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DeMario Douglas

WR·New England Patriots·#3·5'8"·185 lb·3rd year·Liberty
Tier 1Round 6, pick 210 in 2023
Updated November 4, 2026
75.5
Model Score
Down from 77.1 last year
Trade value ·a 3rd

DeMario Douglas has 26 catches, 332 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns in 8 games for the New England Patriots this season through Week 8, 10.4 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Down 1.6 from last season.

70809075.52023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

A slot receiver with a steady role and a low ceiling.

The case for

  • Three consecutive seasons of 49+ receptions plus a defined slot role across three different play-callers shows real per-target value and route consistency.
  • 5'8"/178 quickness profile gives him middle-of-the-field route concepts other Patriots WRs cannot run. Drake Maye trusts him on third downs.

The worry

  • Three straight tier 8 finishes (#87, #61, #66) means there is no upward trajectory. The Patriots offense has not produced a tier 5 or better WR1/2 since 2018.
  • Career receiving yards per season has plateaued in the 500-600 range. At 26 with the Patriots adding WR talent every offseason, his role can only compress further.

What to watch: Whether his 2026 target share clears 5 per game across the first six weeks, the threshold that separates a meaningful slot WR3 from a depth-chart piece.

Full take and bio

Three straight tier 8 finishes (#87, #61, #66) define the role: career slot WR3 whose production is anchored to whatever the Patriots QB room produces. The 2025 game log is genuinely consistent (Wks 11-13 produced 6.1, 6.1, 6.3 PPR) but the floor is too low for fantasy relevance. He is a defined slot piece in Drake Maye's progression reads, not a player breaking out into a meaningful WR2 role.

Douglas (known as Pop) came out of Liberty as New England's 6th-round pick (210th overall) in 2023 after a 793-yard senior season at the Group of Five level. At 5'8" and 178 pounds, he profiled as a pure slot WR with elite quickness but limited downfield ceiling. He immediately earned the Patriots' slot role as a rookie (49 catches for 561 yards, tier 8 #87) and has held it for three seasons. The 2024 (#61) and 2025 (#66) finishes reflect the Patriots' broader offensive struggles more than a Douglas-specific issue.

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Brandin Cooks, Johnnie Morton, Marquise Brown. Built like: Sterling Shepard, Tyler Scott, Jerrel Jernigan. Coming out: Ryan Switzer, Jerrel Jernigan, Michael Campanaro.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 0 stars, 2 starters, 9 backups, 9 didn't stick.

DeMario Douglas Props This Weekat MIA

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions3.5+105 Bovada-135 Bovada
Receiving yards37.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play DeMario's numbers on Underdog · partner link

DeMario Douglas Injury StatusNot listed

DeMario Douglas is not on the injury report as of Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Rec2644th
Rec Yds33234th
Rec TD48th
Targets3746th
Yds/Gm41.541st
Fantasy PPG10.434th
EPA / target1.28116th
Avg separation3.9 yd4th
Avg cushion6.5 yd
YAC over exp0.918th
Catch %64.7%

10.4 fantasy points a game, 83 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$3.7M
APY
$1.0M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$133K
Years on Deal
4
Signed
2023
Est. Value
$8.2M/yr
underpaid by $7.2M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has DeMario Douglas at WR59 (the public consensus says WR63); the model has 80 PPR points left for him this season; this week he visits MIA.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 6, pick 210 to the New England Patriots in 2023, out of Liberty (FBS Independents). He went about where consensus had him.

Taken#210
Consensus board195th
Our college model#148 WR

In college, 2019-2022, 39 games: 169 rec, 2,229 yds, 16 TD, 13.2 yds/rec.

Recruited

Class of 2019 · Athlete · High school: Mandarin, Jacksonville, FL

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No rating on record
Committed to

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2019 class are still being added.

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