yards 0.25uNE at CHI · projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 62 (the grid) Prop spots (3) 75Rome Odunze under 44.5 receiving yards spot underNE allows #27 to WRs, 0.88x league 72A.J. Brown over 67.5 receiving yards (-125) spot overCHI allows #7 to WRs, 1.11x league 56Rhamondre Stevenson under 18.5 receiving yards spot underCHI allows #26 to RBs, 0.84x league Watching, not bets (10) Over 50.5 watchingangle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 0 left + bet score 50 (the v8 total) Under 50.5 watchingbet score 57 (team history) (contradicts the read) Rome Odunze under 45.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + bet score 74 (player line, the grid) D'Andre Swift under 62.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 58 (player line, the grid) (contradicts the read) Hunter Henry over 33.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 78 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) Eli Raridon over 13.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 78 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) Colston Loveland over 44.5 receiving yards watchingbet score 79 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read) TreVeyon Henderson under 30.5 rushing yards watchingbet score 66 (the grid, the story) Kalif Raymond under 2.5 catches watchingbet score 58 (the grid) Rhamondre Stevenson under 18.5 receiving yards watchingprop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + bet score 76 (player line, the grid) Graded in public at 0 units until they earn a record. Never counted in the record. The full sheet: the plan, every line, the script →

Market and our number as posted before kickoff; the closing line and cover show once a game settles. Triggers is how much we have on the game: click it.

Matchups

One page per game: the line and how it moved, who is out, where the two teams collide, and every trend and angle on it.

PIT @

NONO +3 · o/u 44.57 triggersSun, Oct 25 09:30 ET

CIN @

BALBAL -1.5 · o/u 48.53 triggersSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET

CLE @

TENTEN +1.5 · o/u 37.53 triggersSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET

IND @

MINMIN -6.5 · o/u 41.56 triggersSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET

MIA @

NYJNYJ -4.5 · o/u 39.55 triggersSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET

NYG @

HOUHOU -10.5 · o/u 42.54 triggersSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET

Model trends

82 fire in week 7. Thursday has 6. Logged before kickoff, graded after. The number is confidence, where 50 is a coin flip; the bright bar is this spot, the faded bar is everywhere else. Every card opens its game.

Cut it

The week's card and what fired, by email

The official card, graded 12 picks in 1 games

Small plays: 2-0 (+0.5u)Watching: 6-4

Every pick stamped before kickoff, graded at the price we posted.

NE at CHI2-0 (+0.5u)

Small play, 0.25uCHI -3 Script play: bet score 50 (team history, the line moved)WIN
Small play, 0.25uDrake Maye under 28.5 rushing yards Early-week under: projection under at its first number: +324u at the opening line 2021-25, every season up, 55.5% in the 2024-25 holdout; break-even at the close, so early only + bet score 62 (the grid)WIN
Watching, 0uOver 50.5 Angle card, 2 reasons (53.2% in the 2020-2025 replay); calm wind not counted, 0 left + bet score 50 (the v8 total)WIN
Watching, 0uUnder 50.5 Bet score 57 (team history) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uRome Odunze under 45.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + bet score 74 (player line, the grid)LOSS
Watching, 0uD'Andre Swift under 62.5 rushing yards Bet score 58 (player line, the grid) (contradicts the read)LOSS
Watching, 0uHunter Henry over 33.5 receiving yards Bet score 78 (where the line misses, the grid, the story)WIN
Watching, 0uEli Raridon over 13.5 receiving yards Bet score 78 (where the line misses, the grid, the story)WIN
Watching, 0uColston Loveland over 44.5 receiving yards Bet score 79 (where the line misses, the grid, the story) (contradicts the read)WIN
Watching, 0uTreVeyon Henderson under 30.5 rushing yards Bet score 66 (the grid, the story)WIN
Watching, 0uKalif Raymond under 2.5 catches Bet score 58 (the grid)WIN
Watching, 0uRhamondre Stevenson under 18.5 receiving yards Prop spot: his record in this spot and the defense agree + bet score 76 (player line, the grid)LOSS

Thursday 1 game · 6 fire

Patriots at BearsThu 8:15 PM ET

6Sheet →

player line

75Rome Odunze under 44.5 receiving yards (-115): 8 of 8 in prime time

8 of 8, 100% in this spot

15 of 27, 56% everywhere else

Under · WR · CHINE at CHI, Thu, Oct 22NE allows #27 to WRs, 0.88x league (124.5 vs 142.1 a game)

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 2	at HOU	33.0	no
2024 wk 13	at DET	25.0	no
2024 wk 15	at MIN	39.0	no
2024 wk 17	vs SEA	15.0	no
2025 wk 1	vs MIN	37.0	no
2025 wk 6	at WAS	32.0	no
2025 wk 13	at PHI	8.0	no
2026 wk 3	vs PHI	44.0	no

player line

72A.J. Brown over 67.5 receiving yards (-125): 11 of 16 on the road

11 of 16, 69% in this spot

5 of 14, 36% everywhere else

Over · WR · NENE at CHI, Thu, Oct 22CHI allows #7 to WRs, 1.11x league (158.0 vs 142.1 a game)

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2025 wk 2	at KC	27.0	no
2025 wk 4	at TB	7.0	no
2025 wk 6	at NYG	80.0	yes
2025 wk 7	at MIN	121.0	yes
2025 wk 10	at GB	13.0	no
2025 wk 12	at DAL	110.0	yes
2025 wk 14	at LAC	100.0	yes
2025 wk 16	at WAS	95.0	yes
2025 wk 17	at BUF	68.0	yes
2026 wk 1	at SEA	26.0	no

team history

62The Bears have gone under 11 of 15 in prime time

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

20 of 43, 46% everywhere else

CHINE at CHI2023-2026, new coach in 2025, new QB in 2024

The 15 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 7	at NE	no
2026 wk 3	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 17	at SF	no
2025 wk 16	at GB	yes
2025 wk 13	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 6	at WAS	yes
2025 wk 1	at MIN	no
2024 wk 17	at SEA	yes
2024 wk 15	at MIN	yes
2024 wk 13	at DET	yes
2024 wk 2	at HOU	yes
2023 wk 12	at MIN	yes
2023 wk 10	at CAR	yes
2023 wk 8	at LAC	yes
2023 wk 5	at WAS	no

his history

58D'Andre Swift has 8 of his last 10 games in prime time with 50+ rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

26 of 49, 53% everywhere else

RB · BearsNE at CHI, Thu, Oct 222024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Sep 15 24	at HOU (+6)	18	no
Thu, Nov 28 24	at DET (+9.5)	39	no
Mon, Dec 16 24	at MIN (+7)	79	yes
Thu, Dec 26 24	vs SEA (+3.5)	53	yes
Mon, Sep 8 25	vs MIN (+1.5)	53	yes
Mon, Oct 13 25	at WAS (+5.5)	108	yes
Fri, Nov 28 25	at PHI (+7)	125	yes
Sat, Dec 20 25	vs GB (-1.5)	58	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	at SF (+3.5)	54	yes
Mon, Sep 28 26	vs PHI (+3.5)	84	yes

+ 2 more on this game

player line

56Rhamondre Stevenson under 18.5 receiving yards (-115)

