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Cam Ward

QB·Tennessee Titans·#1·6'2"·219 lb·Rookie·Miami
Tier 1Round 1, pick 1 in 2025
Updated October 27, 2026
77.5
Model Score
Down from 78.2 last year
Trade value ·a late 2nd

Model Score by season

Down 0.7 from last season.

708077.520252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A pedigreed rookie quarterback still learning on heavy volume.

The case for

  • Started all 17 games as a rookie, the heaviest year-one workload of any 2025 first-round QB.
  • 2024 Davey O'Brien + Manning + ACC Player of the Year resume is the strongest pre-draft pedigree in the rookie class.

The worry

  • 59.8 percent rookie-year completion percentage is below the 2025 rookie cohort baseline and well below the top-10 starters at his age.
  • 15 TDs against 7 INTs on 540 attempts produces an 80.2 passer rating, in the bottom quartile for the position.

What to watch: Whether year-two completion percentage climbs into the 64-plus range; the rest of the profile rebuilds from there.

Full take and bio

Ward finished his rookie season at STTM #43 tier 8 across 17 games, the same starting workload as the year-one Maye baseline. The recent game log shows a 9-to-18 PPR range with two zero-point dup rows that look like data artifacts. The case is built on the college path (zero-star to first overall) and the year-one volume; the efficiency stats still read as a developmental rookie.

Ward was born in West Columbia, Texas, attended Columbia High School, and entered college as a zero-star recruit out of a wing-T offense. He won the 2020 Jerry Rice Award at Incarnate Word, spent two years at Washington State, then transferred to Miami for 2024 where he won the Davey O'Brien and Manning Awards, led the NCAA in passing touchdowns, and was named ACC Player of the Year. Tennessee took him first overall in the 2025 NFL Draft.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Sam Darnold, Bryce Young, Trevor Siemian. Built like: Quincy Carter, Austin Reed, Doug Johnson. Coming out: Will Grier, Matt Barkley, Michael Penix.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 5 stars, 5 starters, 6 backups, 4 didn't stick.

Cam Ward Props This Weekat CIN Sun Nov 1

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards180.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Rushing yards10.5-110 Bovada-120 Bovada
Anytime TD+450 BetOnline

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Oct 26. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Cam's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Cam Ward Injury StatusNot listed

Cam Ward is not on the injury report as of Oct 26. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 6 games

Pass Yds99822nd
Pass TD423rd
INT411th
Comp %61.6%17th
Rush Yds6611th
Rush TD22nd
Fantasy PPG11.123rd
Total EPA-34.623rd
EPA / dropback-0.19823rd
Time to throw2.89s
Avg air yards6.7
Aggressiveness8.2%
Longest comp (air)33 yd24th

11.1 fantasy points a game, 66 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 1 to the Tennessee Titans in 2025, out of Miami (ACC).

Taken#1
Our college model#20 QB

In college, 2024, 13 games: 4,134 pass yds, 40 TD, 6 INT, 64.3% completions.

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