Baker Mayfield
Tampa Bay Buccaneers·#6UNDERPAIDModel Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 17 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
STM Take
Mayfield crashed from STTM #5 tier 2 in 2024 back to #24 tier 6 in 2025, the largest negative move inside the top 25. The career has one tier-2 spike (2024) inside a long stretch of tier-5-or-worse finishes. The 2024 outlier looks more cast-driven than skill-driven in retrospect.
Mayfield was born in Austin, Texas, walked on at Texas Tech, transferred to Oklahoma, and became the first walk-on to win the Heisman Trophy in 2017. Cleveland took him first overall in the 2018 NFL Draft. After a 2020 playoff run with the Browns, a 2022 split between Carolina and Los Angeles, and back-to-back Pro Bowls with Tampa Bay in 2023 and 2024, he is currently the NFL's all-time playoff passer rating leader (minimum 150 attempts) at 105.9.
Strengths
- All-time NFL playoff passer rating leader at 105.9, and back-to-back Pro Bowl nods in 2023 and 2024.
- 2024 finish at STTM #5 tier 2 proves the ceiling exists when the system around him is intact.
Concerns
- 19-rank drop from 2024 to 2025; the regression bar is the steepest in the top 25.
- Career line outside 2024 is STTM #18, #34, #29 across his veteran seasons; the tier-2 year is now isolated.
What to watch: Whether Tampa Bay's pass-catcher health holds in 2026; the 2024 case rested on a fully intact Mike Evans and Chris Godwin pairing.
Fantasy Outlook
Baker Mayfield scored 274 PPR points, 16.1 per game this season. Compare him against any QB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.