23 of 35, 66% in this spot

23 of 35, 66% everywhere else

Under · RB · NENE at CHI, Thu, Oct 22CHI allows #26 to RBs, 0.84x league (26.5 vs 31.4 a game)

team history

54The Bears have covered 7 of 9 outdoors in prime time

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

23 of 43, 54% everywhere else

CHINE at CHI2023-2026, new coach in 2025, new QB in 2024

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 7	at NE	yes
2026 wk 3	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 17	at SF	no
2025 wk 16	at GB	yes
2025 wk 13	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 6	at WAS	yes
2025 wk 1	at MIN	no
2024 wk 17	at SEA	yes
2023 wk 5	at WAS	yes

Sunday early 8 games · 53 fire

Steelers at SaintsSun 9:30 AM ET

7Sheet →

player line

79Chris Olave over 5.5 catches (-145): 14 of 19 indoors

14 of 19, 74% in this spot

3 of 11, 27% everywhere else

Over · WR · NOPIT at NO, Sun, Oct 25PIT allows #6 to WRs, 1.1x league (12.3 vs 11.2 a game)

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2025 wk 6	vs NE	6.0	yes
2025 wk 8	vs TB	8.0	yes
2025 wk 9	at LA	3.0	no
2025 wk 12	vs ATL	9.0	yes
2025 wk 15	vs CAR	6.0	yes
2025 wk 16	vs NYJ	10.0	yes
2026 wk 1	at DET	10.0	yes
2026 wk 3	vs LV	9.0	yes
2026 wk 4	vs ATL	8.0	yes
2026 wk 5	vs MIN	4.0	no

his history

77Chris Olave has 9 of his last 10 games at home with over 5.5 catches.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

14 of 32, 44% everywhere else

WR · SaintsPIT at NO, Sun, Oct 252025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Sep 14 25	vs SF (+3)	6	yes
Sun, Oct 5 25	vs NYG (-1.5)	7	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	vs NE (+3.5)	6	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs TB (+4.5)	8	yes
Sun, Nov 23 25	vs ATL (-1.5)	9	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	vs CAR (+2.5)	6	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs NYJ (-6.5)	10	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	vs LV (-3.5)	9	yes
Mon, Oct 5 26	vs ATL (-1.5)	8	yes
Sun, Oct 11 26	vs MIN (+2.5)	4	no

player line

74Noah Fant over 11.5 receiving yards (-110)

24 of 31, 77% in this spot

24 of 31, 77% everywhere else

Over · TE · NOPIT at NO, Sun, Oct 25PIT allows #7 to TEs, 1.13x league (60.6 vs 53.6 a game)

player line

55Juwan Johnson over 31.5 receiving yards (-115)

23 of 38, 61% in this spot

23 of 38, 61% everywhere else

Over · TE · NOPIT at NO, Sun, Oct 25PIT allows #7 to TEs, 1.13x league (60.6 vs 53.6 a game)

+ 3 more on this game

player line

54Jaylen Warren under 3.5 catches (-150): 15 of 19 on the road

15 of 19, 79% in this spot

12 of 18, 67% everywhere else

Under · RB · PITPIT at NO, Sun, Oct 25NO allows #29 to RBs, 0.82x league (3.5 vs 4.3 a game)

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2025 wk 3	at NE	5.0	yes
2025 wk 7	at CIN	4.0	yes
2025 wk 10	at LAC	2.0	no
2025 wk 12	at CHI	0.0	no
2025 wk 14	at BAL	3.0	no
2025 wk 16	at DET	2.0	no
2025 wk 17	at CLE	0.0	no
2026 wk 2	at NE	2.0	no
2026 wk 4	at CLE	3.0	no
2026 wk 6	at TB	2.0	no

player line

54Tyler Shough over 229.5 passing yards (-115)

11 of 17, 65% in this spot

11 of 17, 65% everywhere else

Over · QB · NOPIT at NO, Sun, Oct 25PIT allows #5 to QBs, 1.1x league (250.8 vs 227.4 a game)

team history

52The Saints have gone under 11 of 15 at home when our model likes them

11 of 15, 73% in this spot

23 of 42, 55% everywhere else

NOPIT at NO2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2025

The 15 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 15	at CAR	yes
2025 wk 6	at NE	yes
2025 wk 5	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 2	at SF	no
2025 wk 1	at ARI	yes
2024 wk 17	at LV	yes
2024 wk 15	at WAS	yes
2024 wk 13	at LA	yes
2024 wk 11	at CLE	no
2024 wk 7	at DEN	no
2024 wk 6	at TB	no
2024 wk 3	at PHI	yes
2023 wk 15	at NYG	yes
2023 wk 14	at CAR	yes
2023 wk 4	at TB	yes

Bengals at RavensSun 1:00 PM ET

13Sheet →

his history

77Tee Higgins has 8 of his last 10 games in division games with a receiving touchdown.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

16 of 41, 39% everywhere else

WR · BengalsCIN at BAL, Sun, Oct 252024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Oct 6 24	vs BAL (+2.5)	2	yes
Sun, Oct 20 24	at CLE (-5.5)	1	yes
Sun, Dec 1 24	vs PIT (-3)	1	yes
Sun, Dec 22 24	vs CLE (-10)	1	yes
Sat, Jan 4 24	at PIT (-2.5)	0	no
Sun, Sep 7 25	at CLE (-5.5)	0	no
Thu, Oct 16 25	vs PIT (+5.5)	1	yes
Sun, Nov 16 25	at PIT (+5.5)	1	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	vs CLE (-9.5)	1	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	at PIT (-3.5)	1	yes

his history

71Zay Flowers has 9 of his last 10 games outdoors as a favorite with 50+ receiving yards.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

8 of 15, 53% everywhere else

WR · RavensCIN at BAL, Sun, Oct 252025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Oct 30 25	at MIA (-7.5)	64	yes
Sun, Nov 16 25	at CLE (-7.5)	78	yes
Sun, Nov 23 25	vs NYJ (-14)	58	yes
Thu, Nov 27 25	vs CIN (-7)	6	no
Sun, Dec 7 25	vs PIT (-5.5)	124	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	at CIN (-2.5)	68	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs NE (-3.5)	84	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	at PIT (-4.5)	138	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs TEN (-11.5)	118	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	at CLE (-3)	66	yes

his history

66Chase Brown has 8 of his last 10 games in division games with over 47.5 rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 33, 46% everywhere else

RB · BengalsCIN at BAL, Sun, Oct 252024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Nov 7 24	at BAL (+6)	42	no
Sun, Dec 1 24	vs PIT (-3)	70	yes
Sun, Dec 22 24	vs CLE (-10)	91	yes
Sun, Sep 7 25	at CLE (-5.5)	43	no
Thu, Oct 16 25	vs PIT (+5.5)	108	yes
Sun, Nov 16 25	at PIT (+5.5)	99	yes
Thu, Nov 27 25	at BAL (+7)	78	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	vs BAL (+2.5)	53	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	vs CLE (-9.5)	72	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	at PIT (-3.5)	61	yes

team history

65The Bengals have covered 10 of 13 in a division game when our model likes them

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

48 of 88, 55% everywhere else

CINCIN at BAL2020-2026, Taylor and Burrow

The 13 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 7	at PIT	yes
2023 wk 12	at PIT	no
2023 wk 1	at CLE	no
2022 wk 14	at CLE	yes
2022 wk 11	at PIT	yes
2022 wk 5	at BAL	yes
2021 wk 18	at CLE	yes
2021 wk 12	at PIT	yes
2021 wk 7	at BAL	yes
2020 wk 17	at BAL	no
2020 wk 15	at PIT	yes
2020 wk 7	at CLE	yes
2020 wk 2	at CLE	yes

