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RJ Harvey

RB·Denver Broncos·#12·5'8"·205 lb·Rookie·UCF
Tier 1Round 2, pick 60 in 2025
Updated November 4, 2026
75.1
Model Score
Down from 79.3 last year
Trade value ·a 4th

RJ Harvey has 24 carries for 87 yards, 1 rushing touchdown and 25 catches for 217 yards in 6 games for the Denver Broncos this season through Week 8, 11.2 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 4.2 from last season.

708075.120252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A lead rookie back whose ceiling outruns his rank.

The case for

  • UCF's all-time leading rusher (3,946 yards) plus back-to-back 1,500-yard seasons in 2023-2024 is genuine production at the Power 5 level. Sub-4.4 speed at 205 pounds is a starter-grade athletic profile.
  • Three games of 21+ PPR in 2025 (22.1, 22.0, 21.2) show the ceiling when the workload is concentrated. Sean Payton handing the lead role to a rookie indicates the staff sees a multi-year answer.

The worry

  • Tier 8 finish despite 2nd-round draft capital and a clear lead role exposes the gap between college production and current NFL efficiency.
  • 5'8"/205 frame is undersized for the 250+ touch workload Payton historically extracts from his lead backs, which raises the durability question every snap.

What to watch: Whether the 2026 carry total clears 220 and whether his yards-per-carry holds above 4.3, the floor Payton historically requires from his lead backs.

Full take and bio

The 2025 #41 (tier 8) rookie finish is below where the 2nd-round draft slot projected, but the underlying production tells a different story than the rank. Three games of 21+ PPR (Wk 13, 14, 16) is genuine starter-grade ceiling output, and the second-half workload jump suggests Payton trusts him. The 2026 jump should be the standard tier-5-to-tier-4 climb that high-pedigree rookie backs typically post in year two.

Harvey came out of UCF as Denver's 2nd-round pick (60th overall) in 2025 after finishing as the Knights' all-time leading rusher with 3,946 career yards. He posted back-to-back 1,500-yard rushing seasons in 2023 and 2024 plus 38 career rushing touchdowns. At 5'8" and 205 pounds with sub-4.4 speed, he profiles as a slasher with home-run ability who fits Sean Payton's outside-zone scheme. Denver took him as their lead-back answer after Javonte Williams's free-agent departure and Audric Estime's October waiver.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Dorsey Levens, Larry Centers, Keith Byars. Built like: Maurice Jones-Drew, DeAngelo Williams, Cameron Artis-Payne. Coming out: Darrell Henderson, Tre Mason, LaMichael James.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 1 star, 4 starters, 13 backups, 2 didn't stick.

RJ Harvey Injury StatusIR

RJ Harvey is listed on injured reserve (Knee), reported Oct 31, with a return date of Dec 6. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 6 games

Rush Yds8748th
Rush TD136th
Rec256th
Rec Yds2176th
Total TD232nd
Fantasy PPG11.226th
EPA / rush-0.03020th
Rush yds over exp027th
Efficiency0.00
Time to line0.00s

11.2 fantasy points a game, 67 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$1.7M
APY
$1.8M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$4.7M
Years on Deal
4
Signed
2025
Est. Value
$5.1M/yr
underpaid by $3.3M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has RJ Harvey at RB36 (the public consensus says RB39); the model has 52 PPR points left for him this season.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 60 to the Denver Broncos in 2025, out of UCF (Big 12). He went well ahead of consensus.

Taken#60
Consensus board125th
Our college model#120 RB

In college, 2022-2024, 36 games: 3,564 rush yds, 45 TD, 6.8 yds/carry, 58 rec. Coming out: RAS 8.49, 4.4s 40 yd.

Recruited

Class of 2019 · Quarterback · High school: Edgewater, Orlando, FL

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 1,581 in the nation. Composite 0.8356, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2019 class are still being added.

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