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Carson Wentz

QB·Minnesota Vikings·#11·6'5"·237 lb·10th year·North Dakota State
Tier 1Round 1, pick 2 in 2016
Updated November 4, 2026
82.2
Model Score
Up from 79.9 last year
Trade value ·a 7th

Carson Wentz has 276 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 0 interceptions and 5 rushing yards in 2 games for the Minnesota Vikings this season through Week 8, 11.8 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 2.3 from last season.

70809010082.2201620172018201920202021202220252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A journeyman backup with one good start a season.

The case for

  • Still capable of starter-grade individual weeks (Wk 4 2025 hit 21.2 PPR). The arm strength that made him an MVP frontrunner in 2017 has not fully disappeared in clean pockets.
  • Six career stops (PHI, IND, WAS, LAR, KC, MIN) makes him a low-friction backup install for any offense. He knows West Coast, RPO-heavy, and Shanahan-tree schemes after a decade of system exposure.

The worry

  • Tier 8 finish with no positive trajectory. Since the 2019 #15 finish his STTM rank has dropped in every meaningful sample, which means defenses have figured out his decision-making patterns.
  • Two sub-4 PPR games in 2024 (3.92, 0.8) show what an unprepared start looks like at this stage. Injury history (back, ACL, head, ankle) makes him a real-time risk to stay available across a 17-game season.

What to watch: Whether Minnesota retains him through 2026 as McCarthy insurance or releases him before final cuts for cheaper depth.

Full take and bio

The 2025 #31 (tier 8) is the lowest ranking of his career, and the recent stretches have been consistent only in their mediocrity. The 2018 #15 with Philadelphia is gone, and the 2024 sub-4 PPR games confirm the bottom keeps getting lower when defenses prepare. He is what the production says: a journeyman backup with one starter-grade week per season.

Wentz came out of FCS North Dakota State as the #2 overall pick by Philadelphia in 2016, the highest pick ever spent on a Football Championship Subdivision quarterback. He was the MVP frontrunner late in 2017 before a torn ACL in Week 14 handed the keys to Nick Foles, who went on to win Super Bowl LII. He lost his job to Jalen Hurts in 2020, was traded to Indianapolis, then bounced through Washington, the Rams, and Kansas City as a backup before signing with Minnesota in 2025 as J.J. McCarthy's veteran insurance.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Geno Smith, Jared Goff, Tom Brady. Built like: Josh Allen, Charlie Whitehurst, Sage Rosenfels.

Carson Wentz Injury StatusNot listed

Carson Wentz is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 2 games

Pass Yds276
Pass TD3
INT0
Comp %59.0%
Rush Yds5
Rush TD0
Fantasy PPG11.8
Total EPA4.3
EPA / dropback0.120
Time to throw2.62s
Avg air yards8.2
Aggressiveness12.8%
Longest comp (air)57 yd

11.8 fantasy points a game, 24 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$3.0M
APY
$3.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$2.6M
Years on Deal
1
Signed
2026
Est. Value
$5.5M/yr
underpaid by $2.5M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 2 to the Philadelphia Eagles in 2016, out of North Dakota St. (FCS). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#2
Consensus board2nd

Coming out: 4.77s 40 yd, 30.5" vertical, 118" broad, 6.86s 3-cone, 4.15s shuttle.

Recruited

Class of 2011 · Quarterback · High school: Century

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No rating on record

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2011 class are still being added.

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