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Garrett Wilson

WR·New York Jets·#5·6'0"·183 lb·4th year·Ohio State
Tier 1Round 1, pick 10 in 2022
Updated November 4, 2026
80.8
Model Score
Up from 77.7 last year
Trade value ·a mid 1st

Garrett Wilson has 43 catches, 527 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns in 8 games for the New York Jets this season through Week 8, 14.2 PPR points a game (updated November 4, 2026).

Model Score by season

Up 3.1 from last season.

70809080.820222023202420252026

How good he is at what he is supposed to be doing, out of 100. Not a projection of what he will do next, and not a read on his contract. Median is about 70, and a 95 is rare. How it is built →

STM Take

An elite receiver whose ceiling waits on competent quarterback play.

The case for

  • 2022 Offensive Rookie of the Year (83 catches, 1,103 yards) plus three straight 1,000-yard seasons under four different QBs establishes elite per-target production. Wks 1-5 2025 produced four games of 19+ PPR.
  • Career separation metrics are top-15 at the position. The Jets WR1 status is locked, and his 2024 ranking jump (#58 to #21) with Aaron Rodgers showed the ceiling when QB play is even competent.

The worry

  • Season-ending knee injury in Wk 10 2025 is the immediate 2026 variable; recovery timing is the structural unknown.
  • Jets QB room remains a problem heading into 2026. The 2023 tier 8 (#58) finish with Zach Wilson at QB is the floor outcome when the offense fails.

What to watch: Whether the Jets' 2026 QB situation (Justin Fields or a new addition) gives him sustained league-average QB play across 16+ games, the only sample size that lets him return to tier 3 territory.

Full take and bio

The 2025 #42 (tier 6) finish on a 6-game sample badly understates the player. Wks 1-5 produced 22.5, 9, 24.4, 20.2, 19.1 PPR, four games above 19 PPR, before a Wk 6 step-back and the Wk 10 injury ended the season. The underlying skill set has not changed; the 2026 question is purely Jets QB play, because the 2022 OROY ceiling re-emerges whenever the QB is functional.

Wilson came out of Ohio State as the New York Jets' #10 overall pick in 2022 after a junior season that produced 1,058 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns alongside Chris Olave and Jaxon Smith-Njigba in one of college football's deepest WR rooms. He won 2022 Offensive Rookie of the Year on 83 receptions for 1,103 yards despite a four-QB carousel. He posted three straight 1,000-yard seasons (2022-2024) and reached tier 3 #21 in 2024 with Aaron Rodgers as his QB. The 2025 season ended at Wk 10 due to a knee injury that compressed his rank to #42 (tier 6).

Comps

The players whose size, testing and production looked most like his at the same point in their careers. The percent is how close.

Plays like: Keyshawn Johnson, Jeremy Maclin, DeVonta Smith. Built like: Chris Olave, Rashod Bateman, Quez Watkins. Coming out: Nelson Agholor, Paul Richardson, Rashod Bateman.

Of his 20 closest coming out: 3 stars, 9 starters, 6 backups, 2 didn't stick.

Garrett Wilson Props This Weekvs LV

MarketLineOverUnder
Receptions5.5+100 Bovada-130 Bovada
Receiving yards63.5-115 Bovada-115 Bovada

Best price across 9 books as of Mon Nov 2. Lines move; check the book before you bet. This week's board · Line Room

Play Garrett's numbers on Underdog · partner link

Garrett Wilson Injury StatusQuestionable

Garrett Wilson is listed Questionable (Concussion), reported Nov 4. Source: the official NFL injury report, refreshed daily.

This season · 8 games

Rec438th
Rec Yds52715th
Rec TD316th
Targets6411th
Yds/Gm65.919th
Fantasy PPG14.219th
EPA / target1.03931st
Avg separation2.6 yd42nd
Avg cushion4.0 yd
YAC over exp-0.042nd
Catch %69.1%

14.2 fantasy points a game, 114 PPR on the season. Every game on the Game Log, every season on Career. Advanced numbers are EPA and Next Gen Stats.

Contract2026 cap

2026 Cap Hit
$10.1M
APY
$32.5M/yr
Guaranteed at Signing
$38.3M
Years on Deal
6
Signed
2025
Est. Value
$23.6M/yr
overpaid by $8.9M/yr

Every year of the deal, the dead money and what a cut or trade saves on the Contract tab.

Fantasy outlookWeek 9

Our rest-of-season board has Garrett Wilson at WR17 (the public consensus says WR16); the model has 121 PPR points left for him this season; this week he hosts LV.

Price a trade for him on the fantasy trade calculator, or see the whole board on the Fantasy hub.

Draft & College

Round 1, pick 10 to the New York Jets in 2022, out of Ohio State (Big Ten).

Taken#10
Our college model#68 WR

In college, 2019-2021, 31 games: 139 rec, 2,167 yds, 23 TD, 15.6 yds/rec.

Recruited

Class of 2019 · Receiver · High school: Lake Travis, Austin, TX

Recruiting sites
★★★★★
No. 20 in the nation. Composite 0.9903, the recruiting sites' average
Committed to
Ohio State

His full list of offers is not on our record yet; offers for the 2019 class are still being added.

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