+ 9 more on this game

team history

64The Ravens have covered 10 of 13 as a favorite after a loss

10 of 13, 77% in this spot

20 of 43, 46% everywhere else

BALCIN at BAL2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 13 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 15	at CIN	yes
2025 wk 14	at PIT	no
2025 wk 8	at CHI	yes
2025 wk 4	at KC	no
2025 wk 2	at CLE	yes
2024 wk 15	at NYG	yes
2024 wk 12	at LAC	yes
2024 wk 9	at DEN	yes
2024 wk 3	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 2	at LV	no
2023 wk 11	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 6	at TEN	yes
2023 wk 4	at CLE	yes

team history

64The Ravens have gone over 7 of 8 as a home favorite in a division game

7 of 8, 88% in this spot

28 of 49, 57% everywhere else

BALCIN at BAL2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 14	at PIT	yes
2025 wk 13	at CIN	no
2025 wk 2	at CLE	yes
2024 wk 18	at CLE	yes
2024 wk 16	at PIT	yes
2024 wk 10	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 11	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 10	at CLE	yes

player line

64Samaje Perine under 21.5 rushing yards (-120)

26 of 36, 72% in this spot

26 of 36, 72% everywhere else

Under · RB · CINCIN at BAL, Sun, Oct 25BAL allows #25 to RBs, 0.87x league (81.6 vs 93.6 a game)

player line

62Tee Higgins over 64.5 receiving yards (-115): 6 of 10 in division games outdoors

6 of 10, 60% in this spot

8 of 22, 36% everywhere else

Over · WR · CINCIN at BAL, Sun, Oct 25BAL allows #2 to WRs, 1.19x league (169.7 vs 142.1 a game)

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 5	vs BAL	83.0	yes
2024 wk 7	at CLE	82.0	yes
2024 wk 13	vs PIT	69.0	yes
2024 wk 16	vs CLE	58.0	no
2024 wk 18	at PIT	53.0	no
2025 wk 1	at CLE	33.0	no
2025 wk 7	vs PIT	96.0	yes
2025 wk 11	at PIT	63.0	no
2025 wk 18	vs CLE	67.0	yes
2026 wk 3	at PIT	90.0	yes

team history

62The Ravens have gone over 13 of 17 after a loss

13 of 17, 76% in this spot

22 of 40, 55% everywhere else

BALCIN at BAL2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 17 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 3	at DAL	yes
2025 wk 17	at GB	yes
2025 wk 15	at CIN	no
2025 wk 14	at PIT	yes
2025 wk 8	at CHI	yes
2025 wk 6	at LA	no
2025 wk 5	at HOU	yes
2025 wk 4	at KC	yes
2025 wk 2	at CLE	yes
2024 wk 15	at NYG	yes
2024 wk 12	at LAC	yes
2024 wk 9	at DEN	yes
2024 wk 3	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 2	at LV	yes
2023 wk 11	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 6	at TEN	no
2023 wk 4	at CLE	no

team history

59The Bengals have covered 6 of 8 as a road underdog when our model likes them

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

52 of 93, 56% everywhere else

CINCIN at BAL2020-2026, Taylor and Burrow

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 6	at GB	yes
2025 wk 4	at DEN	no
2022 wk 5	at BAL	yes
2021 wk 18	at CLE	yes
2021 wk 7	at BAL	yes
2020 wk 16	at HOU	yes
2020 wk 13	at MIA	no
2020 wk 2	at CLE	yes

his history

58Derrick Henry has 8 of his last 10 games at home with a rushing touchdown.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

20 of 38, 53% everywhere else

RB · RavensCIN at BAL, Sun, Oct 252025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Mon, Sep 22 25	vs DET (-4.5)	1	yes
Sun, Oct 5 25	vs HOU (+2.5)	1	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	vs LA (+7)	0	no
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs CHI (-2.5)	2	yes
Sun, Nov 23 25	vs NYJ (-14)	2	yes
Thu, Nov 27 25	vs CIN (-7)	1	yes
Sun, Dec 7 25	vs PIT (-5.5)	0	no
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs NE (-3.5)	2	yes
Sun, Sep 20 26	vs NO (-8.5)	1	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs TEN (-11.5)	1	yes

league history

58Unders have hit 47 of 77 in week 7 after the home team lost

47 of 77, 61% in this spot

1335 of 2635, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck lineCIN at BAL2016-2026

player line

56Samaje Perine over 7.5 receiving yards (-120)

22 of 36, 61% in this spot

22 of 36, 61% everywhere else

Over · RB · CINCIN at BAL, Sun, Oct 25BAL allows #8 to RBs, 1.13x league (35.6 vs 31.4 a game)

Browns at TitansSun 1:00 PM ET

3Sheet →

player line

60Jerry Jeudy over 1.5 catches (-190): 7 of 7 as a favorite

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

25 of 32, 78% everywhere else

Over · WR · CLECLE at TEN, Sun, Oct 25TEN allows #4 to WRs, 1.12x league (12.5 vs 11.2 a game)

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 1	vs DAL	3.0	yes
2024 wk 3	vs NYG	4.0	yes
2024 wk 4	at LV	6.0	yes
2024 wk 11	at NO	6.0	yes
2025 wk 7	vs MIA	2.0	yes
2025 wk 10	at NYJ	6.0	yes
2025 wk 14	vs TEN	3.0	yes

player line

58Jerry Jeudy over 22.5 receiving yards (-115): 6 of 7 as a favorite

6 of 7, 86% in this spot

20 of 32, 62% everywhere else

Over · WR · CLECLE at TEN, Sun, Oct 25TEN allows #3 to WRs, 1.18x league (168.1 vs 142.1 a game)

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 1	vs DAL	25.0	yes
2024 wk 3	vs NYG	27.0	yes
2024 wk 4	at LV	72.0	yes
2024 wk 11	at NO	142.0	yes
2025 wk 7	vs MIA	17.0	no
2025 wk 10	at NYJ	78.0	yes
2025 wk 14	vs TEN	76.0	yes

player line

56Cam Ward under 9.5 rushing yards (-110)

15 of 23, 65% in this spot

15 of 23, 65% everywhere else

Under · QB · TENCLE at TEN, Sun, Oct 25CLE allows #30 to QBs, 0.67x league (11.8 vs 17.8 a game)

Colts at VikingsSun 1:00 PM ET

7Sheet →

player line

76Kyler Murray under 25.5 rushing yards (-115): 8 of 9 at home as a favorite

8 of 9, 89% in this spot

5 of 17, 29% everywhere else

Under · QB · MININD at MIN, Sun, Oct 25IND allows #28 to QBs, 0.82x league (14.7 vs 17.8 a game)

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 4	vs WAS	3.0	no
2024 wk 9	vs CHI	6.0	no
2024 wk 14	vs SEA	16.0	no
2024 wk 15	vs NE	11.0	no
2024 wk 18	vs SF	22.0	no
2025 wk 2	vs CAR	32.0	yes
2025 wk 5	vs TEN	25.0	no
2026 wk 1	vs GB	9.0	no
2026 wk 4	vs MIA	16.0	no

his history

72Daniel Jones has 10 of his last 10 games indoors with over 0.5 passing touchdowns.

