Weekly Lines · 2026
Week 7.
7 games, 1 play posted before kickoff. 0 of 7 played so far. Our number on the three biggest disagreements is free; the rest is the Betting Pass until the week settles.
This week's plays: no graded plays yet. Season through week 7: no graded plays yet.
| Game | Market | Total | Our number | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
PIT @ NOSun, Oct 25 09:30 ET | NO +2.5 | 42.5 | NO -1.8 | Sun, Oct 25 09:30 ET |
SF @ ATLSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET | ATL +4.5 | 47.5 | ATL +0.8 | Sun, Oct 25 13:00 ET |
CIN @ BALSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET | BAL -3.5 | 51.5 | BAL PK | Sun, Oct 25 13:00 ET |
TB @ CARSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET | CAR +1.5 | 45.5 | CAR ••• | Sun, Oct 25 13:00 ET |
NYG @ HOUSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET | HOU -5.5 | 43.5 | HOU ••• | Sun, Oct 25 13:00 ET |
NE @ CHIThu, Oct 22 20:15 ET | CHI -1.5 | 47.5 | CHI ••• | Thu, Oct 22 20:15 ET |
IND @ MINSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET | MIN -2.5 | 46.5 | MIN ••• | Sun, Oct 25 13:00 ET |
The plays
A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.
The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each
MIA @
NYJ - model fades them by 3.0+, at home, less rest than the opponent, division game 45-28 (62%)
- model fades them by 2.0+, at home, less rest than the opponent, division game 63-42 (60%)
Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. Every play is graded at the number we posted before kickoff, never at the closing line. A TEST rule is pre-registered to settle a question in public and is never counted in the record.
PIT
NOSun, Oct 25 09:30 ET
SF
ATLSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET
CIN
BALSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET
TB
CARSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET
NYG
HOUSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET
NE
CHIThu, Oct 22 20:15 ET
IND
MINSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET