Alvin Kamara
New Orleans Saints·#41·5'10"·215 lb·9th year·TennesseeAlvin Kamara has 41 carries for 125 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns and 22 catches for 133 yards in 6 games for the New Orleans Saints this season through Week 8, 11 PPR points a game (updated November 7, 2026).
Model Score by season
Up 6.4 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A fading receiving back paid like the centerpiece he no longer is.
The case for
- 2017 Offensive Rookie of the Year, five consecutive Pro Bowls (2017-2021), and the six-rushing-TD single-game NFL record tie establish a Hall-of-Very-Good career foundation that few backs of his era will match.
- Career receiving production (498+ catches across 9 seasons) is the all-time leader for any RB through their first nine seasons, which gives him standalone passing-down value even at age 31.
The worry
- The STTM arc from #15 (tier 4) in 2023 to #62 (tier 8) in 2025 is a textbook decline curve. The synthesis ending at Wk 12 2025 implies the season ended early due to injury.
- At 31 with 1,800+ career touches and the synthesis showing single-digit floor weeks (3.5, 0.7, 5.9, 6.5), the production is now backup-tier even when he is on the field.
What to watch: Whether New Orleans gives him a defined passing-down role for 2026 or whether the Saints absorb the cap hit to release him outright.
Full take and bio
The career arc is now unmistakable. From tier 4 (#15) in 2023 to tier 6 (#22) in 2024 to tier 8 (#62) in 2025, the decline is monotonic and matches what age and 1,800+ career touches predict. The 2025 game log peaks at Wk 10's 14.5 PPR with most weeks single-digit; the synthesis cuts off at Wk 12, suggesting injury. At 31 he is no longer the offensive centerpiece New Orleans is paying him to be.
Kamara came out of Tennessee as New Orleans's 3rd-round pick (67th overall) in 2017 after a junior season that earned him 1st-team All-SEC honors. He was the 2017 Offensive Rookie of the Year on the back of 1,554 yards from scrimmage and 13 touchdowns, then made five consecutive Pro Bowls (2017-2021) and tied an NFL record with six rushing touchdowns in a single game (vs Minnesota, December 2020). He has been the Saints' backfield identity for nine seasons and re-signed in 2024 on a deal that runs through 2026, despite a steady production decline since the 2017-2020 prime.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
LaDainian Tomlinson ’1169%
Ameer Abdullah ’2469%Plays like: Giovani Bernard, Jerick McKinnon, Tyjae Spears. Built like: Doug Chapman, William Green, Chris Evans. Coming out: Christine Michael, Eddie Lacy, Brandon Bolden.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 2 starters, 12 backups, 5 didn't stick.
Alvin Kamara Props This Weekvs CLE Sun Nov 8
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 25.5 | -112 DraftKings | -110 BetOnline |
| Carries | 7.5 | -125 DraftKings | -102 DraftKings |
| Receptions | 3.5 | +105 BetOnline | -127 DraftKings |
| Receiving yards | 17.5 | -114 DraftKings | -110 DraftKings |
| Longest reception | 9.5 | -119 DraftKings | -109 DraftKings |
| Longest rush | 9.5 | +101 DraftKings | -131 DraftKings |
| Anytime TD | +300 Caesars |
Best price across 9 books as of Fri Nov 6. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
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Alvin Kamara Injury StatusNot listed
Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report as of Nov 6. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 6 games
11 fantasy points a game, 66 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has Alvin Kamara at RB39 (the public consensus says RB45); the model has 86 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts CLE.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 3, pick 67 to the New Orleans Saints in 2017, out of Tennessee (SEC). He went about where consensus had him.
In college, 2015-2016, 24 games: 1,274 rush yds, 23 TD, 6.2 yds/carry, 75 rec. Coming out: 4.56s 40 yd, 15 reps bench, 39.5" vertical, 131" broad.
Recruited
Class of 2015 · Running back · Junior college: Hutchinson C.C., Norcross, GA
His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2015 class are still being added.