Baker Mayfield
Tampa Bay BuccaneersBaker Mayfield has 679 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 2 interceptions and 80 rushing yards in 5 games for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season through Week 8, 9.8 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).
Model Score by season
Up 1.1 from last season.
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
STM Take
A veteran quarterback whose best year now looks cast-driven.
The case for
- All-time NFL playoff passer rating leader at 105.9, and back-to-back Pro Bowl nods in 2023 and 2024.
- 2024 finish at STTM #5 tier 2 proves the ceiling exists when the system around him is intact.
The worry
- 19-rank drop from 2024 to 2025; the regression bar is the steepest in the top 25.
- Career line outside 2024 is STTM #18, #34, #29 across his veteran seasons; the tier-2 year is now isolated.
What to watch: Whether Tampa Bay's pass-catcher health holds in 2026; the 2024 case rested on a fully intact Mike Evans and Chris Godwin pairing.
Full take and bio
Mayfield crashed from STTM #5 tier 2 in 2024 back to #24 tier 6 in 2025, the largest negative move inside the top 25. The career has one tier-2 spike (2024) inside a long stretch of tier-5-or-worse finishes. The 2024 outlier looks more cast-driven than skill-driven in retrospect.
Mayfield was born in Austin, Texas, walked on at Texas Tech, transferred to Oklahoma, and became the first walk-on to win the Heisman Trophy in 2017. Cleveland took him first overall in the 2018 NFL Draft. After a 2020 playoff run with the Browns, a 2022 split between Carolina and Los Angeles, and back-to-back Pro Bowls with Tampa Bay in 2023 and 2024, he is currently the NFL's all-time playoff passer rating leader (minimum 150 attempts) at 105.9.
Comps
The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.
Plays like: Sam Darnold, Trevor Lawrence, Trent Dilfer. Built like: Brandon Allen, Andy Dalton, Tyler Palko. Coming out: Colt McCoy, Chase Daniel, Andy Dalton.
Of his 20 closest coming out: 4 stars, 2 starters, 7 backups, 7 didn't stick.
Baker Mayfield Props This Weekvs ATL
| Market | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 210.5 | -115 Bovada | -115 Bovada |
| Rushing yards | 15.5 | -120 Bovada | -110 Bovada |
Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room
Play Baker's numbers on Underdog · partner link
Baker Mayfield Injury StatusNot listed
Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.
This season · 5 games
9.8 fantasy points a game, 49 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.
Contract2026 cap
Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.
Fantasy outlookWeek 9
Our rest-of-season board has Baker Mayfield at QB20 (the public consensus says QB21); the model has 134 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts ATL.
Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.
Draft & College
Round 1, pick 1 to the Cleveland Browns in 2018, out of Oklahoma (Big 12). He went about where consensus had him.
In college, 2015-2017, 40 games: 11,893 pass yds, 119 TD, 19 INT, 65.3% completions. Coming out: 4.84s 40 yd, 29" vertical, 111" broad, 7s 3-cone, 4.28s shuttle.
Recruited
Class of 2013 · Quarterback · High school: Lake Travis, Austin, TX