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Lamar Jackson

QB·Baltimore Ravens·#8·6'2"·205 lb·8th year·Louisville
Tier 1Round 1, pick 32 in 2018
Updated November 4, 2026
88.3
Model Score
Up from 82.6 last year
Trade value ·two 1sts

Lamar Jackson has 967 passing yards, 6 touchdown passes, 1 interception and 144 rushing yards in 5 games for the Baltimore Ravens this season through Week 8, 16.2 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 5.7 from last season.

70809010088.3201820192020202120222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A back-to-back MVP whose only question is availability.

The case for

  • All-time NFL leader in career passer rating (102.2) and career rushing yards by a quarterback (6,522), with 35 career rushing TDs on top of 187 passing TDs.
  • Back-to-back first-team All-Pro nods in 2023 and 2024, with the 2024 MVP and NFL passer rating title still inside the most recent full season.

The worry

  • Two injury-shortened seasons on the rankings card now (2021 tier 6, 2025 tier 6), so the durability question is no longer a one-off.
  • Per-game volume in 2025 collapsed to 204.7 passing YPG, the lowest of his career, suggesting the shortened year wasn't only games-missed but also reduced workload when he was on the field.

What to watch: Games played. The MVP profile sits right behind a healthy 17-game season; the only thing standing between 2024 and 2026 is availability.

Full take and bio

Jackson's 2025 line at STTM #21 tier 6 is the cleanest games-played story on the QB board. Through 13 games his per-game profile compressed (204.7 YPG vs 289.4 in 2024, 1.85 TDs/G vs 2.65), but the prior is back-to-back MVP play one year removed. The career baseline has not changed; the rank has, because availability did.

Jackson grew up in the Golden Acres public housing project in Pompano Beach, Florida, lost his father at age eight, and was coached early by his mother. He played at Louisville from 2015 to 2017, winning the Heisman Trophy as a sophomore in 2016, and Baltimore took him with the final pick of the first round (32nd overall) in the 2018 NFL Draft. He has since won two NFL MVPs (2019, 2023), made three first-team All-Pros and four Pro Bowls, and set the all-time NFL records for career rushing yards by a quarterback (6,522) and single-season quarterback rushing yards (1,206 in 2019). He currently ranks first on the NFL's all-time regular-season career passer rating list at 102.2.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Boomer Esiason, Drake Maye, Aaron Rodgers. Built like: John Beck, Derek Carr, Teddy Bridgewater. Coming out: Dak Prescott, Joshua Dobbs, Brad Smith.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 2 starters, 8 backups, 7 didn't stick.

Lamar Jackson Props This Weekat BUF

MarketLineOverUnder
Passing yards239.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada
Rushing yards25.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Lamar's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Lamar Jackson Injury StatusOut

Lamar Jackson is listed Out (Thumb), reported Nov 1. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 5 games

Pass Yds967
Pass TD6
INT1
Comp %71.6%
Rush Yds144
Rush TD1
Fantasy PPG16.2
Total EPA39.2
EPA / dropback0.356
Time to throw3.10s
Avg air yards10.2
Aggressiveness11.8%
Longest comp (air)55 yd

16.2 fantasy points a game, 81 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$34.4M
APY
$52.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$135.0M
Years on Deal
5
Signed
2023
Est. Value
$62.8M/yr
underpaid by $10.8M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Lamar Jackson at QB5 (the public consensus says QB7); the model has 83 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits BUF.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 32 to the Baltimore Ravens in 2018, out of Louisville (ACC). He lasted longer than consensus.

Taken#32
Consensus board14th
Our college model#181 QB

In college, 2015-2017, 37 games: 8,543 pass yds, 70 TD, 22 INT, 52.6% completions.

Recruited

Class of 2015 · Quarterback · High school: Boynton Beach Community, Boynton Beach, FL

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 398 in the nation. Composite 0.8819, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Louisville

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2015 class are still being added.

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