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

19 of 37, 51% everywhere else

QB · ColtsIND at MIN, Sun, Oct 252025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Sep 7 25	vs MIA (-1.5)	1	yes
Sun, Sep 14 25	vs DEN (+2.5)	1	yes
Sun, Sep 28 25	at LA (+3.5)	1	yes
Sun, Oct 5 25	vs LV (-7)	2	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	vs ARI (-8.5)	2	yes
Sun, Oct 19 25	at LAC (+2.5)	2	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs TEN (-15.5)	3	yes
Sun, Nov 9 25	vs ATL (-6.5)	1	yes
Sun, Nov 30 25	vs HOU (-3)	2	yes
Sun, Sep 13 26	vs BAL (+3)	1	yes

his history

72Jonathan Taylor has 8 of his last 10 games indoors with a rushing touchdown.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

8 of 24, 33% everywhere else

RB · ColtsIND at MIN, Sun, Oct 252025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Oct 5 25	vs LV (-7)	3	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	vs ARI (-8.5)	1	yes
Sun, Oct 19 25	at LAC (+2.5)	3	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs TEN (-15.5)	2	yes
Sun, Nov 9 25	vs ATL (-6.5)	3	yes
Sun, Nov 30 25	vs HOU (-3)	0	no
Mon, Dec 22 25	vs SF (+4.5)	1	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	vs JAX (+3.5)	1	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	at HOU (+9.5)	0	no
Sun, Sep 13 26	vs BAL (+3)	2	yes

player line

68Daniel Jones under 6.5 rushing yards (-115): 7 of 10 indoors

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

7 of 19, 37% everywhere else

Under · QB · INDIND at MIN, Sun, Oct 25MIN allows #27 to QBs, 0.84x league (15.0 vs 17.8 a game)

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2025 wk 1	vs MIA	26.0	yes
2025 wk 2	vs DEN	2.0	no
2025 wk 4	at LA	-1.0	no
2025 wk 5	vs LV	2.0	no
2025 wk 6	vs ARI	20.0	yes
2025 wk 7	at LAC	4.0	no
2025 wk 8	vs TEN	3.0	no
2025 wk 10	vs ATL	53.0	yes
2025 wk 13	vs HOU	1.0	no
2026 wk 1	vs BAL	4.0	no

+ 3 more on this game

league history

58Home teams have covered 37 of 61 in week 7 after the road team lost

37 of 61, 61% in this spot

1266 of 2601, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · MIN hereIND at MIN2016-2026

player line

54Josh Downs under 4.5 catches (-160)

22 of 36, 61% in this spot

22 of 36, 61% everywhere else

Under · WR · INDIND at MIN, Sun, Oct 25MIN allows #31 to WRs, 0.81x league (9.1 vs 11.2 a game)

his history

50Aaron Jones has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 40.5 rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

19 of 31, 61% everywhere else

RB · VikingsIND at MIN, Sun, Oct 252024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Dec 8 24	vs ATL (-6)	73	yes
Mon, Dec 16 24	vs CHI (-7)	86	yes
Sun, Dec 29 24	vs GB (+1)	47	yes
Sun, Sep 14 25	vs ATL (-3.5)	23	no
Sun, Nov 9 25	vs BAL (+4.5)	47	yes
Sun, Nov 16 25	vs CHI (-3)	70	yes
Sun, Dec 7 25	vs WAS (+1.5)	76	yes
Thu, Dec 25 25	vs DET (+7)	53	yes
Sun, Sep 13 26	vs GB (-1.5)	40	no
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs MIA (-10)	94	yes

Dolphins at JetsSun 1:00 PM ET

10Sheet →

player line

75Malik Willis over 29.5 rushing yards (-120): 6 of 9 as an underdog

6 of 9, 67% in this spot

1 of 6, 17% everywhere else

Over · QB · MIAMIA at NYJ, Sun, Oct 25NYJ allows #8 to QBs, 1.13x league (20.0 vs 17.8 a game)

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 1	at PHI	0.0	no
2024 wk 2	vs IND	41.0	yes
2024 wk 3	at TEN	73.0	yes
2025 wk 16	at CHI	44.0	yes
2026 wk 1	at LV	39.0	yes
2026 wk 2	at SF	6.0	no
2026 wk 3	vs KC	56.0	yes
2026 wk 4	at MIN	11.0	no
2026 wk 5	vs CIN	74.0	yes

team history

66The Dolphins have gone over 7 of 9 on the road in a division game

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

22 of 47, 47% everywhere else

MIAMIA at NYJ2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 18	at NE	yes
2025 wk 14	at NYJ	yes
2025 wk 3	at BUF	yes
2024 wk 18	at NYJ	yes
2024 wk 9	at BUF	yes
2024 wk 5	at NE	no
2023 wk 12	at NYJ	yes
2023 wk 4	at BUF	yes
2023 wk 2	at NE	no

player line

60Mason Taylor over 20.5 receiving yards (-110): 4 of 5 in division games

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

6 of 11, 55% everywhere else

Over · TE · NYJMIA at NYJ, Sun, Oct 25MIA allows #3 to TEs, 1.27x league (68.1 vs 53.6 a game)

The 5 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2025 wk 2	vs BUF	5.0	no
2025 wk 4	at MIA	65.0	yes
2025 wk 11	at NE	30.0	yes
2025 wk 14	vs MIA	51.0	yes
2026 wk 6	at NE	33.0	yes

player line

59Mason Taylor over 2.5 catches (-135)

10 of 16, 62% in this spot

10 of 16, 62% everywhere else

Over · TE · NYJMIA at NYJ, Sun, Oct 25MIA allows #2 to TEs, 1.23x league (6.5 vs 5.3 a game)

+ 6 more on this game

team history

58The Dolphins have covered 7 of 10 in a division game after a loss

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

19 of 45, 42% everywhere else

MIAMIA at NYJ2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 10	at BUF	yes
2025 wk 4	at NYJ	yes
2025 wk 3	at BUF	yes
2025 wk 2	at NE	no
2024 wk 14	at NYJ	no
2024 wk 9	at BUF	yes
2024 wk 5	at NE	yes
2023 wk 18	at BUF	no
2023 wk 15	at NYJ	yes
2023 wk 8	at NE	yes

league history

58Home teams have covered 37 of 61 in week 7 after the road team lost

37 of 61, 61% in this spot

1266 of 2601, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · NYJ hereMIA at NYJ2016-2026

league history

58Unders have hit 47 of 77 in week 7 after the home team lost

47 of 77, 61% in this spot

1335 of 2635, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck lineMIA at NYJ2016-2026

player line

53Ollie Gordon II under 1.5 catches (-125): 7 of 7 on the road outdoors

7 of 7, 100% in this spot

11 of 13, 85% everywhere else

Under · RB · MIAMIA at NYJ, Sun, Oct 25NYJ allows #26 to RBs, 0.86x league (3.7 vs 4.3 a game)

The 7 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2025 wk 3	at BUF	0.0	no
2025 wk 5	at CAR	0.0	no
2025 wk 7	at CLE	1.0	no
2025 wk 14	at NYJ	0.0	no
2025 wk 15	at PIT	0.0	no
2025 wk 18	at NE	1.0	no
2026 wk 2	at SF	0.0	no

his history

50Geno Smith has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 6.5 rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

