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RJ Harvey

Denver Broncos·#12
Pos RBHt 5'8"Wt 205 lbExp 1 yrCollege UCF
Updated September 21, 2026

Model Score

75.3 MODEL
Resting on limited playing time

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

Season Stats · 1 games

18
Rush Yds
0
Rush TD
4
Rec
23
Rec Yds
0
Total TD
8.1
Fantasy PPG

Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats

0.387
EPA / rush
0
Rush yds over exp
0.00
Efficiency
0.00s
Time to line

Draft & College

Round 2, pick 60 · Denver Broncos · 2025
UCF (American Athletic)
Taken
#60
where he actually went
Consensus board
125th
average of the public big boards that spring
Our college model
#126
among RB in our college data

He went well ahead of consensus.

In college · 2022-2024 · 36 games
3,564 rush yds, 34 TD, 6.8 yds/carry, 58 rec

Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.

Coming out
8.49
RAS
4.4s
40 yd

Comps

College career
his college career vs theirs

STM Take

The 2025 #41 (tier 8) rookie finish is below where the 2nd-round draft slot projected, but the underlying production tells a different story than the rank. Three games of 21+ PPR (Wk 13, 14, 16) is genuine starter-grade ceiling output, and the second-half workload jump suggests Payton trusts him. The 2026 jump should be the standard tier-5-to-tier-4 climb that high-pedigree rookie backs typically post in year two.

Harvey came out of UCF as Denver's 2nd-round pick (60th overall) in 2025 after finishing as the Knights' all-time leading rusher with 3,946 career yards. He posted back-to-back 1,500-yard rushing seasons in 2023 and 2024 plus 38 career rushing touchdowns. At 5'8" and 205 pounds with sub-4.4 speed, he profiles as a slasher with home-run ability who fits Sean Payton's outside-zone scheme. Denver took him as their lead-back answer after Javonte Williams's free-agent departure and Audric Estime's October waiver.

Strengths

  • UCF's all-time leading rusher (3,946 yards) plus back-to-back 1,500-yard seasons in 2023-2024 is genuine production at the Power 5 level. Sub-4.4 speed at 205 pounds is a starter-grade athletic profile.
  • Three games of 21+ PPR in 2025 (22.1, 22.0, 21.2) show the ceiling when the workload is concentrated. Sean Payton handing the lead role to a rookie indicates the staff sees a multi-year answer.

Concerns

  • Tier 8 finish despite 2nd-round draft capital and a clear lead role exposes the gap between college production and current NFL efficiency.
  • 5'8"/205 frame is undersized for the 250+ touch workload Payton historically extracts from his lead backs, which raises the durability question every snap.

What to watch: Whether the 2026 carry total clears 220 and whether his yards-per-carry holds above 4.3, the floor Payton historically requires from his lead backs.

Fantasy Outlook

RJ Harvey scored 8 PPR points, 8.1 per game this season. Compare him against any RB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.

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