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Weekly Lines · 2026

Week 7.

7 games, 1 play posted before kickoff. 0 of 7 played so far. Our number on the three biggest disagreements is free; the rest is the Betting Pass until the week settles.

This week's plays: no graded plays yet. Season through week 7: no graded plays yet.

GameMarketTotalOur numberFinal
PIT @ NOSun, Oct 25 09:30 ETNO +2.542.5NO -1.8Sun, Oct 25 09:30 ET
SF @ ATLSun, Oct 25 13:00 ETATL +4.547.5ATL +0.8Sun, Oct 25 13:00 ET
CIN @ BALSun, Oct 25 13:00 ETBAL -3.551.5BAL PKSun, Oct 25 13:00 ET
TB @ CARSun, Oct 25 13:00 ETCAR +1.545.5CAR •••Sun, Oct 25 13:00 ET
NYG @ HOUSun, Oct 25 13:00 ETHOU -5.543.5HOU •••Sun, Oct 25 13:00 ET
NE @ CHIThu, Oct 22 20:15 ETCHI -1.547.5CHI •••Thu, Oct 22 20:15 ET
IND @ MINSun, Oct 25 13:00 ETMIN -2.546.5MIN •••Sun, Oct 25 13:00 ET
Market and our number as posted before kickoff; the closing line and cover are shown once a game settles.

The plays

A play is an angle with a prior record, staked by that record. The model's number alone is never a play.

The angle board mined, walk-forward record behind each

MIA @ NYJ
NYJ -2.5 1.0u
  • model fades them by 3.0+, at home, less rest than the opponent, division game 45-28 (62%)
  • model fades them by 2.0+, at home, less rest than the opponent, division game 63-42 (60%)

Read it straight. Five rules frozen 2026-08-28 before Week 1, git-timestamped, append-only. Flat 1u. Historical: the frozen card went 91-83, +6.8u over 2015-2025, 7 of 11 winning seasons; the weather family 362-334-11, +19.1u over 2010-2025. Every play is graded at the number we posted before kickoff, never at the closing line. A TEST rule is pre-registered to settle a question in public and is never counted in the record.