28 of 45, 62% everywhere else

QB · JetsMIA at NYJ, Sun, Oct 252024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Sep 8 24	vs DEN (-6.5)	30	yes
Sun, Sep 15 24	at NE (-3.5)	8	yes
Sun, Sep 22 24	vs MIA (-4)	-2	no
Sun, Oct 6 24	vs NYG (-7)	72	yes
Thu, Dec 26 24	at CHI (-3.5)	19	yes
Sun, Jan 5 24	at LA (-7.5)	14	yes
Sun, Sep 28 25	vs CHI (-1.5)	31	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	vs TEN (-3.5)	-3	no
Sun, Nov 23 25	vs CLE (-3)	8	yes
Sun, Oct 11 26	vs CLE (-2.5)	7	yes

his history

50Greg Dulcich has 8 of his last 10 games as an underdog with over 21.5 receiving yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 8, 62% everywhere else

TE · DolphinsMIA at NYJ, Sun, Oct 252025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Oct 30 25	vs BAL (+7.5)	49	yes
Sun, Nov 9 25	vs BUF (+8.5)	22	yes
Mon, Dec 15 25	at PIT (+3)	46	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs CIN (+3.5)	46	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	vs TB (+5.5)	58	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	at NE (+14)	31	yes
Sun, Sep 13 26	at LV (+3)	18	no
Sun, Sep 20 26	at SF (+12.5)	17	no
Sun, Sep 27 26	vs KC (+10)	55	yes
Sun, Oct 11 26	vs CIN (+7)	37	yes

Giants at TexansSun 1:00 PM ET

6Sheet →

team history

77The Giants have gone over 11 of 14 as an underdog of 7 or more after a loss

11 of 14, 79% in this spot

16 of 43, 37% everywhere else

NYGNYG at HOU2023-2026, new coach and QB in 2026

The 14 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 13	at NE	yes
2025 wk 12	at DET	yes
2025 wk 11	at GB	yes
2025 wk 8	at PHI	yes
2025 wk 6	at PHI	yes
2024 wk 17	at IND	yes
2024 wk 16	at ATL	no
2024 wk 15	at BAL	yes
2024 wk 5	at SEA	yes
2023 wk 16	at PHI	yes
2023 wk 11	at WAS	yes
2023 wk 10	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 6	at BUF	no
2023 wk 5	at MIA	no

player line

65C.J. Stroud over 9.5 rushing yards (-115): 15 of 23 as a favorite

15 of 23, 65% in this spot

7 of 14, 50% everywhere else

Over · QB · HOUNYG at HOU, Sun, Oct 25NYG allows #2 to QBs, 1.43x league (25.4 vs 17.8 a game)

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2025 wk 5	at BAL	30.0	yes
2025 wk 8	vs SF	30.0	yes
2025 wk 9	vs DEN	12.0	yes
2025 wk 15	vs ARI	10.0	yes
2025 wk 16	vs LV	0.0	no
2025 wk 18	vs IND	5.0	no
2026 wk 2	vs CIN	29.0	yes
2026 wk 3	at IND	10.0	yes
2026 wk 4	vs DAL	12.0	yes
2026 wk 5	at TEN	5.0	no

player line

63Foster Moreau under 8.5 receiving yards (-120): 4 of 6 at home as a favorite

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

7 of 22, 32% everywhere else

Under · TE · HOUNYG at HOU, Sun, Oct 25NYG allows #23 to TEs, 0.87x league (46.8 vs 53.6 a game)

The 6 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 1	vs CAR	43.0	yes
2024 wk 3	vs PHI	2.0	no
2025 wk 12	vs ATL	0.0	no
2025 wk 16	vs NYJ	5.0	no
2026 wk 2	vs CIN	34.0	yes
2026 wk 4	vs DAL	1.0	no

league history

58Home teams have covered 37 of 61 in week 7 after the road team lost

37 of 61, 61% in this spot

1266 of 2601, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · HOU hereNYG at HOU2016-2026

+ 2 more on this game

his history

57C.J. Stroud has 8 of his last 10 games at home with over 9.5 rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 26, 58% everywhere else

QB · TexansNYG at HOU, Sun, Oct 252025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Mon, Sep 15 25	vs TB (-2.5)	27	yes
Sun, Sep 28 25	vs TEN (-7.5)	11	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs SF (-2.5)	30	yes
Sun, Nov 2 25	vs DEN (-1.5)	12	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	vs ARI (-10.5)	10	yes
Sun, Dec 21 25	vs LV (-14.5)	0	no
Sun, Jan 4 25	vs IND (-9.5)	5	no
Sun, Sep 13 26	vs BUF (+1.5)	15	yes
Sun, Sep 20 26	vs CIN (-3)	29	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs DAL (-3)	12	yes

league history

54Favorites of 7 or more have covered 12 of 20 in week 7 after the road team lost

12 of 20, 60% in this spot

356 of 735, 48% everywhere else

inside the luck line · HOU hereNYG at HOU2016-2026

49ers at FalconsSun 1:00 PM ET

4Sheet →

his history

72Christian McCaffrey has 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite with a rushing touchdown.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

3 of 13, 23% everywhere else

RB · 49ersSF at ATL, Sun, Oct 252025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Nov 16 25	at ARI (-3.5)	2	yes
Mon, Nov 24 25	vs CAR (-7.5)	1	yes
Sun, Nov 30 25	at CLE (-5.5)	1	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	vs TEN (-12.5)	1	yes
Mon, Dec 22 25	at IND (-4.5)	0	no
Sun, Dec 28 25	vs CHI (-3.5)	1	yes
Sun, Sep 20 26	vs MIA (-12.5)	2	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	vs ARI (-7.5)	1	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs DEN (-3)	1	yes
Mon, Oct 19 26	vs WAS (-7.5)	2	yes

team history

68The 49ers have gone over 20 of 28 when our model likes them

20 of 28, 71% in this spot

21 of 44, 48% everywhere else

SFSF at ATL2022-2026, Shanahan and Purdy

The 28 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 6	at WAS	no
2026 wk 3	at ARI	yes
2026 wk 1	at LA	no
2025 wk 18	at SEA	no
2025 wk 17	at CHI	yes
2025 wk 15	at TEN	yes
2025 wk 10	at LA	yes
2025 wk 9	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 8	at HOU	no
2025 wk 5	at LA	yes
2024 wk 18	at ARI	yes
2024 wk 17	at DET	yes
2024 wk 15	at LA	no
2024 wk 14	at CHI	yes
2024 wk 12	at GB	yes
2024 wk 11	at SEA	no
2024 wk 5	at ARI	no
2024 wk 1	at NYJ	yes
2023 wk 18	at LA	yes
2023 wk 16	at BAL	yes
2023 wk 15	at ARI	yes
2023 wk 8	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 5	at DAL	yes
2022 wk 18	at ARI	yes
2022 wk 16	at WAS	yes
2022 wk 14	at TB	yes
2022 wk 7	at KC	yes
2022 wk 6	at ATL	no

league history

58Unders have hit 47 of 77 in week 7 after the home team lost

47 of 77, 61% in this spot

1335 of 2635, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck lineSF at ATL2016-2026

his history

58Brock Purdy has 8 of his last 10 games on the road with over 1.5 passing touchdowns.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

16 of 30, 53% everywhere else

QB · 49ersSF at ATL, Sun, Oct 252024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Oct 10 24	at SEA (-3.5)	3	yes
Sun, Nov 10 24	at TB (-6.5)	2	yes
Sun, Dec 1 24	at BUF (+6.5)	0	no
Sun, Dec 22 24	at MIA (-2)	2	yes
Sun, Sep 7 25	at SEA (-2.5)	2	yes
Sun, Nov 16 25	at ARI (-3.5)	3	yes
Sun, Nov 30 25	at CLE (-5.5)	1	no
Mon, Dec 22 25	at IND (-4.5)	5	yes
Thu, Sep 10 26	at LA (+3.5)	3	yes
Sun, Oct 11 26	at SEA (+3)	2	yes

Buccaneers at PanthersSun 1:00 PM ET

3Sheet →

his history

72John Metchie III has 10 of his last 10 games outdoors with over 1.5 catches.

