Davis Mills
Houston Texans·#10Model Score
How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →
Season Stats · 6 games
Advanced Metrics EPA & Next Gen Stats
Draft & College
He went about where consensus had him.
Covers the college seasons in our data, which does not always reach back to a player's first year.
Comps
STM Take
$10.5M extension as Houston's structural QB2 behind C.J. Stroud puts Mills in the rare elite-QB2 backup market value class. The Stanford Pac-12 3rd-round origin plus two years of NFL starting experience give him real backup market value. The 2026 question is whether Mills holds the QB2 role or whether Houston explores a draft replacement at the position.
Mills came out of Stanford as the Houston Texans' 3rd-round pick (67th overall) in 2021. He was the Texans' starter for two seasons (2021-2022) before C.J. Stroud's arrival pushed him into the QB2 role. He has remained Houston's backup QB across three seasons and signed a two-year, $10.5M extension in 2025.
Strengths
- Two years of NFL starting experience (2021-2022) plus the Stanford Pac-12 3rd-round draft pedigree gives him real QB2 market value.
- $10.5M extension reflects the front office's view that Mills is the structural backup QB to C.J. Stroud.
Concerns
- Career STTM range as a starter (2021-2022) was tier 8 confirming the structural ceiling caps at backup-QB territory.
- Houston's broader QB room transition around C.J. Stroud's contract reset compresses the structural value of the QB2 spot.
What to watch: Whether Mills holds the QB2 role for the full 2026 Texans season or whether Houston drafts a developmental QB.
Fantasy Outlook
Davis Mills scored 67 PPR points, 11.1 per game this season. Compare him against any QB and track weekly rankings in our fantasy tools.