10 of 10, 100% in this spot

6 of 18, 33% everywhere else

WR · PanthersTB at CAR, Sun, Oct 252025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Thu, Nov 13 25	at NE (+12.5)	3	yes
Sun, Nov 23 25	at BAL (+14)	6	yes
Sun, Nov 30 25	vs ATL (+3)	4	yes
Sun, Dec 7 25	vs MIA (+2.5)	4	yes
Sun, Dec 14 25	at JAX (+13.5)	4	yes
Sun, Dec 28 25	vs NE (+12.5)	3	yes
Sun, Jan 4 25	at BUF (+12.5)	3	yes
Sun, Sep 27 26	at CLE (-2.5)	2	yes
Sun, Oct 4 26	vs DET (+4.5)	3	yes
Sun, Oct 18 26	at PHI (-3)	2	yes

league history

58Home teams have covered 37 of 61 in week 7 after the road team lost

37 of 61, 61% in this spot

1266 of 2601, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · CAR hereTB at CAR2016-2026

player line

52Tommy Tremble over 1.5 catches (-190): 4 of 5 as a favorite

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

13 of 25, 52% everywhere else

Over · TE · CARTB at CAR, Sun, Oct 25TB allows #5 to TEs, 1.1x league (5.9 vs 5.3 a game)

The 5 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 15	vs DAL	2.0	yes
2025 wk 15	at NO	2.0	yes
2026 wk 2	at ATL	1.0	no
2026 wk 3	at CLE	3.0	yes
2026 wk 6	at PHI	4.0	yes

Sunday late 4 games · 27 fire

Broncos at CardinalsSun 4:05 PM ET

3Sheet →

player line

75Tyler Allgeier under 40.5 rushing yards (-115): 8 of 8 at home as an underdog

8 of 8, 100% in this spot

18 of 32, 56% everywhere else

Under · RB · ARIDEN at ARI, Sun, Oct 25DEN allows #26 to RBs, 0.87x league (81.2 vs 93.6 a game)

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 3	vs KC	32.0	no
2024 wk 13	vs LAC	16.0	no
2025 wk 1	vs TB	24.0	no
2025 wk 6	vs BUF	32.0	no
2025 wk 14	vs SEA	34.0	no
2025 wk 17	vs LA	23.0	no
2026 wk 2	vs SEA	10.0	no
2026 wk 5	vs DET	7.0	no

team history

74The Cardinals have gone over 19 of 27 at home

19 of 27, 70% in this spot

12 of 29, 41% everywhere else

ARIDEN at ARI2023-2026, new coach in 2026, new QB in 2025

The 27 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 5	at DET	yes
2026 wk 2	at SEA	no
2025 wk 16	at ATL	no
2025 wk 14	at LA	yes
2025 wk 12	at JAX	yes
2025 wk 11	at SF	yes
2025 wk 7	at GB	yes
2025 wk 5	at TEN	yes
2025 wk 4	at SEA	no
2025 wk 2	at CAR	yes
2024 wk 18	at SF	yes
2024 wk 15	at NE	yes
2024 wk 14	at SEA	yes
2024 wk 10	at NYJ	no
2024 wk 9	at CHI	no
2024 wk 7	at LAC	no
2024 wk 4	at WAS	yes
2024 wk 3	at DET	no
2024 wk 2	at LA	yes
2023 wk 18	at SEA	no
2023 wk 15	at SF	yes
2023 wk 12	at LA	yes
2023 wk 10	at ATL	yes
2023 wk 8	at BAL	yes
2023 wk 5	at CIN	yes
2023 wk 3	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 2	at NYG	yes

his history

71J.K. Dobbins has 8 of his last 10 games as a favorite with over 48.5 rushing yards.

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

5 of 12, 42% everywhere else

RB · BroncosDEN at ARI, Sun, Oct 252025-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sun, Sep 7 25	vs TEN (-8.5)	63	yes
Sun, Sep 14 25	at IND (-2.5)	76	yes
Mon, Sep 29 25	vs CIN (-7.5)	101	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	at NYJ (-7.5)	40	no
Sun, Oct 19 25	vs NYG (-7.5)	81	yes
Sun, Oct 26 25	vs DAL (-3.5)	111	yes
Thu, Nov 6 25	vs LV (-9.5)	77	yes
Sun, Sep 20 26	vs JAX (-2.5)	36	no
Sun, Sep 27 26	vs LA (-1.5)	49	yes
Sun, Oct 11 26	at LAC (-3.5)	68	yes

Packers at LionsSun 4:25 PM ET

9Sheet →

team history

82The Lions have gone over 14 of 14 as a favorite with extra rest

14 of 14, 100% in this spot

37 of 74, 50% everywhere else

DETGB at DET2021-2026, Campbell and Goff

The 14 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 3	at NYJ	yes
2025 wk 16	at PIT	yes
2025 wk 9	at MIN	yes
2025 wk 5	at CIN	yes
2025 wk 2	at CHI	yes
2024 wk 16	at CHI	yes
2024 wk 15	at BUF	yes
2024 wk 6	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 18	at MIN	yes
2023 wk 13	at NO	yes
2023 wk 10	at LAC	yes
2023 wk 5	at CAR	yes
2023 wk 2	at SEA	yes
2022 wk 13	at JAX	yes

team history

82The Lions have gone over 14 of 16 indoors with extra rest

14 of 16, 88% in this spot

37 of 72, 51% everywhere else

DETGB at DET2021-2026, Campbell and Goff

The 16 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 3	at NYJ	yes
2025 wk 16	at PIT	yes
2025 wk 15	at LA	yes
2025 wk 9	at MIN	yes
2025 wk 2	at CHI	yes
2024 wk 15	at BUF	yes
2024 wk 6	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 18	at MIN	yes
2023 wk 13	at NO	yes
2023 wk 10	at LAC	yes
2023 wk 5	at CAR	yes
2023 wk 2	at SEA	yes
2022 wk 13	at JAX	yes
2022 wk 7	at DAL	no
2021 wk 15	at ARI	no
2021 wk 13	at MIN	yes

player line

80Josh Jacobs under 1.5 catches (-110): 5 of 6 indoors

5 of 6, 83% in this spot

9 of 26, 35% everywhere else

Under · RB · GBGB at DET, Sun, Oct 25DET allows #27 to RBs, 0.83x league (3.6 vs 4.3 a game)

The 6 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 5	at LA	1.0	no
2024 wk 14	at DET	0.0	no
2024 wk 17	at MIN	0.0	no
2025 wk 4	at DAL	4.0	yes
2025 wk 7	at ARI	1.0	no
2025 wk 13	at DET	1.0	no

player line

76Christian Watson over 77.5 receiving yards (-115): 4 of 5 in division games on the road

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

5 of 25, 20% everywhere else

Over · WR · GBGB at DET, Sun, Oct 25DET allows #4 to WRs, 1.16x league (164.5 vs 142.1 a game)

The 5 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 11	at CHI	150.0	yes
2024 wk 14	at DET	114.0	yes
2025 wk 13	at DET	80.0	yes
2025 wk 16	at CHI	17.0	no
2026 wk 1	at MIN	147.0	yes

+ 5 more on this game

player line

76Matthew Golden over 73.5 receiving yards (-115): 3 of 5 as an underdog

3 of 5, 60% in this spot

2 of 15, 13% everywhere else

Over · WR · GBGB at DET, Sun, Oct 25DET allows #4 to WRs, 1.16x league (164.5 vs 142.1 a game)

The 5 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2025 wk 16	at CHI	0.0	no
2025 wk 18	at MIN	8.0	no
2026 wk 1	at MIN	95.0	yes
2026 wk 5	vs CHI	123.0	yes
2026 wk 6	vs DAL	104.0	yes

team history

72The Lions have gone over 20 of 27 as a favorite with a total of 48 or higher

20 of 27, 74% in this spot

31 of 61, 51% everywhere else

DETGB at DET2021-2026, Campbell and Goff

The 27 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 5	at ARI	yes
2026 wk 4	at CAR	yes
2026 wk 3	at NYJ	yes
2026 wk 1	at NO	yes
2025 wk 16	at PIT	yes
2025 wk 14	at DAL	yes
2025 wk 13	at GB	yes
2025 wk 12	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 10	at WAS	yes
2025 wk 7	at TB	no
2025 wk 5	at CIN	yes
2024 wk 18	at MIN	no
2024 wk 17	at SF	yes
2024 wk 15	at BUF	yes
2024 wk 14	at GB	yes
2024 wk 12	at IND	no
2024 wk 6	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 3	at ARI	no
2024 wk 2	at TB	no
2024 wk 1	at LA	no
2023 wk 15	at DEN	yes
2023 wk 11	at CHI	yes
2023 wk 10	at LAC	yes
2022 wk 17	at CHI	no
2022 wk 14	at MIN	yes
2022 wk 13	at JAX	yes
2022 wk 4	at SEA	yes

team history

70The Packers have gone over 10 of 14 as a road underdog

10 of 14, 71% in this spot

19 of 42, 45% everywhere else

GBGB at DET2023-2026, LaFleur and Love

The 14 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 1	at MIN	yes
2025 wk 18	at MIN	no
2025 wk 16	at CHI	no
2025 wk 13	at DET	yes
2024 wk 14	at DET	yes
2024 wk 3	at TEN	yes
2024 wk 1	at PHI	yes
2023 wk 17	at MIN	yes
2023 wk 12	at DET	yes
2023 wk 10	at PIT	yes
2023 wk 7	at DEN	no
2023 wk 5	at LV	no
2023 wk 2	at ATL	yes
2023 wk 1	at CHI	yes

team history

68The Packers have gone over 8 of 11 indoors

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

21 of 45, 47% everywhere else

GBGB at DET2023-2026, LaFleur and Love

The 11 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 1	at MIN	yes
2025 wk 18	at MIN	no
2025 wk 13	at DET	yes
2025 wk 7	at ARI	yes
2025 wk 4	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 17	at MIN	yes
2024 wk 14	at DET	yes
2024 wk 5	at LA	no
2023 wk 17	at MIN	yes
2023 wk 12	at DET	yes
2023 wk 5	at LV	no

player line

63Josh Jacobs under 9.5 receiving yards (-115): 4 of 6 indoors

4 of 6, 67% in this spot

10 of 26, 38% everywhere else

Under · RB · GBGB at DET, Sun, Oct 25DET allows #31 to RBs, 0.72x league (22.7 vs 31.4 a game)

The 6 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 5	at LA	21.0	yes
2024 wk 14	at DET	0.0	no
2024 wk 17	at MIN	0.0	no
2025 wk 4	at DAL	71.0	yes
2025 wk 7	at ARI	3.0	no
2025 wk 13	at DET	8.0	no

Rams at RaidersSun 4:25 PM ET

6Sheet →

player line

68Kyren Williams over 62.5 rushing yards (-115)

28 of 39, 72% in this spot

28 of 39, 72% everywhere else

Over · RB · LALA at LV, Sun, Oct 25LV allows #9 to RBs, 1.1x league (102.8 vs 93.6 a game)

team history

66The Rams have gone over 7 of 9 as a road favorite indoors

7 of 9, 78% in this spot

38 of 82, 46% everywhere else

LALA at LV2021-2026, McVay and Stafford

The 9 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 17	at ATL	yes
2025 wk 14	at ARI	yes
2024 wk 13	at NO	no
2024 wk 2	at ARI	yes
2023 wk 12	at ARI	yes
2022 wk 3	at ARI	no
2021 wk 16	at MIN	yes
2021 wk 8	at HOU	yes
2021 wk 2	at IND	yes

team history

66The Rams have gone under 9 of 12 with a total of 48 or higher after a loss

9 of 12, 75% in this spot

37 of 79, 47% everywhere else

LALA at LV2021-2026, McVay and Stafford

The 12 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 6	at ARI	yes
2025 wk 18	at ARI	no
2025 wk 17	at ATL	no
2025 wk 14	at ARI	no
2025 wk 4	at IND	yes
2024 wk 13	at NO	yes
2024 wk 5	at GB	yes
2023 wk 15	at WAS	yes
2023 wk 6	at ARI	yes
2021 wk 13	at JAX	yes
2021 wk 10	at SF	yes
2021 wk 5	at SEA	yes

league history

58Home teams have covered 37 of 61 in week 7 after the road team lost

37 of 61, 61% in this spot

1266 of 2601, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · LV hereLA at LV2016-2026

+ 2 more on this game

league history

58Unders have hit 47 of 77 in week 7 after the home team lost

47 of 77, 61% in this spot

1335 of 2635, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck lineLA at LV2016-2026

team history

54The Rams have covered 10 of 14 on the road with a total of 48 or higher

10 of 14, 71% in this spot

38 of 75, 51% everywhere else

LALA at LV2021-2026, McVay and Stafford

The 14 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 17	at ATL	no
2025 wk 14	at ARI	yes
2025 wk 10	at SF	yes
2024 wk 15	at SF	yes
2024 wk 13	at NO	yes
2024 wk 9	at SEA	yes
2024 wk 1	at DET	no
2022 wk 3	at ARI	yes
2021 wk 16	at MIN	yes
2021 wk 14	at ARI	yes
2021 wk 10	at SF	no
2021 wk 6	at NYG	yes
2021 wk 5	at SEA	yes
2021 wk 2	at IND	no

Chiefs at SeahawksSun 8:20 PM ET

9Sheet →

team history

77The Chiefs have gone under 8 of 8 on the road when our model likes them

8 of 8, 100% in this spot

67 of 129, 52% everywhere else

KCKC at SEA2018-2026, Reid and Mahomes

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 18	at LV	yes
2025 wk 16	at TEN	yes
2024 wk 18	at DEN	yes
2024 wk 15	at CLE	yes
2023 wk 18	at LAC	yes
2023 wk 8	at DEN	yes
2019 wk 14	at NE	yes
2019 wk 7	at DEN	yes

team history

76The Chiefs have covered 8 of 10 as a road underdog

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

56 of 124, 45% everywhere else

KCKC at SEA2018-2026, Reid and Mahomes

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2024 wk 18	at DEN	no
2024 wk 11	at BUF	no
2024 wk 7	at SF	yes
2023 wk 18	at LAC	yes
2022 wk 4	at TB	yes
2020 wk 3	at BAL	yes
2019 wk 14	at NE	yes
2018 wk 6	at NE	yes
2018 wk 2	at PIT	yes
2018 wk 1	at LAC	yes

player line

75Rashid Shaheed under 24.5 receiving yards (-120): 10 of 12 outdoors as a favorite

10 of 12, 83% in this spot

2 of 18, 11% everywhere else

Under · WR · SEAKC at SEA, Sun, Oct 25KC allows #26 to WRs, 0.88x league (124.7 vs 142.1 a game)

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2025 wk 13	vs MIN	7.0	no
2025 wk 15	vs IND	74.0	yes
2025 wk 16	vs LA	0.0	no
2025 wk 17	at CAR	8.0	no
2025 wk 18	at SF	2.0	no
2026 wk 1	vs NE	4.0	no
2026 wk 3	at WAS	14.0	no
2026 wk 4	vs LAC	20.0	no
2026 wk 5	vs SF	23.0	no
2026 wk 6	at DEN	66.0	yes

his history

72Patrick Mahomes has 9 of his last 10 games in prime time with over 14.5 rushing yards.

9 of 10, 90% in this spot

20 of 39, 51% everywhere else

QB · ChiefsKC at SEA, Sun, Oct 252024-2026

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
Sat, Dec 21 24	vs HOU (-3.5)	33	yes
Fri, Sep 5 25	at LAC (-3)	57	yes
Sun, Sep 21 25	at NYG (-6)	2	no
Mon, Oct 6 25	at JAX (-3.5)	60	yes
Sun, Oct 12 25	vs DET (-2.5)	32	yes
Mon, Oct 27 25	vs WAS (-10.5)	30	yes
Thu, Nov 27 25	at DAL (-3.5)	30	yes
Sun, Dec 7 25	vs HOU (-4.5)	59	yes
Mon, Sep 14 26	vs DEN (-2.5)	23	yes
Sun, Sep 20 26	vs IND (-6)	17	yes

+ 5 more on this game

player line

66Xavier Worthy under 4.5 catches (-115)

25 of 35, 71% in this spot

25 of 35, 71% everywhere else

Under · WR · KCKC at SEA, Sun, Oct 25SEA allows #29 to WRs, 0.89x league (10.0 vs 11.2 a game)

team history

61The Seahawks have covered 6 of 8 as a favorite with extra rest

6 of 8, 75% in this spot

21 of 45, 47% everywhere else

SEAKC at SEA2023-2026, new coach in 2024, new QB in 2025

The 8 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 2	at ARI	yes
2025 wk 17	at CAR	yes
2025 wk 10	at ARI	yes
2025 wk 9	at WAS	yes
2025 wk 6	at JAX	yes
2025 wk 5	at TB	no
2024 wk 18	at LA	no
2023 wk 3	at CAR	yes

player line

59Xavier Worthy under 49.5 receiving yards (-115): 8 of 10 on the road outdoors

8 of 10, 80% in this spot

15 of 25, 60% everywhere else

Under · WR · KCKC at SEA, Sun, Oct 25SEA allows #32 to WRs, 0.77x league (108.8 vs 142.1 a game)

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 7	at SF	19.0	no
2024 wk 11	at BUF	61.0	yes
2024 wk 12	at CAR	46.0	no
2024 wk 15	at CLE	46.0	no
2024 wk 17	at PIT	79.0	yes
2025 wk 5	at JAX	42.0	no
2025 wk 9	at BUF	23.0	no
2025 wk 11	at DEN	25.0	no
2025 wk 16	at TEN	41.0	no
2026 wk 3	at MIA	20.0	no

team history

58The Seahawks have covered 7 of 10 outdoors with extra rest

7 of 10, 70% in this spot

20 of 43, 46% everywhere else

SEAKC at SEA2023-2026, new coach in 2024, new QB in 2025

The 10 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 17	at CAR	yes
2025 wk 10	at ARI	yes
2025 wk 9	at WAS	yes
2025 wk 6	at JAX	yes
2025 wk 5	at TB	no
2024 wk 16	at MIN	no
2024 wk 11	at SF	yes
2023 wk 14	at SF	yes
2023 wk 6	at CIN	no
2023 wk 3	at CAR	yes

league history

58Unders have hit 47 of 77 in week 7 after the home team lost

47 of 77, 61% in this spot

1335 of 2635, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck lineKC at SEA2016-2026

Monday 1 game · 6 fire

Cowboys at EaglesMon 8:15 PM ET

6Sheet →

player line

73DeVonta Smith over 66.5 receiving yards (-115): 4 of 5 as an underdog

4 of 5, 80% in this spot

10 of 29, 34% everywhere else

Over · WR · PHIDAL at PHI, Mon, Oct 26DAL allows #1 to WRs, 1.2x league (170.4 vs 142.1 a game)

The 5 games

Game	Spot	Stat	Hit
2024 wk 3	at NO	79.0	yes
2024 wk 8	at CIN	85.0	yes
2025 wk 10	at GB	69.0	yes
2025 wk 17	at BUF	25.0	no
2026 wk 6	vs CAR	75.0	yes

team history

70The Eagles have gone over 12 of 16 at home in a division game

12 of 16, 75% in this spot

34 of 75, 45% everywhere else

PHIDAL at PHI2021-2026, Sirianni and Hurts

The 16 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2026 wk 1	at WAS	yes
2025 wk 18	at WAS	yes
2025 wk 8	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 1	at DAL	no
2024 wk 18	at NYG	no
2024 wk 17	at DAL	yes
2024 wk 11	at WAS	no
2023 wk 16	at NYG	yes
2023 wk 9	at DAL	yes
2023 wk 4	at WAS	yes
2022 wk 18	at NYG	no
2022 wk 10	at WAS	yes
2022 wk 6	at DAL	yes
2021 wk 18	at DAL	yes
2021 wk 16	at NYG	yes
2021 wk 15	at WAS	yes

team history

61The Eagles have gone over 8 of 11 in a division game in prime time

8 of 11, 73% in this spot

38 of 80, 48% everywhere else

PHIDAL at PHI2021-2026, Sirianni and Hurts

The 11 games

Game	Spot	Hit
2025 wk 16	at WAS	yes
2025 wk 6	at NYG	yes
2025 wk 1	at DAL	no
2024 wk 11	at WAS	no
2023 wk 16	at NYG	yes
2023 wk 14	at DAL	no
2022 wk 16	at DAL	yes
2022 wk 10	at WAS	yes
2022 wk 6	at DAL	yes
2021 wk 18	at DAL	yes
2021 wk 3	at DAL	yes

league history

61Unders have hit 34 of 52 in October on Monday

34 of 52, 65% in this spot

1348 of 2660, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck lineDAL at PHI2016-2026

+ 2 more on this game

league history

58Home teams have covered 37 of 61 in week 7 after the road team lost

37 of 61, 61% in this spot

1266 of 2601, 49% everywhere else

inside the luck line · PHI hereDAL at PHI2016-2026

league history

58Unders have hit 47 of 77 in week 7 after the home team lost

47 of 77, 61% in this spot

1335 of 2635, 51% everywhere else

inside the luck lineDAL at PHI2016-2026

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